Berto Jongman Millions face starvation as world warms, say scientists World is unprepared for changes that will see parts of Africa turned into disaster areas, say food experts
The Observer, 13 April 2013
Millions of people could become destitute in Africa and Asia as staple foods more than double in price by 2050 as a result of extreme temperatures, floods and droughts that will transform the way the world farms.
As food experts gather at two major conferences to discuss how to feed the nine billion people expected to be alive in 2050, leading scientists have told the Observer that food insecurity risks turning parts of Africa into permanent disaster areas. Rising temperatures will also have a drastic effect on access to basic foodstuffs, with potentially dire consequences for the poor.
Frank Rijsberman, head of the world’s 15 international CGIAR crop research centres, which study food insecurity, said: “Food production will have to rise 60% by 2050 just to keep pace with expected global population increase and changing demand. Climate change comes on top of that. The annual production gains we have come to expect … will be taken away by climate change. We are not so worried about the total amount of food produced so much as the vulnerability of the one billion people who are without food already and who will be hit hardest by climate change. They have no capacity to adapt.”
Read full article. Phi Beta Iota: Food security is much more complex than merely tracking agriculture. The criminal insanity of corn ethanol has reduced available grains from 70 lbs per year per person to 40 lbs per year per person. Montanto’s suicidal seeds and Monsanto’s criminal trespass on family farms where their seed is most unwelcome are part of the problem. The loss of 47% of all food in the USA from mega-farms to processing to market to home to trash is part of the problem. The corruption of all governments and organizations ostensibly responsible for food assistance — the lack of multinational public intelligence in support of hybrid governance is part of the problem. The DNI is about to hire someone to be the futures person, and be in charge of the food security forecast. They will fail. The US Government is simply not serious about open source intelligence in the public interest, nor is it trained, equipped, or organized to produce public intelligence in the public interest. See Also: 2008 The Substance of Governance 2011 Food Crisis, Urban Gardening, Social Systems Berto Jongman: 2013 US Intelligence Community Overview Berto Jongman: Food Security Index & Map 2013 Berto Jongman: Managing Famine Risk – Linking Early Warning to Early Action Bio-War via Food: US Attacking Germany/Europe? Chalres Faddis: Hunger Line Moves North Across Europe Chuck Spinney: Israeli Micro-Management of Gaza Malnutrition Citizen Intelligence on Food & Health Fraud DefDog: Doing the Wrong Things–Agriculture, Defense Design for the Other 90% Exhibit + “Micro-Giving” Global Needs Index to Connect Rich to Poor/Fullfill Global-to-Local Requests Eagle: American Diet – a Study in Self-Destruction Eagle: Are We Eating Ourselves to Death? Eagle: Feeding Homeless BANNED in Major US Cities Eagle: GMO Toxins in 98% Unborn Babies Eagle: Senators Intervene To Halt Wellness Ambassadors Who Recommend Dietary Supplements Instead of Drugs at Rite-Aid Stores Event: Oct 12-13, NYC, Food Conference: How Money & Media Influence the Way America Eats Field to Fork: Tracking produce back to farmers Fish Phone: SMS service to find health alerts on seafood Food Industry’s Erin Brockovich–Unhealthy Truth Food speculation: ‘People die from hunger while banks make a killing on food’ Graphic: Distributed Integrated Production Food-Energy-Water (Future-Proofing Cities) Graphic: Food Production (Future-Proofing Cities) Graphic: Mali Food Insecurity, Refugees, & Islamists Graphic: Metabolism of Food-Energy-Water (Future-Proofing Cities) Guest Post: Analysis of the Global Insurrection Against Neo-Liberal Economic Domination and the Coming American Rebellion Health: Fish Watch (US) & the Bluefin Tuna Black Market Global Investigation (Global) Huge Gaps in Gov’s Knowledge About Chemicals in Everyday Products (need for true cost public intelligence) Indonesia’s Urban Open Farmville John Robb: Community Supported Agriculture — Farming as Service John Robb: Crazy Costly Agriculture versus Sane Affordable Agriculture John Robb: Failure of the Global System Soon? John Robb: Resilience 101 – Close the loop…all of them John Robb: Soros Dumps Gold, Could Local Virtual Currencies and Local Water, Food, Energy, and Production be Next Big Thing? John Robb: The Future of Food — Total Transparency & The Beginning of True Cost Economics John Robb: Urban Farming, Urban Zoning in Flux John Steiner: Canary (Health) Party Calls Out US Government on Corruption in Food and Medical Industries Creating Mega Autism Epidemic John Steiner: End Monsanto’s Abusive Seed Monopoly John Steiner: Genetic Foods – Transparency, Truth, & Trust versus Tyranny, Toxicity, & Theft John Steiner: Monsanto Nation – Worst Farm Bill Ever? John Steiner: US Government to Rename Corn as Sugar? Josh Kilbourn: 46 Million Americans on Foodstamps Josh Kilbourn: US Disability & Food Stamp Welfare Skyrocketing Journal: Army Shines with Bee Deaths But Case Still Open Journal: Conflict Over Resources–Over the next 20 years, demand for food and energy will rise by half Journal: Food Addiction–Could It Explain Why 70 Percent of Americans Are F Journal: Health Policy Fundamentals Journal: Junk food turns rats into addicts Journal: Mercury Makes You Gay… Journal: MomsRising & Kraft Dumping of Toxic Chemicals in USA Foods Journal: Poverty Leading Cause of Early Death in US + Doctors Prescribing Farmers Market Foods = Need for Honest Holistic Public Policy Analytics Journal: Terrorist Food Plot Journal: UN on Food Security, It’s All Connected Koko: 22% US Children in Poverty… + Poverty RECAP Koko: Aqua-Culture is Rocking…. Koko: Arsenic in US-Grown Rice – Threat to Babies Koko: China Rules Africa — and Ghost Towns…. + China Meta-RECAP Koko: List of Toxic US States Michel Bauwens: Farm to Ville Direct, Save 70% & Cut 47% Waste Michel Bauwens: Russia’s small-scale organic agriculture model may hold the key to feeding the world [while future-proofing cities] Michael Ostrolenk: Green Scissors Identifies Hundreds of Billions in Wasteful Subsidies That Are Inherently Corrupt Mini-Me: Farmers File Suit Against Montanto…What Next? Mini-Me: Food Giants Push Congress To Name Pizza A Vegetable Mini-Me: Obamacide of the American Nation – Adverse Drug Reaction Holocaust NIGHTWATCH: French with UK Lift & Africans Handle Mali — SOF in Africa at Greater Risk? Islamists and Food Security — Islamists versus Separatists Oil, Food, Middle Class Down = Long Emergency Owl: Between April and June 2012 more Americans were added to the food stamp program than found jobs… Owl: Radioactive Panic on West Coast Likely – Government Continues to Lie to Public About Actual Facts and Probable Trends Owl: US CDC FDA DHS Conflicts of Interest & Impeachable Act that Kill Citizens Penguin: Know Your Food, Cure Your MS and Walk… Poor in the USA: 50 Million & Rising + RECAP Poverty, Not Terrorism, Is Threat #1 Reference: Future Water Wars A Summary Reference: NUCLEAR FAMINE – A BILLION PEOPLE AT RISK Global Impacts of Limited Nuclear War on Agriculture, Food Supplies, and Human Nutrition + Eugenics RECAP Reference: Pay for Healthy Food or Pay for Unhealthy Medicine Reference: Summary of Earth’s Terminal Conditions & Radical Necessary Changes Reference: US IC Global Water Security Study Reference: WATER–Soul of the Earth, Mirror of Our Collective Souls Reference: World Model (IFF) Reform Coalition: “True Cost” Economics & Genuine Progress + True Cost RECAP Review (Guest): Brain Trust — The Hidden Connection Between Mad Cow and Misdiagnosed Alzheimer’s Disease Review (Guest): The Unhealthy Truth–How Our Food Is Making Us Sick – And What We Can Do About It Review (Guest): Power Hungry–The Myths of “Green” Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future Review: Food Politics – What Everyone Needs to Know Review: Griftopia–Bubble Machines, Vampire Squids, and the Long Con That Is Breaking America Review: World 3.0 – Global Prosperity and How to Achieve It Review: Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds – American Intelligence Agency Report on the Megatrends, Gamechangers, and Black Swans of the Future, the Rise of China, Alternative World Scenarios Robyn O’Brien’s Tedx Talk: Food’s Erin Brockovich — Allergy Kids/health care costs/global competitiveness SchwartzReport: 1 in 4 US Children on Food Stamps SchwartzReport: 9 Surprising Facts About Junk Fund SchwartzReport: Bees Make 70 of 90 Human Foods Possible — US Lost One Third of All Bee Colonies in 2012, While EU Striving to Protect Their Bees SchwartzReport: Big Sugar Does a Big Tobacco — True Cost of Sugar to Society SchwartzReport: Corrupt and Inept US Government Allows Rampant Food Substitution and Mislabeling — As High as 52% — California and New York City the Worst SchwartzReport: Food-Borne Illness Epidemic in USA (48 Million) FDA on Sidelines SchwartzReport: Franken-Wheat Crime Against Humanity? SchwartzReport: Genetically Modified Food = Dead Bees No Pollination & Human Cancers in Throat, Kidneys, and Liver — Oh, We Almost Forgot — Infertility by the Third Generation of Eaters SchwartzReport: Genetic Modication – Case Study in Fraud, Waste, & Abuse Starting with Corruption of Information and Falsification of Intelligence SchwartzReport: Genetic Modification of Crops Insanely Criminal — and Chemicalization of Agricultural Production Contributing to Climate Change SchwartzReport: Good and Bad Farm News, Lab Organs, Telecommuting Congress SchwartzReport: Growing Food in Desert with Solarized Seawater — AND Stabilizes Sea Level SchwartzReport: McDonald’s McRib — Toxic to the Non-Bone SchwartzReport: Mercury Poisoning Going Critical SchwartzReport: Obesity Bigger Health Problem than Hunger SchwartzReport: Seven Sins of GMO Lobby — Toxicity & Infertility — True Cost of Commercialization and Corruption of Basic Science SchwartzReport: Supreme Court vs. Monsanto, Autisim, Obesity, & Premature Puberty All Because of Corrupt Food Practices SchwartzReport: The Cycle of Evil — Monsanto, Banks, Bees, & Myths of Martyrdom SchwartzReport: The Drugging of America Via Food — Enabled by the Loss of Intelligence and Integrity Across Whole of Government SchwartzReport: US DoE Proposes to Recycle Radioactive Metal Into Consumer Products Secretary Chu’s Final Disgraceful Act + Eugenics & GMO RECAP SchwartzReport: US FDA Complicit in Poisoning of Food SchwartzReport: US GMO Food is Mega-TOXIC SchwartzReport: Worst Bee Die-Off in 40 Years — Meanwhile, US Poor Make $2.13 versus Koch Brothers $3 Million an Hour Search: Aquifers of the World + Water RECAP Search: “True Cost” Soil Mapping SmartPlanet: Half of All Food Wasted SmartPlanet: Supermarket Gets Grip on True Cost of Refrigeration with and without Doors TED: Deliberate Food Poisoning in America Theophillis Goodyear: New Animal Virus Across Europe Tom Atlee: Emerging EcoNomics #4: Community revolution growing with food True Cost: Cost of food-borne illnesses is deemed much higher than earlier estimates Understanding Rising Food Prices Unhealthy “Aid” fr Industrial Food Giant’s Ship (a store on an actual ship) Peddled to Brazil’s Poor + Project Peanut Butter & Nutrients fr Moringa Video: Edible Education: Food Politics (Cal Berkeley) Video: “Twinkie Deconstructed” Author Shows Strange Origins & Nexus of Ingredients Who is Aware, Talking, & Testing Receipts for Bisphenol-A, not just Food & Beverages? Worth a Look: Peak Soil, Food Shock, Biodynamics Worth a Look: State of the World 2011 (Focus on Food) Worth a Look: The Real Cost of Cheap Food YouTube: Canadian Wheat Board (Food Shortages Explained)