Review: Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security

Thomas Fingar 5.0 out of 5 stars World Class on Iran — And Sad Summary of Shallowness Everywhere Else, December 21, 2012 UPDATED 12 OCT 2015 to elevate to five stars in recognition of the author’s extraordinary professionalism and honesty in assuring that the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) for Iran done in 2007 documented its …

Reference: Atlantic Council Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World

Document:  Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World (Atlantic Council, 10 December 2030) Executive Summary Agree that we are at a potentially historic transition point.  However, the Atlantic Council lacks the strategic analytic model to make the most of its otherwise formidable brain trust.  Agree on the need for a new mental map, but …

Search: purpose of military intelligence

School Solution:  To fabricate the worst possible threat, each service taking its own liberties, so as to justify the buying of the most outrageously complex and generally unreliable weapons and mobility systems with extremely heavy logistics tails, none of which can be supported by national or tactical intelligence “systems” also built by variations of the …

Richard Wright: Secret Intelligence Cloud, Charlie Allen’s Warning, Comment by Robert Steele

This piece quotes Charlie extensively and generally he is supportive of the concept, but noted that it would require strong leadership from the DCI and that a new “business model” for intelligence would be needed.  He warned that: “Specifically, the data connectivity requirements will be huge, Allen said. The intelligence community already has a prodigious …

Berto Jongman: The Oracle of Belgrade – Early Warning Ignored

Interesting look back at early warning on Yugoslavia, and now into the future. The Oracle of Belgrade   By John Feffer Foreign Policy in Focus, December 13, 2012 Activist Sonja Licht took no pleasure in correctly predicting the tragedy of Yugoslavia. Cross-posted from JohnFeffer.com. John is currently traveling in Eastern Europe and observing its transformations …

2012 Global Trends 2030: Review by Robert Steele — Report Lauds Fracking as Energy Solution, Disappoints on Multiple Fronts

NOTE:  This is the final report with new comments.  Comments were made on the earlier elements of this report on year ago.  Robert Steele: Global Trends 2030 – Gaps + RECAP Best External Snapshot: 2012-12-10 Nicole Gaouette, Four ‘Megatrends’ Reshaping the World: U.S. Intelligence (BloombergBusinessweek) New technologies, dwindling resources and explosive population growth in the …