In the absence of a Strategic Analytic Model that can serve as the basis for assured mutual-interest Multinational Engagement, secret intelligence is inevitably going to fail time and again. Casting a wide net with Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) and Multinational Multiagency Multidiscipolinary Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-making (M4IS2) as the foundation for all-source intelligence and deep invasive secret collection, is a common-sense affordable mission-oriented performance enhancer.
Graphic: Four Quadrants J-2 High Cell SMS Low
Advanced Cyber/IO, Analysis, Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered, Collection, ICT-IT, Innovation, Languages-Translation, Leadership-Integrity, Multinational Plus, Processing, Reform, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, TribesThis is the original “Four Quadrants” slide created in the 1990's to show the human-centered path from what we do now (still), internal knowledge management, through social network information creation to external research (humans are central) and finally to organizational intelligence where machines and humans properly managed are a perfect blend. Note J-2 is the high side “owner” while the “low side” is more of a diplomatic and civil affairs outreach and multinational engagement endeavor.
Graphic: OSINT DOSC MDSC as Kernel for Global Grid to Meet Stabilization & Reconstruction as Well as Whole of Government Policy, Acquisition, and Operations Support
Balance, Capabilities-Force Structure, Collection, Earth Orientation, Geospatial, ICT-IT, Innovation, Languages-Translation, Leadership-Integrity, Multinational Plus, Policies-Harmonization, Processing, Reform, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats, TribesOpen Source Intelligence (OSINT) is high school–advanced is Multinational Multiagency Multidiscipline Multidomain Information-Sharing and Sense-Making (M4IS2). The fastest way to re-invent and revitalize intelligence for any nation (or region such as Africa or South America) is to create a Defense Open Source Center (DOSC) that serves as the interface between a Multinational Decision Support Center (MDSC) that can do Outreach (Multinational Engagement in a two-way reach-back mode, at the same time that the DOSC is responsible for assuring instant upload to the high-side of all open source information as it is received and with translation done outside the wire as a value added.
Graphic: OSINT and Full-Spectrum HUMINT (Updated)
Advanced Cyber/IO, Balance, Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered, Collection, Languages-Translation, Leadership-Integrity, Multinational Plus, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats, TribesThis has been updated from an earlier DIA/DH version created by Robert Steele, and is in both the DoD OSINT Staff Briefing and the new Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) monograph on Human Intelligence (HUMINT): All Humans, All Minds, All the Time.
See Also:
Graphic: OSINT & Universal Coverage at Local Level
Advanced Cyber/IO, Collection, Geospatial, ICT-IT, Innovation, Languages-Translation, Leadership-Integrity, Multinational Plus, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats, TribesThe “New Craft of Intelligence” was defined by Robert Steele in 2002 and ratified by Dr. Stephen Cambone in 2004 when he called for the urgency of universal coverage at a neighborhood level of granularity. The US Special Operations Command (USSOCOM) refused a new defense Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) program offer from USD (I), with the result that today DoD has between $1 billion and $3 billion a year in incoherent Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) program elements, none of which perform to full potential at the same time that perhaps 70% of what we need to know and can know from OSINT is going unrealized.
Graphic: OSINT, We Went Wrong, Leaping Forward
Advanced Cyber/IO, Analysis, Balance, Capabilities-Force Structure, Collection, Geospatial, History, ICT-IT, Innovation, Languages-Translation, Leadership-Integrity, Multinational Plus, Processing, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats, TribesFrom where we sit, outside the wire, we went wrong at multiple levels, all matters of balance and perspective:
1. Favoring secrecy over openness
2. Favoring technologies constant stare (mostly unprocessed) over engaged human brains with eyes on
3. Demanding unilateral collection, processing, and analysis instead of a multinational foundation
Graphic: OSINT versus OSIS (Information Overload)
Advanced Cyber/IO, Balance, Capabilities-Force Structure, Citizen-Centered, Collection, ICT-IT, Innovation, Languages-Translation, Leadership-Integrity, Multinational Plus, Policies-Harmonization, Processing, Reform, Strategy-Holistic Coherence, Threats, TribesOriginally created by Dr. Mark Lowenthal, then with OSS.Net, Inc. and since modified, this slide, combined with Graphic: OSINT and Missing Information, depicts the challenge. What most do not understand is these two facts:
1. Open Source Information (OSIF) is not the same as Open Source Intelligence (OSINT). The latter is deliberately discovered, discriminated, distilled, and delivered decision-support tailored to a specific decision. No does this now in the IC that we know of.
2. Humans and Human Minds, not vast unaffordable non-interoperable technical processing farms, are how we cut to the chase. The magic of OSINT, as Dr. Stevan Dedijer stated so clearly in 1992, is to “know who knows,” so as to connect, as Robert Steele stated in Canada in 1994, the source with the consumer. This can only be done with Multinational Engagement, it absolutely will never happen if we continue to insist on US citizens with clearances as the heart of “national intelligence.”