Owl: Why the Elite Would Lose a Civil War

Crowd-Sourcing, Economics/True Cost, P2P / Panarchy, Politics, Resilience
Who?  Who?
Who? Who?

Why The Elite Would Lose a Civil War

“Despite the fact that the banking elite wants to generate riots and stir social disorder in order to collapse the U.S. economy so they can buy up real assets on the cheap, if such chaos was to spill over into a full blown civil war, the consequences for the technocrats would be disastrous… In reality, even if a tiny minority of armed Americans chose to resist government oppression – the odds would be stacked hugely in their favor. Consider the fact that there are almost 100 million gun owners in the United States, who in total own over 300 million firearms and rising. There are only around 1.4 million active duty personnel in the entire US military – that includes the Army, Marine Corps, Navy, Air Force and Coast Guard. Even if you include national guard reserves, the total figure is less than 2.3 million. Even if just five per cent of American gun owners actively resisted in a civil war, that would be five million Americans – more than double the entire US military and national guard, many of whom are already engaged overseas. So even if the government used the military to fire upon U.S. citizens, the troops would be easily outnumbered.”

This part of the article reminds one of John Robb’s super-empowered global guerilla*:

“Consider the recent story about the manhunt for former LAPD officer Christopher Dorner. It took the vast resources and manpower of the Los Angeles Police Department and numerous other law enforcement bodies and federal agencies over a week to track down one guy – one guy! As part of that manhunt, LAPD officers showed themselves to be bumbling incompetents – engaging in frenzied shootings of innocent people who looked nothing like Dorner and eventually having to burn Dorner alive inside a cabin in order to apprehend him. If it takes the LAPD over a week to find and kill one guy, how much effort do you think would be required to disarm or kill 100 million American gun owners without meaningful resistance? Consider the US occupation of Afghanistan that has now entered its 12th year. A total of almost 500,000 coalition forces and Afghan National Security Forces have failed to defeat Taliban insurgents numbering just 25,000 – a ratio of 20 to 1 – in over 12 years of combat operations. If the finest of the US military and their allies cannot defeat 25,000 ragtag insurgents in 12 years, how on earth are 100 million Americans going to be subdued?”

. . . . . . . .

“Superempowerment is a much richer and more complex phenomenon than a mere reduction in scale (down to a single attacker). Instead, superempowerment describes the process by which individuals and small groups are using;

  • rapidly improving tools (the doubling rate of Moore’s law applied to technologies accessible to the average individual),
  • connectivity to a global community and its resources (how to use those tools from MIT courseware to Jihadi “how to” sites),
  • and newly accessible forms of economic activity that transcend state control, to radically improve their productivity in warfare.This is definitely a qualitative change in the conduct of warfare, although it is still early. It will become transformational as the technologies of self-replication begin to reach their full potential.  NOTE: Read self-replication as the ability to “manufacture” millions/billions of daemons/bots/virii/bacteria with increasingly complex behavior at nearly zero cost (take a look at Storm). These “manufactured armies” will become exceedingly dangerous as superempowered designers begin to introduce processor/software combos into their creations that exceed equivalent levels of biological intelligence we see in the natural environment (insects, small mammals, etc.).”

Phi Beta Iota:  Those whom the Gods wish to destroy they first make stupid.  The elite are out of touch with reality.  They have been able to create their own reality, externalizing perhaps 90% of the costs of their assorted crimes and excess to the public, but the day will come when those who do not work do not eat.