I always enjoy visiting the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), and most recently read “Entering 2019: Challenges and Opportunities,” by President Igor Ivanov of RIAC, himself also former Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (1998–2004). I agree with everything he writes, particularly the incapacity of the United Nations “system,” the importance of national sovereignty as a building block for peace, and the lack of any sustainable foundation for global management.
I had occasion recently to engage with the thinking of the very talented Professor Igor Panarin, a most distinguished Russian intelligence officer and strategic forecaster, and today the dean of the Russian school for future diplomats. In 1998 he predicted the break-up of the USA by 2010 – a Balkanized USA influenced by others, with Alaska going completely to Russia.
I have published an eighteen page response to him (with seven graphics and fifty-six endnotes each containing links to sources), easily found at http://tinyurl.com/Steele-2ndAmRev. I thought here to provide an abbreviated version (below) of my thinking for members of the Russian International Affairs Council.