Advanced Cyber/IO – Page 123 – Public Intelligence Blog

Aaron Swartz’s Guerilla Open Access Manifesto

Written by Aaron Swartz, July 2008, Eremo, Italy

“Information is power. But like all power, there are those who want to keep it for themselves. The world’s entire scientific and cultural heritage, published over centuries in books and journals, is increasingly being digitized and locked up by a handful of private corporations. Want to read the papers featuring the most famous results of the sciences? You’ll need to send enormous amounts to publishers like Reed Elsevier.

There are those struggling to change this. The Open Access Movement has fought valiantly to ensure that scientists do not sign their copyrights away but instead ensure their work is published on the Internet, under terms that allow anyone to access it. But even under the best scenarios, their work will only apply to things published in the future. Everything up until now will have been lost.

That is too high a price to pay. Forcing academics to pay money to read the work of their colleagues? Scanning entire libraries but only allowing the folks at Google to read them? Providing scientific articles to those at elite universities in the First World, but not to children in the Global South? It’s outrageous and unacceptable.

Continue reading “Michel Bauwens: Aaron Swartz's Guerrilla Open Access Manifesto”

2013/01/10

Yoda: Twitter Brain — Human Not Computer

Advanced Cyber/IO, Collective Intelligence

Human, force is.

Twitter’s human-powered search is the present and future of AI

Summary: Twitter’s use of actual human intelligence to make sense of its search results, points to the mundane reality that even with machine learning and lots of data, sometimes humans are the best source for insights — something those trying to create artificial intelligence should remember.

Read full article.

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2013/01/092016/03/26

Reflections on the Next Four Years — Eradicate “Distortions,” Get the Truth on the Table, and Focus on Free Energy

#OSE Open Source Everything, Advanced Cyber/IO, All Reflections & Story Boards, Cultural Intelligence

Joseph Stiglitz, an economist I admire and would trust as one of several advisers has written a provocative essay, “The Post-Crisis Crisis” (Project Syndicate, 9 January 2013). Here is his opening:

NEW YORK – In the shadow of the euro crisis and America’s fiscal cliff, it is easy to ignore the global economy’s long-term problems. But, while we focus on immediate concerns, they continue to fester, and we overlook them at our peril. The most serious is global warming. While the global economy’s weak performance has led to a corresponding slowdown in the increase in carbon emissions, it amounts to only a short respite. And we are far behind the curve: Because we have been so slow to respond to climate change, achieving the targeted limit of a two-degree (centigrade) rise in global temperature, will require sharp reductions in emissions in the future. Some suggest that, given the economic slowdown, we should put global warming on the backburner. On the contrary, retrofitting the global economy for climate change would help to restore aggregate demand and growth. Read full article.

Joseph is well-intentioned in his focus on global warming and the need to create resilient localities and nations that ut people to work creating green infrastructure, but this is — with all humility — like painting the Titanic before driving it into the iceberg. Cosmetic.

Continue reading “Reflections on the Next Four Years — Eradicate “Distortions,” Get the Truth on the Table, and Focus on Free Energy”

2013/01/08

Berto Jongman: 50 Global Risks, 5 Categories, 5 Major Crises, 3 Major Risk Cases

Advanced Cyber/IO

The world is more at risk as persistent economic weakness saps our ability to tackle environmental challenges, according to the World Economic Forum’s Global Risks 2013 report. This is one of the key findings of a survey of over 1000 experts from industry, government and academia, who were polled on how they expect 50 global risks to play out over the next ten years.

Three Major Risk Cases:
Testing Economic and Environmental Resilience
Digital Wildfires in a Hyperconnected World
The Dangers of Hubris on Human Health.

The report also includes a special chapter on resilience as well as a section on “X Factors” – emerging concerns with unknown consequences.

Top Five Risks by Likelihood:
Severe income disparity
Chronic fiscal imbalances
Rising greenhouse gas emissions
Water supply crises
Mismanagement of population ageing

Top Five Impacts:
Major system financial failure
Water supply crisis
Chronic fiscal imbalances
Food shortage crisis
Diffusion of weapons of mass destruction

Report Home Page (short video, download PDF or browse HTML)

2013/01/082013/01/08

Berto Jongman: Promising Approach to Analytics

Advanced Cyber/IO

Predicting the unpredictable

By MICHAEL SUSSMAN

Jerusalem Post, 01/07/2013 22:55

Real-world, on-the-ground effort is one way Israel is able to showcase its unique abilities on the world stage.

Israel’s contributions in the hi-tech sector, innovative renewable energy projects, and breakthroughs in military technology are well known. What is less known are Israel’s achievements in strategic assessment, planning and predictive decision- making. One group that has made these achievements happen is the Program in Political Psychology and Decision Making [POP-DM].

The program, housed at the Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya has addressed pressing issues concerning strategic policy planning for the Israeli government and governments around the world.

Following the 2006 cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah, marking the end of the Second Lebanon War, a team comprised of prominent academics was assembled. The team was tasked with evaluating whether the leader of Hezbollah, Hassan Nasrallah, would adhere to the terms of the cease-fire agreement.

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2013/01/042016/03/26

Reflections on Reform 2.3 Numbers for 30% DoD Cut over 2-4 Years

Advanced Cyber/IO, All Reflections & Story Boards, Budgets & Funding, Ethics, Government, Officers Call, Policies, Serious Games, Strategy, Threats, True Cost

It never occurred to me, when I lost the first bureaucratic battle on Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) in 1992, that my innate sense of integrity [do the right thing] would lead me to resign from the Marine Corps civil service in 1993 as a very young GM-14, and spend not five, not ten, but twenty years wandering in the wilderness helping over 66 governments and over 7,500 mid-career officers get a grip on sources and methods the traditional secret services refused to consider and the traditional consumers of intelligence did not know how to do. Of all my student bodies, the USA was the worst, remaining ignorant at the leadership level, helpless at the follower level–butts in seats, no brain required. Hence, as we approach a historic turning point, the possibility that we might have a Secretary of State and a Secretary of Defense that can actually get a grip on reality together, I thought it might be useful to offer up three things I have learned during my 20-year walk-about:

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2013/01/032013/01/03

Yoda: Demystifying Change – Thesis, Anti-Thesis, Synthesis

Advanced Cyber/IO, P2P / Panarchy, Resilience

May the force be with you….

Demystifying the Pattern(s) of Change: A Common Archetype

April 17, 2012

EXTRACT

Complex Adaptive Systems Adaptation at the Edge of Chaos

Without going too deep into the theories, complexity science and the theory of complex adaptive systems teach us that complex adaptive systems (CAS) and living systems (LS) adapt to changes occurring in their environment in a state away from dynamic equilibrium, at the edge of chaos—a paradoxical transition phase of simultaneous stability and instability. At the edge of chaos, when the conditions are right, the components of CAS and LS are able to spontaneously self-organize, without any blueprint. The result is the emergence of new structures of higher-level order and new patterns of organization better adapted to the environment. This creative process, taking a system from dynamic equilibrium to the edge of chaos, and, then, to a higher state of order, coherence and wholeness is depicted on Figure 2. It is important to note that emergence is never a guarantee. When the system does not have the required learning capacity to creatively self-organize and transform, it may go through an immergence—a process of disintegration and complete breakdown.

Read full article, additional graphics.

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Category: Advanced Cyber/IO

Michel Bauwens: Aaron Swartz’s Guerrilla Open Access Manifesto