Doug Macgregor: Margin of Victory Presentation at Metropolitan Club, Washington DC 9 February 2017

Capabilities-Force Structure, Ethics, Military, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence, Strategy, Strategy-Holistic Coherence
Col Dr. Douglas Macgregor

On the evening of 9 February 2017 Col Dr Doug Macgregor presented a new briefing to a packed house at the Metropolitan Club of Washington, DC. Summarizing his latest book, Margin of Victory, his extemporaneous commentary was riveting.

His two most important points: first, that Grand Strategy covers all elements of national policy, not only national security — commerce and diplomacy, agriculture and energy — ALL elements of national policy must be managed as a whole to achieve peace and prosperity; and second, that wars are won or lost based on the ten years of strategy, policy, and acquisition that precede them — he did not say this, but it was clear that the military we have today cannot win wars.

Thirteen Slides Below the Fold

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Graphic: ARSOC Political Warfare and the Global SOF Network

Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered
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Source: SOF Support to Political Warfare, White Paper, US Army Special Operations Command, 10 March 2015, p. 27

Graphic: ARSOC Trends in International Competition

Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered
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Source:Redefining the Win,” White Paper, US Army Special Operations Command, 6 January 2015, p. 1.

See Also:

Graphic: ARSOC 1st SFC as Core Force

Special Forces Think Pieces on Human Domain

 

Graphic: ARSOC Human Domain

Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered
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Graphic: ARSOC Human Groups in Human Domain

Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered
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Original Source: Doowan Lee, “A Social Movement Approach to Unconventional Warfare,” Special Warfare, July – September 2013, as cited in James Razuri, “Harnessing the Human Domain in Warfare,” Special Operations Essays, May 2015, p. 9.

Graphic: ARSOC 1st SFC as Core Force

Capabilities-Force Structure
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Source: Robert Steele: Reinventing the US Army

Adapted (added text with red border) from original below, originally entitled Trends in International Competition.

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Source:Redefining the Win,” White Paper, US Army Special Operations Command, 6 January 2015, p. 1.

Robert Steele: Reinventing the US Army Part III – Strategy, Reality, Precepts, Structure, & Leadership

Advanced Cyber/IO, Analysis, Capabilities-Force Structure, Geospatial, ICT-IT, Leadership-Integrity, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence, Political, Reform, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats, True Cost
Robert David Steele
Robert David Steele

Steele, Robert. Reinventing the US Army Part III – Strategy, Reality, Precepts, Structure, & Leadership, Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, Press, Projected Publication 2017.

Part III in the Reinventing the US Army monograph series.

Robert David Steele

This is the author’s preliminary draft of the third of three monographs focused on the future of the US Army as an expeditionary force in a complex world that is rapidly decentralizing while also facing major development challenges.

Amazon Kindle

We have, with the election of Donald Trump,a once-in-a-century opportunity to rethink, reinvent, and reinvest in our national military concepts, doctrine, human capital, organizations, technologies, and command structures, while eradicating much of the waste that is characteristic of a “government specifications cost plus” approach to contracting. Donald Trump won against all odds, against both parties, without the support of the military-industrial complex. Donald Trump is “unshackled” (his word) – his instincts on costly foreign entanglements and the utility of organizations such as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) are on display.

Wars are won or lost in the decade or two before those wars begin. Whether countries have a Grand Strategy or not; evaluate all high-level threats or not; devise a coherent force structure in which all services and civilian agencies are complementary, inter-operable, and sustainable or not; invest in the human factor for leadership and solider agility or not – these will determine the outcome of future wars a decade or two before the first shot is fired.

If the US Army does not re-invent itself, it will absolutely not win the next war.

DOC: EIN 7FV42 ERAP Steele Vol 3 Reinventing the US Army 2.5 LINKS

Full Text with Links Below the Fold

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Graphic: Brennan’s Posturing versus Steele’s Innovation

Balance, Budgets & Funding, Capabilities-Force Structure, Innovation, Multinational Plus, Reform, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats
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Source

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Graphic: US Intelligence Budget Visualized — All Collection and Overhead, Almost No Processing and Analysis

Balance, Capabilities-Force Structure, Corruption
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Source

Tip of the Hat to Contributing Editor Berto Jongman

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