Chuck Spinney: Egyptian President Trumps Egyptian Military; Egypt, Turkey, and Iran Will Trump NATO Militarism

It is trite to say big things are happening in the Middle East: The biggest, IMO, may turn out to be that Israel has overplayed its hand by hysterically fomenting the Iranian crisis.  There are incipient signs suggesting that Netanyahu’s smarmy efforts to manipulate American presidential politics to Israel’s advantage and to the detriment of …

Chuck Spinney: USGS Intelligence with Integrity on Climate Change

Below is a USGS press release describing some fascinating geological research into the effects of climate change — a huge drought — on the demise of Egypt’s Middle Kingdom around 4200 years ago.  This is one extreme climate event occurred well before man contributed significant CO2 to the atmosphere.  It is also a interesting example …

Berto Jongman: Lisa Stamnitzky on Terrorism Research — Neither Scientific nor Legitimate

Disciplining an Unruly Field: Terrorism Experts and Theories of Scientific/Intellectual Production Lisa Stampnitzky Qual Sociol DOI 10.1007/s11133-010-9187-4 Abstract “Terrorism” has proved to be a highly problematic object of expertise. Terrorism studies fails to conform to the most common sociological notions of what a field of intellectual production ought to look like, and has been described …

Reflections on United Nations Intelligence & Counterintelligence

Your Aide Memoire came to my attention today.  Apart from wishing you every success, I thought to contribute a few ideas. 01  The new meme that has replaced Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) — I taught this to 90 countries including all NATO/PfP and six UN missions in Lebanon — is M4IS2 (Multinational, Multiagency, Multidisciplinary, Multidomain …

Marcus Aurelius: Venezuela Gearing Up to Repel US Invasion – Cover for Action for Cuba Invading US?

Somehow, this sounds somewhat Noriega-esque.   Hugo’s G-army, the territorial militias, could be a reprise of the pre-JUST CAUSE Panamanian ding-bats.)  Venezuela plans a million strong ‘guerrilla army’ against US invasion Venezuela is training a “guerrilla army” aiming to be a million strong by 2013 to fight off a possible US invasion, an opposition MP has said. …