Reference: Afghanistan–The Other Side

05 Civil War, 08 Wild Cards, 10 Security, 11 Society, Peace Intelligence, White Papers
Chuck Spinney

FYI … I just found this interesting report.  While the report focuses almost entirely on the political perspective  to this conflict, note how he claims the Taleban increases its cohesion by organizing itself in a decentralized way the marries centralized intent with high degree of autonomy at lower levels.  He thinks it is paradoxical that this type of organization improves cohesion, but it is right out of the maneuver warfare tradition, and it is hardly paradoxical that this kind of organization increases the variety, rapidity, and harmony of its OODA loops at all levels organization.  Nor should it be surprising, given the sluggish, rigid OODA loops that result our highly centralized, techno-intensive approach to command & control, that the Taleban seized and maintains  the initiative, as acknowledged by General McChrystal in his report to President Obama in August.   Chuck

Report Online

35-Page Report includes Executive Summary, Introduction, Roots & Causes, Induced & Internal Factors, Pakistan Factor, Who Are the Insurgents, Talks or Reconciliation, Conclusion, and Recommendations.

High points:

1.  Many actors, no strategy

2.  Cannot reconcile extremists with corrupt government

3.  Time for the UN to be the UN again and lead a 360 “all stakeholders” non-military convergence.

Worth a Look: Key Leader Engagement

02 Diplomacy, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 10 Security, Analysis, DoD, Key Players, Methods & Process, Military, Peace Intelligence, Worth A Look
Free Monograph Online
Free Monograph Online

Phi Beta Iota: Blessed commons sense from a Captain and intelligence professional in the U.S. Army.  When we first entered Iraq we were told to avoid the immams and tribal chiefs, and this wasted at least four years of key leader engagement.  Neither the secret world nor the military “Human Terrain Team” program have gotten a grip on cultural intelligence or a coherent holistic matrix for strategic, operational, and tactical exploitation of political-legal, socio-economic, ideo-cultural, techno-demographic, and natural-geographic Essential Elements of Information (EEI).  We still have not integrated provincial team civil reporting with military tactical reporting, and still have both hugh gaps and costly overlaps.  This monograph, this captain, are the tip of the spear not just in leadership engagement, but in reconcilation–there is a reason why “truth” is included “Truth & Reconciliation Commission.”  BRAVO ZULU.

Journal: US Aid To Pakistan ‘Depleted By Admin Costs’

Peace Intelligence
Full Story Online
Full Story Online

By Farhan Bokhari in Islamabad and James Lamont in New Delhi

Half of the planned assistance pledged by the US to Pakistan is likely to be wastefully spent on administrative costs, Islamabad’s most senior finance official has said.

Phi Beta Iota: This is really about AID not letting Pakistan steal most of the money, as CIA likes to allow.

Continue reading “Journal: US Aid To Pakistan ‘Depleted By Admin Costs'”

Who’s Who in Peace Intelligence: Richard J. Aldrich

Alpha A-D, Peace Intelligence
Richard J. Aldrich
Richard J. Aldrich

Richard J. Aldrich is in the School of Politics at the University of Nottingham and is co-editor of the journal Intelligence and National Security. His publications include Intelligence and the War Against Japan: Britain, America and the Politics of Secret Service (Cambridge University Press, 2000) and The Hidden Hand: Britain America and Cold War Secret Intelligence (Overlook, 2002). His current projects include an examination of intelligence and state formation since 1648.

From Ireland to Bosnia: Intelligence Support for UK Low Intensity Operations

The Book
The Book

Who’s Who in Peace Intelligence: David J. H. Bell

Alpha A-D, Peace Intelligence

David J.H. Bell served as a research assistant to Walter Dorn at the University of Toronto in 1994-95. He graduated from Trinity College (University of Toronto) in 1995 with an honours bachelor's degree in Political Science and Ethics. Subsequently, he has held various positions in the public service of Canada.

Intelligence and Peacekeeping: The UN Operation in the Congo, 1960-1964

The Book
The Book

Who’s Who in Peace Intelligence: Matthew M. Aid

Alpha A-D, Peace Intelligence

Matthew M. Aid is a native of New York City. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in International Relations from Beloit College in Beloit, Wisconsin.  He has served as a senior manager with several large international financial research and investigative companies for more than 15 years. He is currently a Managing Director in the Washington, D.C. office of Citigate Global Intelligence & Security, where his responsibilities include managing the company’s international investigative and security operations. Aid was the co-editor with Dr. Cees Wiebes of Secrets of Signals Intelligence During the Cold War and Beyond (Cass, 2001), and is currently completing a history of the National Security Agency and its predecessor organisations. He is also the author of a chapter about the National Security Agency in a book published by the University of Kansas Press in 1998 entitled A Culture of Secrecy: The Government Versus the People’s Right to Know, as well as a number of articles on signals intelligence in Intelligence and National Security.

International Peacekeeping Operations: The Intelligence Challenge for America in the 21st Century

The Book
The Book

Who’s Who in Peace Intelligence: Richard Connaughton

Alpha A-D, Peace Intelligence

Richard Connaughton is a former officer of the British Army. His last appointment was head of Defence Studies with the rank of colonel, from which he took early retirement. He set up his own consultancy, National & International Consultancy, working for clients in the politico-military field world-wide. He has a post-graduate degree in International Relations from Cambridge and his PhD from Lancaster University is in Politics. He is an honorary research fellow for the Centre for Defence and International Security Studies. He has recently written papers for the Joint Forces Quarterly, Civil Wars and Small Wars and Insurgencies. Details of his books appear on his website: www.connaughton.org.uk  His most recent books are MacArthur and Defeat in the Philippines (New York: The Overlook Press 2002) and Military Intervention and Peacekeeping:  the Reality (Aldershot: Ashgate 2001). His next book, The Rising Sun and the Tumbling Bear, on the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-5, is to be published by Orion in 2003.

The Second Iraq Intervention 2002-2003

The Book
The Book