2002 Wheaton (US) Transitions From Authoritarian Rule: An Iterative Model

Kristan Wheaton, the Army field grade officer who predicted the Balkan meltdown years in advance but could not get command attention (he subsequently wrote a book,The Warning Solution : Intelligent Analysis in the Age of Information Overload that needs to be updated and reprinted.  The bottom line: policymakers are dealing with $50 billion problems “right …