Berto Jongman: McKinsey 12 Technologies Driving the Future — With Comment from Robert Steele

Advanced Cyber/IO, Civil Society, Collective Intelligence, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, Ethics
Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

These 12 technologies will drive our economic future

Neil Irwin

Washington Post, 24 May 2013

As the chart shows, the McKinsey folks believe that the most economically significant technologies over the next decade-plus will be those already well underway in their development — the mobile Internet, largely in place in the adv

Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

Indeed, maybe the single biggest takeaway from the study is this: The things that will have the greatest impact on the economy in the medium term aren’t the ones that seem to most excite the imagination and public interest. Instead, the potentially powerful innovations are mostly those that have been evolving for many years in new ways.

. . . . . . . .

The real economic benefits of innovation, at least over the near term, come not from the flashy, mind-blowing ideas, but from clever combinations of technologies that are just maturing with those that have been around for ages.

Robert David STEELE Vivas
Robert David STEELE Vivas

ROBERT STEELE:  I agree with McKinsey on one of these — mobile — and disagree with everything else. And in the case of mobile, McKinsey clearly has not make the intellectual leap from mobile as a “receive” node to mobile as a “production” node, which is precisely the point of my proposal to Sir Richard Branson (Virgin Truth 2.6) and my related concept for saving Microsoft from itself (Big Picture).  See also my newest graphic, Graphic: Ugly First Look at Hand-Held Device Value for Harvesting Monetizable Knowledge.  For McKinsey to even include “Advanced oil and gas exploitation and recovery” is for me a clear reflection of their reliance on the hype meter rather than sound analysis.  They completely ignore the central role of water desalination and purification that will, in combination with distributed renewable energy (not centralized!), and new forms of energy storage both big (underground) and small (disks), change everything.  Instead of the sea rising, it will be converted into fresh water that will restore the deserts and forests.  The rest of their list is pedestrian.  While interesting, their thinking is devoid of the human factor and its potential, and totally lacking in any suggestion as to the true cost of these listed technologies — 3D printing of food, for example, could well be genetic modification and toxin production on steroids, wiping out communities that indulge.  Perhaps most distressing, the McKinsey list is devoid of the moral factor and the moral implications of the Interent and the ease with which humanity will be able to do multinational information-sharing and sense-making….McKinsey has evidently not heard of the ten high-level threats to humanity (as identified by the High Level Panel on Threats, Challenges, and Change, reporting out in Decmeber 2004) and they do not evaluate technologies in relation to their relevance to the eradication of those threats, all enabled by secrecy (means), corruption (way), and impunity (end).

See Also:

Graphic: Adoption of Technology Curves – Silent Boom

Graphic: Anthropocene Energy Channels & Nodes

Graphic: Africa, Cell Phone Impact

Graphic: Alberts-Steele M4IS2

Graphic: Analytic Tool-Kit in the Cloud (CATALYST II)

Graphic: Beyond Water-Energy Nexus

Graphic: Centralized versus Decentralized Energy Paradigms

Graphic: Complex Earth Systems Model

Graphic: Culture Complex

Graphic: Culture Simplified

Graphic: Declaration of Internet Freedom

Graphic: Difference Between a Boss and a Leader

Graphic: Digital Learners versus Analog Teachers

Graphic: Diversity–28 Aspects

Graphic: Dutch Information Infrastructure Core Slide

Graphic: Education Reinvented

Graphic: Eight “Tribes” or Communities of Information & Intelligence

Graphic: Elements of Intelligence

Graphic: Engineering Interventions

Graphic: Epoch B Swarm Leadership

Graphic: Ethical Evidence-Based Decisions

Graphic: Evaluating Intelligence (Decision-Support) – Four Aspects 1.1

Graphic: Fifteen Global Challenges (Millenium Project)

Graphic: Five Migration Paths from Peter Senge et all

Graphic: Five Ways to Spend One Billion Creating Jobs – Military Spending is the WORST of the Five Options

Graphic: Four Major Systems for Resilience

Graphic: Four National Reforms

Graphic: Four Quadrants J-2 High Cell SMS Low

Graphic: Four World-Brain Web Sites in University of the 21st Century Context

Graphic: Fresh Water in Relation to All Water

Graphic: Global Range of Nano-Needs

Graphic: Global Risk Interconnnected with Cascade Potential

Graphic: Global Trends 2030 Water Stress

Graphic: Health Quadrants & Open Source Information

Graphic: Herring Triangle as Published in New Craft of Intelligence

Graphic: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) 102 (Right Way)

Graphic: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) J-2 Central

Graphic: Humans Matter More

Graphic: IBM Big Data (Severely Retarded)

Graphic: Information Commons & Eight Tribes

Graphic: Information Continuum (1995)

Graphic: Information Operations (IO) Cube

Graphic: Information Operations (IO) Eras

Graphic: Information Pathologies

Graphic: Integrated HUMINT/OSINT Management for Defense & Service Strategy & Priorities, Policies, Acquisition, & Operations

Graphic: Intelligence Requirements Definition for the 21st Century

Graphic: Intelligence Standards

Graphic: Internet2 Open Science Open Flow Concept

Graphic: Jim Bamford on the Human Brain

Graphic: Knowledge, Trust, & Development

Graphic: Knowledge Wheel (Intelligence 101)

Graphic: Language Basics

Graphic: M4IS2 OpenBTS, Call Centers, Diasphora

Graphic: Majority Religion By Country

Graphic: Mali Food Insecurity, Refugees, & Islamists

Graphic: Medard Gabel’s Cost of Peace versus War

 

Graphic: MindMap Open Source Everything

Graphic: Missing Information

Graphic: Mother Jones on Wealth, Productivity, & Wages

Graphic: Multi-Lateral Sharing

Graphic: Multi-Level Technical Approach to Intelligence 21

Graphic: Multi-Lingual Reality

Graphic: Multimode Spectrum

Graphic: Multinational Decision-Support Centre Concept of Operations

Graphic: Multinational IO + OSINT = IO2

Graphic: Multinational Regional Intelligence-Operations Support Centre (Station)

Graphic: Network Learning Path to the Future

Graphic: Network-Oriented Resilience Metrics

Graphic: New Balance for the New Craft of Intelligence

Graphic: New Global Integrated Intelligence Community

Graphic: New Internet-Era Needs Triangle

Graphic: Next Net MindMap (Evolving)

Graphic: Old Versus New Intelligence Process

 

Graphic: One Vision for the Future of Microsoft

 

Graphic: Open Science Sharing is Caring

Graphic: Open Source Hardware Economic Model

 

Graphic: OODA Loop (Observe, Orient, Decide, Act)

 

Graphic: Open Data Value Model

 

Graphic: Open Everything

 

Graphic: Open Research Cycle

 

Graphic: Open Source Everything – Open World

Graphic: Opening the World 1 of 2

 

Graphic: Opening the World 2 of 2

 

Graphic: Open Process

 

Graphic: Open Source Agency Clients & Commanders

 

Graphic: Open Source Agency Broad Concept

 

Graphic: Open Source Agency Broad Organization

 

Graphic: Organizational Tools for Changing Culture

 

Graphic: Original Banzai by Col Walt Breede III, USMC

Graphic: OSINT, Missions, & Disciplines

 

Graphic: OSINT, We Went Wrong, Leaping Forward

Graphic: Overview of Big Bat 21

 

Graphic: Panarchy

 

Graphic: Panarchy as Ecological Resilience System

 

Graphic: Panarchy Pace Layering (Stewart Brand)

 

Graphic: Panarchy The Self in Hyperconnectivity

 

Graphic: Paradigm Change

 

Graphic: Participatory Budget Outreach

 

Graphic: Participatory Polyarchy

Graphic: Pre-Conditions of Revolution

 

Graphic: Preconditions of Revolution in the USA Today

 

Graphic: Preliminary Holistic Analytic Model

 

Graphic: President and Humanity

Graphic: Principles of War versus Principles of Peace

Graphic: Public Governance & Feedback Loop Integrity Enhanced by Public Intelligence

 

Graphic: Public Governance in the 21st Century

Graphic: Reality 101 Reading Areas

 

Graphic: Reality 102 Strategic Forces Being Ignored

Graphic: Rebooting USA Operating System

 

Graphic: Regional Information-Sharing and Sense-Making Centre

 

Graphic: Regional Intelligence Center for Peacekeeping

 

Graphic: Requirements Management & Program Development — FIRST Prove Secret Intelligence Fails to Satisfy, THEN Make Case to OMB for a Fractional Transfer of Funding to Your Own Intelligence Program

Graphic: Robert Steele Adopts Buckminster Fuller

 

Graphic: Rolf Sattler’s Dynamic Mandala Map

Graphic: Satellite Bandwidth for Terrestial Use

 

Graphic: Science, Religion, & Philosophy

 

Graphic: Seek Sense Share

Graphic: Shared Knowledge

Graphic: Simplified Earth Systems Model

Graphic: Simplified World Conflict Map

Graphic: Six Circles–Earth Intelligence Network Operational Concept

Graphic: Smart Nation Through Four Reforms

Graphic: Smart Nation World Brain Pyramid

Graphic: Smart Nations

Graphic: Smart Safe Nation via Intelligence with Integrity in Four Quadrants – USA Fails

Graphic: Stages of Tribal Intelligence and Integrity

Graphic: Strategic Analytic Matrix

Graphic: Strategic Intelligence Secretariat United Nations

Graphic: Strategic Narrative Process Model

Graphic: Strategic Trends (Negative)

Graphic: Strategic Trends (Positive)

Graphic: Strategy Centre

Graphic: Strategy for a Prosperous World at Peace

Graphic: Stress on Great Lakes Water + Water RECAP

Graphic: Sunshine Cabinet

Graphic: Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity

Graphic: The Four Quadrants of Knowledge

Graphic: The Global Brain

Graphic: The Internet of Things (Beecham Research)

Graphic: The New Craft of Intelligence

Graphic: The UN and the Eight Tribes of Intelligence

Graphic: The Virgin Truth Sir Richard Branson Connecting the Dots

Graphic: True Cost of Sugar to Society

Graphic: True Cost Segments

Graphic: Truth, Love, & Power – Intelligence, Oneness, & Authority

Graphic: Twitter as an Intelligence Tool

Graphic: Two Economic Models — One Amoral, One Moral

Graphic: Two-Levels Down

Graphic: UN Big Picture View of Global Intelligence with Integrity Supporting Documents Added

Graphic: UN 1 Cost of Peace vs. Cost of War [Converted to Endnote]

Graphic: UN 1 One World — One Brain — Open Everything

Graphic: UN 2 Data-Driven Gift Need and Delivery Aggregation and Accountability

Graphic: UN 3 Bottom-Up Approach to Peace Governance

Graphic: UN 4 Data-Driven Public Governance

Graphic: UN 5 Open Source Everything (OSE) Circles

Graphic: UN 6 OSINT Relevance to UN Ten High-Level Threats

Graphic: UN 7 Intelligence Requirements Four Levels of Analysis

Graphic: UN 8 Information Strategy for 21st Century

Graphic: UN 9 Strategic Analytic Model for UN System Intelligence

Graphic: UN 10 – 2 Open Sources Limited Secret Sources Now, Plus Eight Tribes

Graphic: UN 11 UN-Centric Extended Circles of Information Sharing and Sense-Making

Graphic: UN 12 Overlay of UN Organizations with Strategic Threats & Policies

Graphic: UN 13 Earth Intelligence Network “Six Bubbles”

Graphic: UN 14 Open-Source Decision-Support Information Network (UNODIN) Pyramid

Graphic: UN 15 UNODIN as Service of the Commons — Five Layers

Graphic: USA Economic Split from 1980 Onwards

Graphic: USA Loss of Service Cascade from Electromagnetic Pulse Bombs

Graphic: US Drought 25 December 2012

Graphic: US Intelligence Six Fundamental Failures Over 25 Years – $1.25 Trillion

Graphic: US Military Bases World-Wide

Graphic: US Military Spending Adjusted for Inflation has DOUBLED from 1962 to 2012

Graphic: US Nuclear Plants in Earthquake Zones

Graphic: US Nuclear Plants in Flood Zones

Graphic: US Nuclear Risk in Relation to Dam Failures

Graphic: Water Wars (1990′s Depiction)

Graphic: Water-Centric Holistic Analysis

Graphic: Water and Cites–Urban Shortages

Graphic: Water Aquifers (Groundwater)

Graphic: Water Distribution, Water Wars

Graphic: Water Footprint Across Your Day…

Graphic: Water Stress & Biodiversity Threat

Graphic: Water Stress After Technology

Graphic: Water Stress (Global) in 2050

Journal: Brains Beat Algorithms….Again

Robert Garigue & Robert Steele: From Old IO to New IO

Robert Garigue: The Next Long Wave of Innovation

Robert Garigue: Three Information Security Domains–the Physical (Old), the Process (Current), and the Content (Future)

Robert Garigue: When Everything Else is Distributed….

Worth a Look: Wealth-Generating Economies