Search (2): jongman world conflict map 1997 – jongman world conflict and human rights

Geospatial, info-graphics/data-visualization, InfoOps (IO), Intelligence (government), Maps, Searches

Berto Jongman is one of the top Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) pioneers.   Word Press search has its good and bad features.  Good is that it updates instantly.  Bad is that it prefers simple searches e.g. <Jongman map> without the brackets.  Neutral is the fact that for older references, you will have to wade through every more current reference that cites the older reference.  If there were an Open Source Agency, the first three things it would do would be to commission an update of this map integrating all ten high-level threats; create a global intelligence, policy, and budget council for each of the thirty factors using citation analysis and making it multinational; and create the EarthGame with Policy-Budget Citizen Outreach.

2002 Jongman (NL) World Conflict & Human Rights Map 2001/2002

2001 Jongman (NL) World Conflict & Human Rights Map

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Search: four preconditions for revolution

Searches

The results were surprisingly bad.  <preconditions of revolution> is a little better but still not great.  Here is the meat you were looking for plus some. The bottom line on revolution is that it results from scarcity compounded by corruption.  The USA is in a pre-revolutionary situation today, with all the preconditions present, lacking just a precipitant.

Revolutions occur in the following domain areas: political-legal/military, socio-economic, ideo-cultural, techo-demographic, and natural-geographic.  Preconditions are different from precipitants.  Preconditons can cross-pollinate but a precipitant is the spark.  Take a careful look at the first graphic–generally a concentration of wealth, an inattentive elite, a breakdown of ideo-cultural confidence, and a demographic crisis (major unemployment plus an epidemic) are four that come to mind as especially troubling.

Graphic: Pre-Conditions of Revolution

1992 MCU Thinking About Revolution

1976 Thesis: Theory, Risk Assessment, and Internal War: A Framework for the Observation of Revolutionary Potential

Review: Theory, risk assessment, and internal war–A framework for the observation of revolutionary potential

Review: Revolutions and Revolutionary Movements

Search: davies j 1969 curve

Search: rm maciver the web of government summary

Search: smart nation intelligence reform electoral reform national security reform

Search: US fraud tri-fecta

Searches

Great concept!  Here are the three that first appeared in Personal for Mike Bloomberg at Huffington Post, and are now brought together under an easily remembered term.  However, Chuck Spinney's new piece just published has to be included, so we stay with your search term, and and the newest reference on top of the tri-fecta.

Reference: The Fraud-Based US Economy

Reference: Mortgage Fraud in Detail

Journal: Wall Street Financial Crime Spree Spins On….

Journal: The Wall Street Pentagon Papers–Biggest Scam In World History Exposed–Are The Federal Reserve’s Crimes Too Big To Comprehend?

Search: peace vs cost of war

Searches

The automated response fails to please.  Here is what this search should produce the first time around:

Graphic: Medard Gabel’s Cost of Peace versus War

Clicking on Graphic once at the above link will expand it to full size for close viewing.

Who’s Who in Earth Intelligence: Medard Gabel

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Reference: A World That Works for All

Reference: Strategic Analytic Model for Creating a Prosperous World at Peace

2010 M4IS2 Briefing for South America — 2010 M4IS2 Presentacion por Sur America (ANEPE Chile)

2010 The Ultimate Hack Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re-Engineer Earth (Chapter for Counter-Terrorism Book Out of Denmark)

2010 INTELLIGENCE FOR EARTH: Clarity, Diversity, Integrity, & Sustainability

Search: cyber power holistic

Searches

Many solid hits comes up in response to this, but not all.

Original Search:  cyber power holistic

Shortened Search:  cyber power

Joe Nye Search:  joe nye

Reference: Joe Nye on Cyber-Power

From our 17 June 2010 review of that work (pre-Wiki-Leaks):

Unpacked, the sentence boils down to this: in cyber-space, naked emperors do not make the cut.  Or, as the LINUX masters put it, “Put enough eyeballs on it, and no bug (or lie) is invisible.”  The Pentagon is not ready for that, neither are most governments.

Now let's unpack cyber-power, properly understood.

1.  Smart Nation is vastly more important than any ability to attack or defend cyber-structure.

2.  Human brain power is the base of the pyramid.  Computers make stupid people dangerous.

3.  Machine augmentation of human understanding is next step up.  This not only includes the ability to “cast a wide net” across all collection disciplines, all academic domains, all languages, but it also means desktop and back-office machine-human analytics, which still do not exist today to our satisfaction.  This also includes machine assistance in avoiding errors and omissions (50% of the computer-related losses today), assuring a proper recollection of history from multiple points of view.

4.  Next up would be Information Operations (IO), the comprehensive understanding of the mind-space across all boundaries, cultural and otherwise, and the ability–assuming morality which the US does NOT have in sufficient measure today–to project one's understanding in a form that is both shareable and acceptable to others.  It is not possible to force feed minds in cyber-space nor it is possible to fool all of the people all of the time.

5.  Next would be the integrity of one's own cyber infrastructure, with the emphasis being on reliability, speed, interconnectivity, and overall contribution to the political-legal, socio-economic, ideo-cultural, techno-demographic, and natural-geographic health of the nation.  This should include, but not obsess on, being able to detect, deter, and defeat intrusions by unauthorized parties both inside and outside.

6.  Last is the ability to interfere with the cyber-capability of others.  As a general rule, dong harm to other people's computers is infantile at best and psychopathic at worst.  It's not worth the expense or the blowback.

Holistic is a most interesting word, and helpful in making the point that you cannot have smart spies in the context of a dumb nation, nor can you have proper Human Intelligence (HUMINT) unless you have a grip on all fifteen slices of HUMINT, not just the four classified ones (all of them completely mis-managed at this time, but that's not news–news is that we still don't have a clue about how to leverage the eleven unclassified slices.

Below is a graphic created for a report that L-3 was supposed to give to then DNI John Negroponte.  The report can be seen at World Brain 104, which also links to World Brain 101, World Brain 102, and World Brain 103.  The bottom line: holistic cyber-power is all human minds connected to all information in all languages all the time, in order to create a prosperous world at peace.  Anything detrimental to that is a cancer meriting surgical removal.