Category: Journal ISSN 1078-1935

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Identifying & Structuring Terrorist Objectives

09 Terrorism, Analysis, DHS
Berto Jongman Recommends...

REPORT (PDF 27 Pages)

Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of Terrorists

by Gregory L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt

Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events, August 2009

Phi Beta Iota: The report is interesting, and provides a useful methodology for approaching the relationship between intangible values and tangible manifestations, but it has one major flaw: it does not provide for the reality that expelling dictators and the US from the Middle East might be related to actually seeking to create a prosperous Middle East at peace.  Because of that flaw, the report also fails to point out that the best strategy against Al Qaeda is NOT to try to hunt down individual Al Qaeda members, but rather to pull out of the Middle East, stop supporting dictators (and Israel) and begin waging peace at one third the cost of war.  One should not throw stones when one lives in a glass house.  The USA today is a glass house on a sand foundation.

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EGYPT: The Young, Not the Brotherhood, Anti-US?

08 Wild Cards, 11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Cultural Intelligence

Phi Beta Iota: Below the line is an excellent overview from NIGHTWATCH.  Here are the key points:

1.  Muslim Brotherhood was caught by surprise, not just the US Intelligence Community.

2.  This is a revolution of young people focused on fundamentals, NOT an Islamic uprising.

3.  There is no overt anti-US aspect within the young, but Hezbollah and others are trying to tie the US to the dictators it supports–left unsaid is that if the US cannot turn on a DIME (pun intented) it will be skewered with its own sword.

4.  Dictator Mubarak may be shopping for an exile estate in Egypt.

INSIGHT: The US Government has no one thinking strategically–certainly not the Goldman Sachs lobbyist now enjoying the corner office and pretending to be national security advisor to the President, and certainly not the Department of State, which has lost its one strategic thinker back to Princeton and has no bench.  NOW IS THE TIME for President Barack Obama to decide he wants to create a Smart Nation with Whole of Government strategy and operations resting on a foundation of intelligent intelligence.  See ON INTELLIGENCE: Open Letter to the President.

Continue reading “EGYPT: The Young, Not the Brotherhood, Anti-US?”

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Search: markowitz “open source”

Searches
Joe Markowitz

Here is his personal page that does NOT lead to all of his recorded contributions.

Who’s Who in Public Intelligence: Joseph Markowitz

Phi Beta Iota: As with Robert Steele, the name Joe Markowitz is largely synonymous with “open source,” and adding that term both clutters the search, and puts in quotes that are not recognized in WordPress.  A better way to get at everything Joe has done is to use the Top Authors Less Steele box, and click on his name.  He is fourth after Steele, Atlee, and Simmons in overall contributions.  The US Government has chosen to ignore all four of these pioneers and is wasting hundreds of billions of dollars as a result.

Markowitz

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2011 Building a University-Based Global Education – Intelligence – Research Web

Briefings (Core), Briefings & Lectures
Click on Image to Enlarge

Briefing (PDF with Notes, 14 Pages)

  • Concept for PhD in Global Public Policy
  • New “Standard” Green Building
  • Initial Focus on 8 Constituencies, Process of Intelligence
  • Initial focus on 10-12-8 Virtual Global Networks
  • One World Brain Institute, Many Centers for Public Intelligence
  • Global-Local Policy-Budget Outreach Concept
  • Research Collaboration (Creating the World Brain)
  • Harmonizing External Funding for Hybrid Networks
  • Internationalizing Every Student Body
  • Global Joint Instructional Programs Levering Citation Analysis
  • Blend Cognitive Science & Collective Intelligence to Create Web 4.0 (World Brain)
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Report Casts Doubt on Taliban’s Ties With Al Qaeda

08 Wild Cards, Analysis, Cultural Intelligence, Government, History, Intelligence (government), Policy, Strategy
DefDog Recommends...

N.Y.U. Report Casts Doubt on Taliban’s Ties With Al Qaeda

By CARLOTTA GALL

Published: February 6, 2011

KABUL, Afghanistan — The Afghan Taliban have been wrongly perceived as close ideological allies of Al Qaeda, and they could be persuaded to renounce the global terrorist group, according to a report to be published Monday by New York University.

The report goes on to say that there was substantial friction between the groups’ leaders before the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, and that hostility has only intensified.

The authors, Alex Strick van Linschoten and Felix Kuehn, have worked in Afghanistan for years and edited the autobiography of a Taliban diplomat, many of whose ideas are reflected in the report. The authors are among a small group of experts who say the only way to end the war in Afghanistan is to begin peace overtures to the Taliban.

Read more….

Phi Beta Iota: History is important not only to understanding others, but when used retrospectively to examine one's own actions, assumptions, beliefs, and motivations, most helpful in refining the art and science of intelligence (decision making) and public policy making (a mix of politics and professionalism that too often loses its integrity for lack of public intelligence).

noble gold