This is an absolutely world-class document, and to the best of our recollection, the single best formulation we have seen. The perspectives, insights, professional approach, and over-all treatment of the challenges of the future are truly first class, and superior to CIA’s Global Trends and other such offerings in relation to the needs of the military.
It does have flaws that are not the fault of the author’s or the Command, but of the Defense Intelligence Agency and the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, neither of whom know anything at all about Open Source Intelligence (OSINT). Supplemental Observation
The document missed Indonesia as a demographic powerhouse; does not fully understand water; understates the DoD share of the US budget by 50%; ignores Operations Other Than War (OOTW) and especially the vital role that the military can play with the Army Civil Affairs Brigade as a hub, ignores multinational outreach in other than liaison terms, and under-studies defense acquisition which is not a hiring problem, it is a mind-set and information problem.
Despite these flaws, which are beyond the control of the author’s since they did not receive any intelligence support worthy of the name, this is a phenomenal document with enormous potential for the future of Whole of Government Operations across the spectrum of high-level threats from Poverty to Crime.
It’s time to drain the DoD intelligence swamp, that will actually fix acquisition and support to operations in the real-world at the same time.