Journal: Collective Counter-Crime Counter-Intelligence

Collective Intelligence, Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
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The Countertraffickers

Rescuing the victims of the global sex trade

by William Finnegan

May 5, 2008

Her allies and colleagues in this work are widely scattered. An ebullient Dubai prison officer named Omer, who calls Rotaru “sister,” has been a help. So have Russian policemen, an Israeli lawyer, a Ukrainian psychologist, an Irish social worker, a Turkish women’s shelter, Interpol, and various consulates and embassies, as well as travel agents, priests, and partner organizations, including an anti-trafficking group called La Strada, which has offices downstairs from Rotaru’s and a dedicated victims’ hot line.

Journal: European Economic Risk Round II

03 Economy
Chuck Spinney

The author of this article, Simon Johnson, is a highly regarded economics professor at MIT and former chief economist of the IMF.  He has long argued persuasively, at least to my thinking, that the bailout of the “to-big-fail” banks in the US (and UK) did not work to solve the toxic asset problem, but merely kicked the can down the road.

In the two essays linked below Johnson argues that the political rigidities and peculiarities of the eurozone are impeding a rational adjustment to a major part of the worldwide debt problem.  This is increasing the probability of a concatenation of mutually destructive policy actions and reactions like those that precipitated the global depression in the 1930s.

Euro Falling, US Recovery Under Threat

Simon Johnson, Baseline Scenario, 7 February 2010

The euro depreciates, the dollar strengthens, and our path to recovery starts to run more uphill.

Europe Risks Another Global Depression

Simon Johnson, Baseline Scenario, 7 February 2010

The entirely pointless G7 meeting this weekend only served to underline the fact that Europe is again entering a serious economic crisis.

At the end of the meeting yesterday, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner told reporters, “I just want to underscore they made it clear to us, they the European authorities, that they will manage this [the Greek debt crisis] with great care.”

But the Europeans are not being careful – and it’s not just about Greece any more.  Worries about government debt and associated public sector liabilities (e.g., because banking systems are in deep trouble) have spread through the eurozone to Spain and Portugal.  Ireland and Italy are next up for hostile reconsideration by the markets, and the UK may not be far behind.

Search: intelligence science board social media

Searches

Very interesting.  DARPA and IARPA are running about 10 years behind Stephen E. Arnold;  Intel, CISCO, and Nokia are the folks we are watching, although we do not think CISCO will defeat Google, and we do not think Google will overcome its very harmful “do great evil just don't get caught” model.

A Few Intelligence Science Board Reports

There is “an astonishing number of groups and activities concurrently pursuing the subject” of information sharing, according to a newly disclosed 2004 report (pdf) of the Intelligence Science Board (ISB).  But those activities are not well coordinated.  “In effect, we aren’t even sharing information about information sharing.”

Phi Beta Iota: The Advanced Information Processing and Analysis Steering Group (AIPASG) found much the same in 1992 or so.  The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) desperately needs to get back in the business of MANAGING, using its legitmate presidential authority over the budget to demand an inventory of all that is being done with our taxpayer dollars, and then working to eliminate redundancies and competing projects.

CIA Intelligence Science Board

Phi Beta Iota: This is dated, but if anywhere near this now, a very weak board indeed.

A few leads:

Everything on this site tagged Arnold

Twitter hits on this site

Intel Chip Chat

Intel’s Emerging Compute Model Forum

Cloud Computing (the vendor model against Haggle, the bottom-up infrastructure independent model)

Phi Beta Iota: The “proprietary” corporate model of software is going to collapse at some point.  The only solution that is scalable and sustainable as well as interoperable and effective is the bottom-up open source software solution.

Search: “best practices” and “osint training”

Searches

Thank you.  Complex searches do not do well within Word Press.  Here are two distinct results for you, the first within Reviews, the second within Journal.

Reviews: Best Practices in Management (96)

OSINT is like anything else–clarity, diversity, and integrity matter.

Other using search term training (OSINT is irrelevant, this entire site is about OSINT):

Search: free intelligence training

Search: United Nations Intelligence Training

Search: The Future of OSINT [is M4IS2-Multinational]

Search: Intelligence and the Viet-Nam War

See also:

About the Idea (39);  Definitiions (9);   Handbooks (39); Historic Contributions (226);  History of Opposition (13) and of course all the Articles & Chapters (68);   Books (OSS/EIN) (11);   Briefings & Lectures (66).

Journal: Iraqi Insurgents Capture Human Terrain Team (HTT) Member Issa T. Salomi

Academia, Military, Peace Intelligence
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Steve Fondacaro and Montgomery Clough, senior program management of the US Army's Human Terrain System (HTS), were warned as early as 2007 that Human Terrain Team members in Iraq and Afghanistan would become prey for insurgent groups. They were advised repeatedly that training must emphasize the dangerous environment HTS employees would be operating in. That training needed to focus on practices and procedures for handling life threatening situations to include kidnapping.

Issa Salomi, a 60 year old HTT member operating in a combat zone, was taken in January 2010 by an Iraqi insurgent group and a video of him was released on the Net in February 2010 by the same group. This tragic event drives home, once again, the core failings of the Human Terrain Team System: the inability to find qualified personnel, to train them properly and to, quite simply, take care of them. Some allege that many team leaders and HTS management itself have no clue where many of their teams are. “Some HTT members disappear for days and then return.”

Continue reading “Journal: Iraqi Insurgents Capture Human Terrain Team (HTT) Member Issa T. Salomi”

Journal: Haiti Update 7 February 2010

Non-Governmental, Peace Intelligence

Haiti: Building Back Better – and Beyond

We already know that some 150,000 people were killed, 200,000 were injured and one million more lost their homes. After all the collapsed buildings are finally removed, this earthquake may be among the three or four worst disasters ever recorded anywhere on earth in terms of loss of life and injury.

Lessons Learned from Past:
Continue reading “Journal: Haiti Update 7 February 2010”

Journal: Lockheed Mark to Market Pentagon Style

03 Economy, 10 Security
Chuck Spinney

“Mark to Market” is (or was?) an accounting standard  that required financial institutions to value their assets at their current market value.  Thus a stock portfolio would be valued at an amount determined by the stock market, if the stock holder sold all his assets in that market.

Last Spring, when the government was contemplating its plan to rescue the big banks, it settled on the idea of using taxpayer money to purchase or guarantee the so-called toxic assets of the large “investment” banks and their insurers (e.g., collateralized debt obligations and credit default swaps).  The banks lobbied furiously against the mark to market rule, because the toxic assets could not be sold in a market that was frozen, and under the rule, they would be valued a fraction (somewhere between 0% and 60%) of their original purchase prices.  Under mark to market, the banks would take a bath or even become insolvent.  So, they concocted a new concept of “fair value,” which came close to reimbursing them at cost, thus implying the capitalist market was inherently unfair.  The Federal Government ended up guaranteeing the debt at taxpayer expense, thus securing an American economic system that guarantees private profits at the expense of public losses for the privileged entities on Wall Street.

But don't blame the banks for this kind of system.  They are only doing what is natural when one is working with the best government money can buy.  In fact, the American political economy has many ways of guaranteeing private profits with public subsidies of what should be private losses.

Continue reading “Journal: Lockheed Mark to Market Pentagon Style”

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