Repeat itself, foolishness does.
Predicting the future through online data mining
Recorded Future predicts when and where a demonstration will occur after mining from the web all the related activities.
EXTRACT
As it turns out, the software company Recorded Future (which has recently been praised by Wired, the MIT Technology Review and other media outlets, after the CIA and Google invested millions in their services) seems to be offering its clients something similar: a world where emergencies, that is, future events, can be calculated in advance. But how does this start-up actually function, and why are the German philosopher’s concerns relevant to its services?
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Detecting Emergent Conflicts through Web Mining and Visualization (PDF)
Tip of the Hat to Contributing Editor Berto Jongman.
Phi Beta Iota: The only thing remarkable about Recording the Future (and Palantir and STRATFOR and others) is their ability to extract money from people that know nothing about holistic sense-making tailored to a specific concern in a specific context. This is, to use the age-old phrase, “lipstick on the pig,” and reminds us of the earnest efforts at text mining in the 1970's and 1980's that never went anywhere because those with money are so fragmented and so intellectually myopic that they simply cannot put together meaningful solutions for advanced information processing and analysis. Along with Digital Reasoning and IBM and others, these people are surfing the two percent that is easily available and doing so in a vacuum (or the case of STRATFOR, leveraging school kids doing the surfing behind the screen). There is ZERO historical, cultural, or linguistic context, ZERO ethical or M4IS2 context nor are the analog and unpublished worlds addressed. These are all nice people, but how they have spent all this money to produce ZERO actionable results is a mystery. We do what they offer, at no expense, by using key terms such as “will speak,” “will travel,” and “will meet” (in 33 languages). Duh. Here is the bottom line–quoting Robert Steele: “technology is not a substitute for thinking.” The Holy Grail remains the empowerment of all humans, all minds, all the time. When the five billion poor have free OpenBTS, Open Spectrum, and can be educated free one cell call at a time, corruption will be eradicated, inter-faith harmony will be enabled, and we will create a prosperous world at peace. The US secret world — and Google and IBM and the US Army and many others, continue to waste tens of billions because they refuse to think holistically about the end game and the ethics of the end game — the focus is on spending money today instead of saving money tomorrow.
See Instead:
See Also:
2004 Briefings in Italy on The New Craft of Intelligence
21st Century Intelligence Core References 2007-2013
Graphic: Analytic Pathologies Map
Graphic: Analytic Pathology Layers
Graphic: Analytic Tool-Kit in the Cloud
Graphic: Analytic Tool-Kit in the Cloud (CATALYST II)
Graphic: Connecting the Dots from Ingestion Onwards
Graphic: Fragmented Knowledge to World Brain 4.0
Graphic: Full Spectrum Human Intelligence (HUMINT)
Graphic: Information Operations (IO) Cube
Graphic: Information Pathologies
Graphic: Jan Herring’s Triangle for Decision-Support
Graphic: Global Intelligence Collection Failure
Graphic: Global Intelligence Processing Failure
Graphic: Multi-Level Technical Approach to Intelligence 21
Graphic: Multi-Lingual Reality
Robert Steele: Itemization of Information Pathologies
Worth a Look: 1989 All-Source Fusion Analytic Workstation–The Four Requirements Documents