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NIGHTWATCH: Everyone Has Drones Now — And Drone Counter-Measures

Israel-Drone: Update. Forty-eight hours into the investigation of an unmanned aircraft flying into Israeli airspace there is no confirmation who flew the drone. Saturday morning, Israeli radar tracked the drone flying toward the coast from the Mediterranean, then over the Gaza strip and into Israel. Twenty minutes after it crossed into southern Israel, scrambled fighter …

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Search: • most but not all of the information needed for strategic reflections comes from open source intelligence.

This also applies at the operational, tactical, and technical levels; generally the 80-20 rules applies–80% open, 20% closed.  It merits comment that no one is actually producing Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) as a holistic persistent element of decision-making, nor is most secret “intelligence” actually intelligence –it is just classified information. To qualify as OSINT one …

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Chuck Spinney: LIBYA – It’s About the Tribes, NOT Islam vs. “Democracy”

Libyan democracy hijacked The Libyans clearly indicated in July what kind of government they wanted, and who should be in it. But things are not working out that way and the security situation is deteriorating   by Patrick Haimzadeh, Le Monde Diplomatique Nothing is going to plan in Libya. It took the death of the …

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Search: threat matrix

Human in the loop — always, without exception, better than technology. Graphic: Expeditionary Environment Analytic Model Graphic: Four Global Belligerent Groups Today Graphic: Four Threat Classes Graphic: Strategic Analytic Matrix Graphic: Ten High-Level Threats to Humanity Graphic: Top Ten Threats to Humanity – Relevance of Open Sources & Methods Graphic: Threat Level Changes Depending on …

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Yoda: Recording the Future – Repeat Itself, Foolishness Does…

Repeat itself, foolishness does. Predicting the future through online data mining Recorded Future predicts when and where a demonstration will occur after mining from the web all the related activities. EXTRACT As it turns out, the software company Recorded Future (which has recently been praised by Wired, the MIT Technology Review and other media outlets, …

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Berto Jongman: Global Factors that Influence Conflict and Fragility

Global Factors that influence Conflict and Fragility (OECD, Sep 2012) The risk of conflict and fragility is influenced by both domestic factors (such as political marginalization and the unequal distribution of wealth) and global factors (such as the transnational organized crime and foreign direct investment). Much analysis to date has analyzed the political economy of …

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Robert Steele: Introducing Dr. Greg Newby, Director of the University of Alaska Supercomputing Center, and Co-Founder of the Multinational Open Source Arctic Innovation Consortium (MOSAIC)

Today I had the pleasure of sitting down for a second time with Dr. Greg Newby, director of one of America’s top supercomputing centers, this one in Alaska and operated by the University of Alaska.  He has some ideas about Arctic information collection, prcoessing, analysis, and SHARING that are breath-taking; I attribute this in part …

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