Arturo Valenzuela Quits–US Ignoring South

The head of the U.S. State Department’s Latin American and Caribbean will resign this summer. Arturo Valenzuela announced he will leave his post of Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs to return to Georgetown University, where he taught before his appointment by Barack Obama in 2009. The United States currently doesn’t have ambassadors …

Monthly CrisisWatch Report N°90, 1 February 2011

CrisisWatch N°90, 1 February 2011 Historic events in the Arab world gripped the world’s attention in January. In Tunisia weeks of escalating riots and demonstrations over dire economic conditions, corruption and government repression culminated in the ouster of President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali on 14 January. He was replaced by an interim government which announced …

Where Does the Money Go?

The Top Ten Foreign Holders of U.s. Debt in November 2009: Country Amount China, Mainland                                                            $789.6 billion Japan                                                                       …

INDICATIONS & WARNING: Political Violence Forecasts

Predictive Societal Indicators of Radicalism In collaboration with our academic partners Prof. Cingranelli at the Political Science Department, SUNY Binghamton University and Profs. Sam Bell and Amanda Murdie at the Department of Political Science, Kansas State University, we developed a Domestic Political Violence Model that forecasts political violence levels five years into the future. The …

Crisis Group CrisisWatch N°89, 3 January 2011

Five actual or potential conflict situations around the world deteriorated and two improved in December 2010, according to the latest issue of the International Crisis Group’s monthly bulletin CrisisWatch. Côte d’Ivoire was gripped by political crisis as incumbent President Laurent Gbagbo refused to cede power after losing to rival Alassane Outtara in the late-November presidential …