2002 Manwaring (US) Asymmetry, Conflict, and the Need to Achieve Both Vertical and Horizonal Integration

Historic Contributions, Military, Peace Intelligence, Strategy
Max Manwaring
Max Manwaring

The outline below does not do justice the rich spontaneous presentation that Col Dr. Max Manwaring of the Strategic Studies Institute shared with OSS ’02.

Dr. Manwaring may well be America’s top authority on both “uncomfortable small wars” and on “gangs against governments.”

He is the originator of the six generations of warfare (the US still fights 4th generation warfare at best) and inspired the definition by Robert Steele of the seventh generation,  Information Peacekeeping at “total war” using information and intelligence as the sole munition.

Click on the photograph to access his rich biography and many publications, most free online.  Click below to read the outline.

Max Manwaring
Max Manwaring

2002 Marshall (US) Tomorrow’s Global Hotspots: Global Systems Analysis–What Can Open Information Contributute to Conflict Managements and the Avoidance of Future Catastrophe?

Communities of Practice, Historic Contributions, Peace Intelligence
Monty Marshall
Monty Marshall

Professor Monty Marshall came to our attention when his book on the Third World War impressed us so deeply.  Our review of 15 December 2001 is entitled: 

Deeply Important to Our Future, Scholarly, Practical, Urgent

Click on the book cover to reach the Amazon page and also read our review.  we continue to be concerned by the chasm between people like Professor Marshall with deep knowledge, and policy makers who plan, program, and budget without any understanding as to true costs and needed investments.

Below is his contribution to oSS ’02.  Much more remains to be done with this important body of work.


Monty Marshall
Monty Marshall

2002 Global Futures Partnership–Vision of Lasting Value

Analysis, Communities of Practice, Cultural Intelligence, Global Futures Partnership, Historic Contributions, Methods & Process, Peace Intelligence

The Global Futures Partnership (GFP) is a strategic “think and do tank” that undertakes unclassified global outreach for CIA and other Intelligence Community elements on the most important issues facing the intelligence community today and in coming years. It conceptualizes and implements interdisciplinary and multi-organizational projects on key intelligence issues with leading thinkers from academia, business, strategy, and intelligence consultants.

Below is the citation for the award given to the visionary, founder, and core catalyst within the GFP, followed by two CIA seals: the one on the left leads to the pro forma page on GFP, sadly not offering access to its unclassified and often brilliant productions over the past several years, and the one on the left offers a link to a presentation on “Meeting 21st Century Transnational Challenges: Building a Global Intelligence Paradigm” by Roger George, possibly the most tangible evidence of GFP’s influence on CIA’s leadership.

OSS ’02: 21st Century Emerging Leadership Award. Global Futures Partnership, Central Intelligence Agency. Under the leadership of Carol Dumaine with her extraordinary vision, the Global Futures Partnership has created strategic learning forums bringing the rich perspectives of the outside world into the classified environment in a manner never before attempted. This official but revolutionary endeavor nurtures an outside-in channel for integrating a diversity of perspectives. It is a vanguard toward a future in which the lines between national and global intelligence, and between governmental and nongovernmental intelligence, are blurred into extinction.

Global Futures Partnership
Global Futures Partnership
Meeting 21st Century Transnational Challenges: Building a Global Intelligence Paradigm
Meeting 21st Century Transnational Challenges: Building a Global Intelligence Paradigm

The GFP is not to be confused with the Open Source Center (OSC).  The first is a visionary outreach elements that seeks to share information and achieve multi-national sense-making, in one instance working with up to 35 countries.  The OSC is a bureaucratic unit that classifies everything it creates and refuses to engage with any countries other than the standard English-speaking allies and a couple of others totalling eleven including the USA, Canada, the UK, Australia, you get the idea….

The CIA leadership never properly supported the GFP.  Its vision

2001 Dziedzic (US) Information Technology as a Catalyst for Civil-Military Unity of Effort: The Kosovo Test Case

Civil Society, Historic Contributions, Law Enforcement, Military, Peace Intelligence
Dziedzic
USIP Bio Page

Col Michael J. Dziedzic is one of those very rare officers of such intelligence and integrity that he was able to run against the grain for years, focusing on the vital importance of civil-military operations other than war (OOTW) that were “buried” by a Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who said (we are not making this up), “Real men don’t do OOTW.”  Of course the Defense Science Board Report on Transitions to and From Hostilities (December 2004) and the current Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, say otherwise.  Principle co-author with Ambassador Bob Oakley of Policing the New World Disorder, still the seminal work in the field, this is an officer, along with Colonel Ferd Irizzary, whom we hope to see earn multiple promotions as we all realize that a multinational multifunctional Earth Rescue Network is a non-negotiable first step to “getting a grip.”  We hold this officer in the very highest esteem.

IT Civil-Military
IT Civil-Military

2001 Oakley (US) The Use of Military & Civilian Power for Engagement and Intervention

Civil Society, Government, Historic Contributions, Military, Peace Intelligence
Amazon Page and Steele Summative Review
Amazon Page and Steele Summative Review

To the left is the cover of the seminal work by Ambassador Bob Oakley and Col Mike Dziedzic and others, at Amazon.  The National Defense University (NDU) logo leads to the book free online at NDU. This book is long over-due for updating and reissuance, this time including a proper index.

Book Free Online
Book Free Online

Below is Ambassador Oakley’s briefing from 2001.

Bob Oakley
Bob Oakley

2000 Chitumbo (UN) The Role of Open Source Information in Enhancing Nuclear Transparency (International Atomic Energy Agency)

Historic Contributions, Peace Intelligence

Few people have a proper appreciation for the security value of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT).  It is the ONLY form of decision-support that can be shared with ANYBODY, and therefore it is the easist foundation for establishing a common view of the first 80% where it is easy to agree, and of the final 20% where more difficult and nuanced dialog must take place.  The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) continues to respect the needs of developing nations for nuclear energy, the fears of varied nations with respect to nuclear munitions, and the value of OSINT in addressing both sides of the nuclear coin.

Kaluba Chitumbo and Jack Boureston (Slides)
Kaluba Chitumbo and Jack Boureston (Slides)
Kaluba Chitumbo and Jack Boureston (Text)
Kaluba Chitumbo and Jack Boureston (Text)

2000 Cox (CA) Reflections of the former NATO Deputy N-2

Historic Contributions, Military, Peace Intelligence

BGen Jim Cox, CA was the Deputy N-2 for the  Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE) which is also the central headquarters element for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).  If there is one person who can be identified as the “do-er” who took Capt Patrick Tyrrell’s paper on the need for NATO OSINT (click on From Left to go to that paper, and ultimately mandated, funded, and saw through the creation of the three core NATO conceptual publications on OSINT (Frog Right), it would be Brigadier Cox.

Patrick Tyrrell White Paper
Patrick Tyrrell White Paper
NATO OSINT Handbook, Reader, & Intelligence Exploitation of the Internet
NATO OSINT Handbook, Reader, & Intelligence Exploitation of the Internet
Jim Cox
Jim Cox

Retired Army Brigadier General, with extensive UN and NATO experience. After a 38 year career, retired from the Canadian Forces in 2001. Currently work as an analyst in the Library of Parliament supporting the House of Commons Standing Committee on National Defence, the Senate Sub-Committee on Veterans Affairs and the Canada-NATO Parliamentary Assembly. Also pursuing a PhD in War Studies with the Royal Military College of Canada.

Jim Cox
Jim Cox

2003 Brahimi (AF) Report Extracts from the Executive Summary and Links to the Full Report of the United Nations (UN) Panel on Peace Operations

Peace Intelligence, UN/NGO, United Nations & NGOs

Below are the extracts from the Executive Summary of the Brahimi Report (Report of the United Nations Panel on Peace Operations) as they appeared in PEACEKEEPING INTELLIGENCE: Emerging Concepts for the Future.  The extracts focus on the decision-support aspects of the report–the UN cannot get the strategic mandate right, the operational force structure right, the tactical rules of engagement right, or even the technical sufficiency (e.g. 1:50,000 combat charts) right without intelligence (decision-support).

Brahimi on PKI
Brahimi on PKI

Below is the complete report online, both in online form and as a free down-loadable paginated PDF.

Title UN report JPEG