Jack Davis: Modern Analytic Tradecraft

Commenting on Berto Jongman: Modernizing Analytical Training + Robert Steele & RECAP Remember the Gorge Carver-Gorge Allen contrasting mindsets in predicting the outcome in Vietnam.  The optimistic Carver argued , “if, if, if, we’re going to win.  The pessimistic Allen countered: “unless, unless, unless we’re going to lose.” In more formal argumentation, the “ifs” and …

Jack Davis: Role of the Intelligence Professional — Doctor, Lawyer .. Teacher … Priest?

Jack Davis, dean of analysts and integrity czar for the CIA, was recognized today with a lifetime achievement award from the International Association for Intelligence Education (IAIE), Dr. Bill Spracher Chapter Chair presiding. After laudatory anecdotes from several senior members, Jack offered a few comments centered around his learning over time that intelligence professionals must …

Event: 30 OCT 1300-1500 McLean VA Jack Davis Award Luncheon

Fall 2014 Meeting Washington Area Chapter International Association for Intelligence Education “Jack Davis Day” Thursday, October 30, 2014 Luncheon at 1 pm; program starts at 2 pm and should end by 2:45 pm; short business meeting for IAFIE members to follow. You do not need to be a member to participate in the program! Pulcinella …

Reflections on Tired Databases versus Wired Analytics + Jack Davis & Analytic Tradecraft RECAP

There are multiple analytic flaws with most source data, and particularly with any source data labeled in relation to terrorism. If Israelis have have touched the data in any way, shape, or form (especially including the software), it must be considered contaminated and severely suspect.  While I have nothing critical to say about the application …

HISTORICAL: Jack Davis, The Bogotazo

The declassified version of my 1968 Studies in Intelligence article can be found in a couple of different formats under “Jack Davis, Bogotazo.”  Please post it. I think this is my first published work. Take a look at the conclusions of an article I wrote 43 years ago, and substitute “North Africa” for “Latin America” …

Worth A Look: Posted from the Past Including Jack Davis on Leadership in Intelligence Analysis

1993 War and Peace in the Age of Information–Superintendent’s Guest Lecture, Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) 1994 ACCESS: The Theory and Practice of Competitor Intelligence (Journal of the Association for Global Strategic Information, July 1994) 1994 Private Enterprise Intelligence: It’s Potential Contribution to National Security (Canada, 29 October 1994) 1995 Open Sources and the Virtual Intelligence …