NIGHTWATCH: Iraq Headed Toward Sunni Autonomous Region?

Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence

Iraq: Prime Minister al-Maliki urged residents and tribes of Fallujah to ‘expel’ al-Qaida militants from the Sunni-dominated city to avoid an all-out battle. Multiple news outlets have reported that the government is planning a major ground and air attack against Fallujah if the residents and tribes fail to oust the al Qaida militants.

Comment: Maliki’s announcement indicates that his government blames the Sunni residents and tribes for al-Qaida’s resurgence in Fallujah and other locations in Anbar Province. Thus, Maliki’s call to rise up constitutes a test of the loyalty of the local tribes and residents. Should they fail, then Maliki’s government will consider itself justified in destroying the city with air and artillery attacks.

The Iraqi muslims – Sunnis and Shia — are destroying themselves, now that the Americans and other Crusaders are out of the way and out of the holy places of Islam in Iraq. This matches the religious fratricide in Syria, except in Syria, Sunni Arabs are fighting Sunni Arabs more than Shiites.

If the fighting continues, as seems likely, peace might be restored eventually by negotiating another autonomous region for Sunni Arabs in Anbar Province, patterned after the Kurdish autonomous region. Iraq would advance as a federal state, instead of the unitary state system that the US tried to establish.

Alternatively, there will be no peace because the Gulf State financiers of the Sunni uprising in Anbar Province want no peace in Iraq.

Phi Beta Iota: The West — and other countries – continue to ignore the twin imperatives of legitimacy lost on the one hand, and self-governance urges of secession on the other.  There are over 5,000 secessionists movements worldwide. Absent an immediate shift toward hybrid public governance rooted in holistic analytics and true cost economics, most industrial-era autoncracies are destined to fail. The world is disintermediating across the political-legal, socio-economic, ideo-cultural, techno-demographic, and natural-geographic domains.

See Also:

Graphic: Iraq’s Ethnic Divide — And Contiguous Nations

REVOLUTION Graphic & Refs