Neal Rauhauser: Syria, Regional War, The Only Red Line That Matters + Syria Meta-RECAP

02 China, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 06 Russia, 07 Other Atrocities, 08 Proliferation, 08 Wild Cards, 09 Terrorism, DoD, Ethics, Government, IO Deeds of Peace, Military, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence
Neal Rauhauser
Neal Rauhauser

The Only Red Line That Matters

Conclusion:

Here are what I hope are a fairly complete laundry list of the issues:

  • NATO member Greece has collapsed, triggering regional banking meltdown concerns
  • Banks of Cyprus collapsed, Russian offshore banking haven taken out by Greek troubles
  • Russian ally Assad’s Syria is failing, loss of Tartus would exclude them from the Med
  • Assad regime is the only Iran friendly outpost in the area
  • Syrian revolt is funded in part by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, other Sunni majority regimes
  • KSA & Qatar funds come /w Salafist radicalization built into the deal
  • NATO members Greece & Turkey are at odds over Cyprus partition
  • Syrian instability is spilling into Iraq, fueling Sunni/Shia violence, some refugees
  • Syrian instability is spilling into U.S. ally Jordan, many refugees
  • Syrian instability is spilling into NATO member Turkey, many refugees
  • Israel is concerned over weapons transport to Hezbollah in Lebanon
Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

The Syrian civil war has been metastasizing into all of its immediate neighbors – Iraq, Turkey, and Lebanon have all seen violence precipitated by this festering conflict. Regional powers Iran and Russia have connections to the failing Assad regime and have taken indirect steps to protect the status quo. Regional Salafist funders Saudi Arabia and Qatar are funneling support and pushing ideology on Sunni Syrian rebels. I do not envy Israeli policy makers and the menu of unpleasant options that reality has provided them.

Russia has drawn a red line of their own – no NATO intervention in Syria. They’ve backed it up with a naval presence and the transfer of advance anti-aircraft systems to the Assad regime. The Syrian civil war is a multifaceted, multipolar regional issue and there are no soundbite sized prescriptions that will end it.

Read full post with maps.

Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

Phi Beta Iota:  From where we sit, NATO and the US should be very very concerned about its launching points, fuel dumps, and rear area headquarters.   Then of course there are the satellite ground terminals, and the potential for advanced electromagnetic pulse measures to force aircraft to abort shortly after takeoff.  The Russians have certainly studied the Libyan operation in depth.  The Iranians are fully aware of the implications of any US incursion into Syria…and the Syrian regime has its back to the wall.  Yes, the US and NATO can cause the collapse of Syria.  They can break Syria the way they broke Iraq and Afghanistan.  Do we really want another “win” like the first two? We also consider all CIA personnel serving abroad — virtually all of them known because of their dependency on official cover — to be severely at risk if a regional confrontation breaks out.  Thinking long-term, we would end on a cautionary note — those policy makers who might wish to see their grand-children 10, 15, 20 years from today, and not be in jail, should be most mindful of the strong trend toward holding CIA officials and White House officials accountable under international law.  We anticipate the day when the case will be made to the US public so compellingly, that selected US officials will be surrendered for international justice.  The days of imperial impunity are over.

Graphic Source

See Also:

Andrew Cockburn: Air Power Sucks Big Time — USAF Lies Like a Dog, Marine Corps Aviation is Close Behind…

Arabia Rising: Understanding Transformations & Revolutions in the Middle East

Benjamin Fulford: ZIonists Defeated, China and Russia Playing Smart, Western Banking in Panic — $1 Billion Bet on US Stock Market Crashing Soon — Internal War within USG Between DHS and Everyone Else

Berto Jongman: Boston (False Flag) Bombing Of, By, and For Neocons to Justify Attack on Iran

Berto Jongman: Debka Alternative – Iranian Drone Big as a Helicopter, Captured Intact, Revealed Huge Gaps in Israeli Air Defenses

Berto Jongman: From the Daily Star, Perspective on the Arab Spring and USA

Berto Jongman: Ha’aretz on Who Will Decide on War with Iran?

Berto Jongman: Stronger Signals US Planning False-Flag Chemical Attack in Syria

Berto Jongman: Swedish Analysis of Syria’s Salafi Insurgents

Berto Jongman: Syrian Classified Documents Leaked – False Flag?

Berto Jongman: Syrian Electronic Army Does Hard Cyber (Kinetic Effect) Attack on Israel — or Russia Being Clever? Or Both?

Berto Jongman: US Preparing to Intervene in Syria

Berto Jongman: YouTube Audio (48:10) Sibel Edmunds On Boston Bombing, CIA, and US Empire — US Buying Russian Okay on Invading Syria with Hands Off on Caucasus?

Chuck Spinney & Philip Giraldi: The Poisonous (Treasonous?) Influence of the Neo-Cons…Why Isn’t the FBI Going After Them?

Chuck Spinney: Arab Spring Act II — Near Enemies Falling First?

Chuck Spinney: Arab Spring Core Value is LEGITIMACY

Chuck Spinney: Averting Civil War in Syria

Chuck Spinney: Break Syria, Mali, Niger? Do We Really Want to Keep Making a Costly Mess?

Chuck Spinney: Egypt Emergent, Syria Sidelined, Palestian Justice Ready or Not….

Chuck Spinney: Egyptian President Trumps Egyptian Military; Egypt, Turkey, and Iran Will Trump NATO Militarism

Chuck Spinney: End Time of Tribulation for Israel, the Fake State

Chuck Spinney: From Palestine to Syria to Jordan — The True Cost of Western Ignorance & Arrogance

Chuck Spinney: Investigating NATO’s War Crimes Against Libya

Chuck Spinney: Iraq Army Losing North, Partition Being Discussed

Chuck Spinny: Israel Alone, Declared a Terrorist State by Turkey, USA Fading in Region, China Rising….

Chuck Spinney: Israel, Not Iran, is Central Threat in Middle East

Chuck Spinney: Middle East New Geopolitical Map

Chuck Spinney: Paris-Berlin-Moscow Axis Reinstated

Chuck Spinney: Perspective on Turkey-Israel Relations

Chuck Spinney: Reality Reporting from Syria — USG Has No Idea….

Chuck Spinney: Remaking the Arab State w/o the US

Chuck Spinney: Should We Fear Nuclear Iran or Nuclear Israel?

Chuck Spinney: Syria Case Study of Mass Mind Numbing

Chuck Spinney: Syria Lessons Learned and Current SitRep

Chuck Spinney: Syria, Rebels, Complexity and Foreign (Uninformed) Meddling….Hark Back to Viet-Nam, Central America, Afghanistan….

Chuck Spinney: Syria, Regional War, and Turkey — Let the Ethnic Cleansing Begin!

Chuck Spinney: The Real Challenges Facing the Next Secretary of Defense, Robert Steele Comments

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Cynthia McKinney: Wes Clark on US Foreign Policy Coup

David Isenberg: The True Cost (Locally) of Military Strikes Against Iranian Nuclear Targets + Iran Nuclear Meta-RECAP

David Swanson: Lies and Consequences Across 15 Wars

David Swanson: Obama OK on Israel Nuking Iran — AFTER the November 2012 Election

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DefDog: IO Coup — Twitter AP Hoax Blows Up US Stock Market — Syrian Electronic Army (Really?) Claims Responsibility

DefDog: Russian Fleet Enters Mediterranean, Parks at Cyprus

Eagle: Hagel To Meet Free Syrian Army – Israel/AIPAC Hosting Free Syrian Army in Washington DC on 9 May — New War for USA?

Eagle: The Truth About Syria — Anyone?

GI Wilson: American Thinker on US Arms Smuggling into Syria as Root of Benghazi Attack + Libya / Syria / Video Meta-RECAP

Gordon Duff: Independent Report Contradicts Western Portrait of Syria

Gordon Duff: Was Syria Nuked?

Graphic: Map Syria Iran + Syria-Iran-Rergional RECAP

International Law or Imperial License?

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Jim Dean: Syria — Deception & Disaster — Time for Truth or Consequences

Josh Kilbourn: Dollar Disappearing, US Sidelined on Syria / Iran

Marcus Aurelius: CIA on the Margins of Syria, Choking the Chicken

Marcus Aurelius: Panetta Deceives Congress on Syria

Marcus Aurelius: SOF, Syria, and Pandora’s Box

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Mini-Me: 15+ Potentially Massive Threats to US Economy

Mini-Mi: Benghazi, Syria, Russia, & US Clear Violation of International Laws, Treaties, and Embargos

Mini-Me: From 9/11 to Arab Spring to Iran War — Who, Exactly? + Meta-RECAP

Mini-Me: How the US Struck Back to Strangle the Arab Spring

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Mini-Me: Libya-US Ambassador Dies; Syria-Covert Flops; 9/11-Ready to Pop?

Mini-Me: Obama Approves CIA War on Syria, CIA & Arabs Arming Islamic Militants Instead — But Wait, Could This Be Smoke Related to Benghazi-Based Acts of War on Syria?

Mini-Me: Peeling the Syrian Onion

Mini-Me: Smoking Gun Documents on Iran From Israel Mossad?

Mini-Me: Syria & Chemical Weapons — Israel Lies, US Unconvinced, Russia Angry — Cost of US Meddling Rises for All

Mini-Me: US-UK to Persist in Destabilizing Syria — Never Mind the Fiscal Cliff, Decade of War “Coming to An End” Etcetera

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Neal Rauhauser: Understanding Syria (Dot Chart & Links to 13 Prior Posts)

NIGHTWATCH & Et Al: Syria Round-Up

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NIGHTWATCH: China Shows Muscle & Gravitas — Syria Shows Staying Power — USA Losing on All Fronts Due to Ignorance and Arrogance

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NIGHTWATCH: Syria is About Sunni-Shi’ite Divide

NIGHTWATCH: Syria is Now a Regional War — Everyone Else Against US, Israel, and Saudi Arabia

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NIGHTWATCH: Syria, Russia, US, Iran, Israel, Lies, & Truth + RECAP

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NIGHTWATCH: Syria Update (2)

NIGHTWATCH: Syria Update (3)

NIGHTWATCH: Syria Update – Opposition Defector

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Owl: Why Obama Will Survive Five Scandals, Persist on Syria, & Risk WWIII

Patrick Meier: Crisis Mapping Syria – Automated Data Mining and Crowdsourced Human Intelligence

Patrick Meier: Crowdsouring Syrian Imagery & Crisis Reports

Patrick Meier: US AID Crisis Map of Syria

Paul Craig Roberts: Iraq Invasion at 10 Years — The legacy of “the war on terror” is the death of liberty.

Penguin: Larry WIlkerson Skeptical About Politicization (aka Fabrication) of Syrian Chemical Weapons Reports

Penguin: “Or Your Lying Eyes…” Truth and Fiction in the News Business – Conspiracy of Lies While US Networks Prepare & Rehearse for Israeli Attack on Iran

Phil Giraldi: Who’s Turning Syria’s Civil War Into a Jihad?

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Robert Steele: Post-Benghazi — Open Season on CIA?

Stephen Lendman: Israel Violates Palestine, Plans New War

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Winslow Wheeler: Iraq Invasion at 10 Years — Learning from the Past