So what’s making it harder than usual to predict what might happen over the coming year? In a phrase, it’s global warming. I know, that’s not remotely the topic of this site, nor is it in any way a subject I can claim even a modicum of expertise. But as I bend to the work of a new year in our industry, I can’t help but wonder if our efforts to create a better world through technology are made rather small when compared to the environmental alarm bells going off around the globe.
1. 2014 is the year climate change goes from a political debate to a global force for unification and immediate action. It will be seen as the year the Internet adopted the planet as its cause.
2. Automakers adopt a “bring your own” approach to mobile integration.
3. By year’s end, Twitter will be roundly criticized for doing basically what it did at the beginning of the year.
4. Twitter and Apple will have their first big fight, most likely over an acquisition.
5. Google will see its search related revenues slow, but will start to extract more revenues from its Android base.
6. Google Glass will win – but only because Google licenses the tech, and a third party will end up making the version everyone wants.
7. Facebook will buy something really big.
8. Overall, 2014 will be a great year for the technology and Internet industries,