NIGHTWATCH Comment on US Mid-East Policy

Special comment. Readers are watching the crumbling of the US policy architecture in the Middle East during the past four decades which stressed regional stability over all other considerations. That policy did not restrain Israel but did help limit conflicts,  It also had many negative consequences for devout Muslims and supporters of the Palestinians. The …

Monthly CrisisWatch Report N°90, 1 February 2011

CrisisWatch N°90, 1 February 2011 Historic events in the Arab world gripped the world’s attention in January. In Tunisia weeks of escalating riots and demonstrations over dire economic conditions, corruption and government repression culminated in the ouster of President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali on 14 January. He was replaced by an interim government which announced …

2011 Food Crisis, Urban Gardening, Social Systems

Dear friends, Food is basic. Lester Brown — founder of both the Worldwatch Institute and the Earth Policy Institute, author of over 50 books on environmental issues, recipient of 26 honorary degrees and a MacArthur Fellowship, and (according to the Washington Post) “one of the world’s most influential thinkers” — has just published a cogent …

INDICATIONS & WARNING: Political Violence Forecasts

Predictive Societal Indicators of Radicalism In collaboration with our academic partners Prof. Cingranelli at the Political Science Department, SUNY Binghamton University and Profs. Sam Bell and Amanda Murdie at the Department of Political Science, Kansas State University, we developed a Domestic Political Violence Model that forecasts political violence levels five years into the future. The …