Chuck Spinney: Thinking About Gaza

Civil Society, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, IO Deeds of War, Military, Peace Intelligence
Chuck Spinney

Patrick Seale reviews an important new book – Histoire de Gaza – by Professer Jean-Pierre Filiu of the Institute for Political Science in Paris.

The Need to Defuse the Gaza Time-Bomb

by Patrick Seale

Agence Global, 18 Oct 2012

One of the most urgent tasks for the international community in 2013 must surely be to lift Israel’s cruel siege of Gaza — now entering its sixth year — and end the misguided boycott of its Hamas government. There is hardly a more flagrant example of injustice in the world today than the situation of the 1.6 million inhabitants of this hugely over-crowded Strip — many of them refugees driven out of Palestine by the new Israeli state in 1947-48. They must be allowed to live a normal life — to travel, to manufacture, to trade, to educate their children — free from the constant danger of Israeli air strikes.

French scholar Jean-Pierre Filiu, a professor at the prestigious Institute of Political Science in Paris, has published an important 400-page history of Gaza, from ancient times to the disturbed present. His Histoire de Gaza (Editions Fayard, Paris, 2012) is the most comprehensive ever written and should be required reading for all those concerned with the long agony of the Palestinians in their struggle for statehood.

It is impossible in a short article to do justice to Filiu’s sweeping narrative, meticulous research and detailed findings, but it is perhaps worth pointing out that he lays blame for the as yet unresolved and indeed worsening crisis on three main actors:

  • first and foremost on Israel, concerned only with its own security and brutally indifferent to Palestinian life;
  • secondly, on Fatah and Hamas, those old rivals, still locked in a fratricidal struggle as if unaware that their national cause is slipping away before their eyes;
  • and thirdly, on the humanitarian aid provided by the international community which has kept Gaza’s population alive but has also, paradoxically, prevented Gaza’s economic development and its efforts at self-sufficiency.

Read full article.

Phi Beta Iota:  Gaza is the worst of 5,000 distinct geo-cultural communities under seige.  It represents the complete absence of ethics in Western “diplomacy.”

David Isenberg: The True Cost (Locally) of Military Strikes Against Iranian Nuclear Targets + Iran Nuclear Meta-RECAP

05 Iran, 08 Wild Cards, Corruption, IO Deeds of War, Military
David Isenberg

The Myth of “Surgical Strikes” on Iran

By David Isenberg

TIME Battleland | October 18, 2012

For all the years that the world has focused on the confrontation between Western nations and Iran, oceans of ink have been spilled over many aspects of its nuclear program — the quantity and quality of its enriched uranium, various UN Security Council resolutions, the number of Iranian centrifuges, IAEA safeguards, compliance with the Non-Proliferation Treaty, diplomatic negotiations, red lines, U.S. and Israeli attack scenarios, possible Iranian responses, the impact of a nuclear Iran, and so on.

Yet, almost nothing has been written about one critical factor: the impact on Iranian civilians, if the U.S. and/or the Israelis were to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.

That vacuum has now been filled, thanks to a recent lengthy report — The Ayatollah’s Nuclear Gamble: The Human Cost of Military Strikes Against Iran’s Nuclear Facilities. It was authored by Khosrow Semnani, an Iranian-American industrialist and philanthropist with extensive experience in the industrial management of nuclear waste and chemicals.

The University of Utah’s Hinckley Institute of Politics and Omid for Iran, a nonprofit organization based in Salt Lake City, Utah, published the assessment. Author Semnani has provided support for conferences and educational initiatives in the United States.

The report examined various military options against different sites but regardless – perhaps it shouldn’t come as a surprise — the news was horrifyingly bad for Iraqi civilians. Iran insists its nuclear-development efforts are for peaceful purposes, and that it has no desire to build atomic weapons.

Continue reading “David Isenberg: The True Cost (Locally) of Military Strikes Against Iranian Nuclear Targets + Iran Nuclear Meta-RECAP”

Marcus Aurelius: National Geographic Plugs President on 4 November with Highly-Spun Bin Laden Narrative

IO Deeds of War
Marcus Aurelius

At link is a trailer for a film supposedly to be released 04 Nov on National Geographic channel.

‘Vote Looming, National Geographic to Exhibit Dubious, Politicized bin Laden Raid Narrative' | The Internet Chronicle

By Tyler Bass, on October 14th

WASHINGTON – The trailer for an upcoming film on the U.S. raid that killed Osama bin Laden inaccurately represents tactics and techniques, thereby overstating pre-operational uncertainty regarding the terrorist leader’s hideout presence. While producing “Seal Team Six: The Raid on Osama bin Laden,” which National Geographic plans to air in the 48 hours before Election Day, Kathryn Bigelow consulted with senior White House, Defense Department and Central Intelligence Agency officials.

Full article    .     YouTube (2:09)

Continue reading “Marcus Aurelius: National Geographic Plugs President on 4 November with Highly-Spun Bin Laden Narrative”

Marcus Aurelius: Mark Bowden Election Year Version of the Final Chapter of the Bin Laden Story

IO Deeds of War
Marcus Aurelius

Another chronicle of Operation NEPTUNE'S SPEAR, the May 2011 Abbottabad raid that took down Usama bin Laden. In this case, the author is Mark Bowden, once of the Philadelphia Inquirer, who, at least in some people's minds, has significant credibility in writing about special operations because of his prior works, “Blackhawk Down” and “Killing Pablo.” That said, I think Bowden may have gone further than justified in articulating certain conclusions and characterizations of the raiding force as they applied to actions on the objective.

The Hunt For ‘Geronimo'

Vanity Fair. November 2012, Pg. 144

President Obama saw it as a '50–50′ proposition. Admiral Bill McRaven, mission commander, knew something would go wrong. So how did the raid that killed bin Laden get green-lighted? In an adaptation from his new book, Mark Bowden weaves together accounts from Obama and top decision-makers for the full story behind the daring operation.

Read full article.

Continue reading “Marcus Aurelius: Mark Bowden Election Year Version of the Final Chapter of the Bin Laden Story”

Berto Jongman: Debka Alternative – Iranian Drone Big as a Helicopter, Captured Intact, Revealed Huge Gaps in Israeli Air Defenses

IO Deeds of War
Berto Jongman

An alternative account.

Israel & Iran at (Cyber) War  – How the “Beast of Kandahar” Was Looted by the “Mongrel of Tehran”

Not quite an airplane, a helicopter or even a drone, the unmanned Iranian aerial vehicle that ambled into Israeli air space Saturday, Oct. 6 was one of oddest flying objects seen in international skies. Closest to a two-ton stealth helicopter, it structurally resembled a large Russian assault helicopter of the Mi-24, Mi-25 and Mi-35 series. However, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards aerospace engineers who assembled it tried to disguise its Russian origin by stenciling English words (with spelling mistakes) on some of its parts, suggesting it was American. And indeed, shortly after it was shot down by Israeli Air Force F16 jets that day, a Lebanese former general called Hisham Jaber came forward to tell reporters in Beirut, “The drone must have come from an American aircraft carrier or from US air force and military bases in Saudi Arabia. That’s the only possibility so far until we know after investigation.”  No one was surprised to find Iran’s surrogate, Hizballah talking through the former general’s mouth.

Israeli air force, intelligence and cyber warfare experts dubbed it the “Mongrel of Tehran” for reasons first disclosed hereunder by DEBKA-Net-Weekly’s intelligence and military sources.  The strange craft was captured whole, just like the secret US RQ-170 Sentinel, the CIA’s most sensitive surveillance platform, which Iran seized ten months ago on Dec. 13, 2011.  Israeli experts discovered in their initial examination that some of its parts originated in the US RQ-170, were replicated from them or redesigned from the originals by Iranian, Chinese and Russian engineers.

Continue reading “Berto Jongman: Debka Alternative – Iranian Drone Big as a Helicopter, Captured Intact, Revealed Huge Gaps in Israeli Air Defenses”

Berto Jongman: Variations on a Theme – CIA Drones and Suicide Bombs

IO Deeds of War
Berto Jongman

Obama terror drones: CIA tactics in Pakistan include targeting rescuers and funerals

Total US strikes: 349
Obama strikes: 297
Total reported killed: 2,593-3,365

Read full article and see data sidebars.

Whither Suicide Bombings?

Exponential growth in suicide attacks since 2001 shows that they have increasingly become a practical tool in a large variety of intra-national conflicts

Berto Jongman: Social Network Analysis of Al-Muhajiroun’s Propaganda Campaign

Civil Society, Cultural Intelligence, IO Deeds of War
Berto Jongman

The YouTube Jihadists: A Social Network Analysis of Al-Muhajiroun’s Propaganda Campaign

 by Jytte Klausen, Eliane Tschaen Barbieri, Aaron Reichlin-Melnick, and Aaron Y. Zelin

Abstract

 Producers of Al-Qaeda inspired propaganda have shifted their operations in recent years from closed membership online forums to mainstream social networking platforms. Using social network analysis, we show that behind the apparent proliferation of such sources, YouTube account holders associated with incarnations of the British al-Muhajiroun collude to post propaganda and violent content. European groups commonly use American platforms and domain names registered with American companies. Seeking shelter under speech rights granted by the First Amendment, they evade European laws against incitement and hate speech.

Read full article.