2012 Ishmael Jones (P) on The Human Factor

Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), IO Impotency
Amazon Page
Amazon Page

REACTION TO:  2012 Robert Steele: The Human Factor & The Human Environment: Concepts & Doctrine? Implications for Human & Open Source Intelligence 2.0

Ishmael Jones (a pseudonym) is a very experienced non-official cover (NOC) officer who left the CIA and wrote an excellent book, The Human Factor: Inside the CIA's Dysfunctional Intelligence Culture (Encounter Books, 2008).  The lessons from his experience are available directly from him to DoD clients that wish to avoid CIA's many mistakes.

Hello Robert, thanks for your note and I comment as follows:

I certainly agree with Tom on bad management being the cause of poor intelligence collection. Bad management in the intelligence field thrives within bureaucracy, which is easy to create in the Washington, DC area. Today, more than 90% of CIA employees live and work entirely within the United States because bad management finds it convenient to do so. Employees learn skills which advance them within bureaucracy but which do not contribute to intelligence gathering. The lack of on-the ground focus on foreign lands leaves major intelligence gaps unfilled.

Best regards, Ishmael Jones

2012 Tom Briggs on The Human Factor

2012 Thomas Briggs on The Human Factor

Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), IO Impotency
Thomas Leo Briggs
Thomas Leo Briggs

REACTION TO:  2012 Robert Steele: The Human Factor & The Human Environment: Concepts & Doctrine? Implications for Human & Open Source Intelligence 2.0

Tom Briggs is a former CIA clandestine case officer with an excellent book to his credit, Cash on Delivery: CIA Special Operations During the Secret War in Laos (Rosebank Press, 2009).  Before joining CIA he was the Acting Provost Marshal (sheriff) for 25,000 US personnel operating in Cam Ranh Bay, Viet-Nam.

Robert,

As I hope you remember, I started my time in info technology in requirements after many years in operations.  I learned that when you ask someone what his requirements are he most often begins to include his solutions, e.g. we need a computer database to help us keep weapons from being smuggled into this country.  My response was you don't know if you need a computer until you tell me what data you have, what data you might be able to collect but are not collecting, and what questions you want to ask that the data might be able to help you answer.  It was hard to keep them off solutions and focused on what they knew and what they wanted to know. As I read Part IV, 01 Requirements Definition, I thought of my experience and wondered whether the definitions were being simplified to their very basics.  A colleague and I wrote the very first requirements for automating the DO.  When the IBM programmers with the contract read them they sneered and said, ‘these are high level requirements, we need to have the requirements that tell us exactly how to build the automated system'.  My colleague and I said, if you don't understand the high level requirements, how can you begin to write the specific requirements?  Thus, the first specific things that were developed for the automated DO system were faulty in many ways. The programmers excluded my colleague and I from their deliberations as THEY wrote the specific requirements, and no one in management thought there was anything wrong with that.

My colleague was the one who named the highest level requirements.  He called one ‘author'.  He didn't say we needed to write cables, or memos or whatever, he said we needed a computer based author capability and proceeded to outline in general the authoring needs.  I don't remember the other 4 or 5 categories but they were similar.

So, I wonder if we really ‘assign' requirements to humint or osint or techint?  Should we have ‘high level' requirements from policy makers or military commanders and then figure out which int can collect on them, or, let them all collect and see whose information is the most relevant and useful?  I am talking mostly about operations, but except for acquisition of which I know not much, I think I am also talking to strategy and policy.

I read through your ‘conversation' once and the above represents the one thing I wanted to say right away.  There are other things to say, but I can't do it in well ‘fell swoop' as you often do.  I need to rest to read your ‘conversation' again and see what else I might add.

Almost any problem you can name in the intel community begins with bad management.  Even if you have an excellent manager, it is only until he moves on, and the odds are good he will be replaced with a much lesser manager.  I guess I tend to have a negative attitude.

That's all for now.

-Tom

Continue reading “2012 Thomas Briggs on The Human Factor”

Murtaza Hussain: Roots of Anti-Americanism

Cultural Intelligence, IO Impotency

murtazaThe roots of global anti-Americanism

Revelations of Korean rapper Psy's anti-American past are emblematic of a global resentment caused by US militarism.

Al Jazeera, 11 December 2012

The incongruity of it seemed to be nothing short of a betrayal. After lightheartedly dancing his way into the hearts of Americans and gaining entrance to the inner sanctum of their cherished cult of celebrity, the Korean rapper, Psy, whose song “Gangam Style” became the most watched video in the history of YouTube and made him a pop culture sensation, has been revealed to have a politically active past which places him directly at odds with the American mainstream worldview and which violently decries its most basic articles of faith.

The man whom they enjoyed as an unthreatening, comically light-hearted foreigner dancing for their enjoyment was revealed to have only years earlier been a vociferous public critic of American policies and the country's role in the world.

In a 2004 performance, the rapper famous for his “invisible horse dance” denounced the United States in a song called “Hey American”:

“Kill those f—ing Yankees who have been torturing Iraqi captives
Kill those f—ing Yankees who ordered them to torture
Kill their daughters, mothers, daughters-in-law and fathers
Kill them all slowly and painfully”

For an American public conditioned to the type of unquestionable worship of the military embodied in the phrase “Support the Troops”, Psy's words represent nothing less than sacrilege. This song however was not his only offence.

In a previous performance, he had come on stage to protest the presence of 37,000 US troops in South Korea and smashed a miniature American tank in protest over the killing of two South Korean schoolgirls by American forces stationed in the country.

As it turned out, the Asian pop-star whom Americans had enthusiastically embraced, arguably the first entertainer to bridge the continental divide so successfully, brought with him not just a culturally unique style of song and dance, but also a worldview which is threateningly alien to most Americans.

If even an innocuous pop singer from a country perceived as benign could espouse views the typical American would attribute to menacing terrorists such as al-Qaeda, it begs serious questions about the pervasiveness of global anti-Americanism as well as to what informs it.

Read full article with many links.

Phi Beta Iota:  The ignorance of most Americans — including many in the US Government that have never left the USA, interacted with “real” foreigners, or studied broadly — is quite frightening to any intelligence professional.  It is not possible to plan, program, budget, and execute (PPBS/E) with any degree of effectiveness if one is completely unwitting of the legitimate grievances recognized by most people with any degree of engagement — it is also foolish to contemplate for one instant a US “human intelligence” professional going unnoticed anywhere in the world, unless one is acutely conscious of reality.,

See Also:

Reference: Legitimate Grievances by Robert Steele

SchwartzReport: Bill Moyers and Former FCC Commissioner — Big Media Dumbs Down Democracy, Internet at Very Beginning of Its Possibilities

IO Impotency, Media

Former FCC Commissioner: Big Media Dumbs Down Democracy

By Bill Moyers, Moyers & Company

05 December 12

EXTRACT 1:

Moyers: The argument we hear in rebuttal is “Well look, we don't have to worry about monopoly today, we don't have to worry about cartels today, because we have the Internet, which is the most democratic source of opinion, expression and free speech that's available to us. You and Moyers are outdated because of your concerns about broadcasting and newspapers and all of this.”

Copps: I don't buy that argument at all. The Internet has the potential for all of that. The Internet has the potential for a new town square of democracy, paved with broadband bricks. But it's very, very far from being the reality. The reality is – and you don't have to really look too closely – throughout history, we've seen every means of communication go down this road toward more and more consolidation. Wouldn't it be a tragedy if you took this potential of this open and dynamic technology, capable of addressing just about every problem that the country has – no problem that we have doesn't have a broadband component to its solution somewhere along the line – and let the biggest invention since the printing press probably as communication goes, morph into a cable-ized Internet? That's what I think is happening. Most of the news generated on the Internet, is still coming from the newspaper newsroom, or the TV newsroom. It's just there's so damn much less of it because of the consolidation that we've been through, because of the downsizing, and because of a government that has been absent without leave from its public interest responsibilities for many, many years – a better part of a generation now.

EXTRACT 2:

Moyers: On this particular decision now under consideration, the relaxation of some rules prohibiting further concentration, what can ordinary people do?

Copps: Well, they can get involved. It can become a grassroots movement. I spent 40 years in Washington, working on policy with the belief that you can do some good things from the top down, and I still believe that. But the real systemic reforms and the substantive reforms in this country, from abolition to women's rights and civil rights, and labor rights and all that, came from the bottom up. And I think there's enough frustration out there that it's possible to build on that right now.

Read full transcript.

DefDog: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) Survey

Cultural Intelligence, IO Impotency
DefDog

Quick survey using DuckDuckGo in order as they appear — Trilogy does well — and no one else has the idea of “full-spectrum” HUMINT at the management level, Wikipedia gets it partly right at the source level.

2012-11-20  Wikipedia / Human intelligence (intelligence collection)

—  HUMINT, a syllabic abbreviation of the words HUMan INTelligence, refers to intelligence gathering by means of interpersonal contact, as opposed to the more technical intelligence gathering disciplines such as SIGINT, IMINT and MASINT. NATO defines HUMINT as “a category of intelligence derived from information collected and provided by human sources.”  . . .  Within the context of the U.S. Military, most HUMINT activity does not involve clandestine activities.

2010-07-10  Human Intelligence (HUMINT) Trilogy Updated

Intelligence for the President–AND Everyone Else, as published in CounterPunch, Weekend Edition, February 27 – 1 March 2009

Fixing the White House and National Intelligence, International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, Spring 2010; As published; with corrected graphic (best).

Human Intelligence (HUMINT): All Humans, All Minds, All the Time(US Army Strategic Studies Institute), June 2010

2011-06-05  Human Intelligence in Counterinsurgency: Persistent Pathologies in the Collector-Consumer Relationship (Small Wars Journal)

— Excellent discussion of the various pathologies found in US military industrial-era HUMINT.

Continue reading “DefDog: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) Survey”

SchwartzReport: Mary Meeker’s State of the Internet Report

IO Impotency

Mary Meeker releases stunning data on the state of the Internet

Dylan Tweney

VentureBeat, 3 December 2012

Click on Image to Enlarge

Mary Meeker, a partner at Kleiner Perkins Caulfield and Byers, has just published her latest huge deck of amazingly useful data, the “2012 Internet Trends Year-End Update.”

Meeker is delivering her report to a group of Students at Stanford University, and Kleiner Perkins is live-tweeting the presentation on Twitter at @kpcb.

This is an update to a report Meeker delivered in May 2012, and it’s got a ton of new information.

We’re still digesting the slides, but the slide above (#24 in Meeker’s deck) is a real standout. Echoing a similar graph of computer system sales from Horace Dediu at Asymco, it shows the dramatic shift away from Windows-powered Intel machines (Wintel) in the past few years. Apple drove a wedge into the Wintel monopoly, but it’s Google’s Android OS that’s really eating Microsoft’s lunch. Since Q4 2010, combined shipments of tablets and smartphones have exceeded the number of PCs shipped, Meeker reports, and that trend shows no sign of reversing.

Other tidbits:

Continue reading “SchwartzReport: Mary Meeker's State of the Internet Report”

NIGHTWATCH: Syria, Bio-Chem, & US Intelligence

08 Wild Cards, IO Deeds of War, IO Impotency

Syria: A senior U.S. official told Fox News that the Syrians loaded bombs with components of sarin gas. They have 60 days to use these bombs until the chemical mixture expires and has to be destroyed, according to the report.

According to NBC News, bombs filled with a sarin components have not yet been loaded onto planes, but that the Syrian military is prepared to use these chemical weapons against civilians pending orders from President Bashar Assad.

Comment: Yesterday, 4 December, a senior US Defense official stated there was no evidence that the chemicals used to create sarin gas had been mixed. A day later, the chemicals are reportedly mixed.

No intelligence service has the ability to make such a determination except from testimony from human sources — from direct observation by the source or detected from radio intercepts. Both collection systems are highly vulnerable to deception and manipulation. In other words, the message from Syria could be intended to persuade the West and others to reduce their  support to the opposition.

Continue reading “NIGHTWATCH: Syria, Bio-Chem, & US Intelligence”

noble gold