White Papers – Public Intelligence Blog

7 April 2017

MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT

Subject: Re-Asserting Your Command – Eight Decisions for Monday

1. Background. The system is rigged and you were not supposed to win. You need to unrig the system if you are to survive and be effective. Syria, right now, is your Bay of Pigs moment. Both the leaders of the US secret intelligence community and the US banking community are lying to you.

2. Action This Day. I humbly offer the following eight decisions for your consideration.

Continue reading “Robert Steele: Memorandum for the President 2.2”

2016/10/312016/11/23

Special Forces Graphics & Think Pieces on Human Domain

Officers Call, White Papers

Each of the below references in cited in the new monograph series, Reinventing the US Army, for the US Army’s Strategic Studies Institute (SSI); links go to the official US Army site. This list will grow over the next 30 days. Links to Human Domain graphics are included.

Continue reading “Special Forces Graphics & Think Pieces on Human Domain”

2014/05/172015/09/13

2014 Robert Steele Open Letter to Vice President of the United States of America Joe Biden, The White House

Advanced Cyber/IO, Congressional Research Service, Correspondence, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), Ethics, General Accountability Office, Government, Memoranda, Office of Management and Budget, Officers Call, Strategy, White Papers

Continue reading “2014 Robert Steele Open Letter to Vice President of the United States of America Joe Biden, The White House”

2013/08/26

Berto Jongman: Complex Emergencies

Communities of Practice, Officers Call, Policies, Threats, White Papers

This brief reviews the extant literature on complex emergencies (CE); it proposes a revised definition of what constitutes a CE, to include its causes and constituent parts; it provides a framework to distinguish CE’s from other ongoing conflicts; and it provides ways to respond to them.

Download: English (PDF · 8 pages · 1.0 MB)

Author: Léa Macias
Editor: Clionadh Raleigh
Series: CCAPS Briefs
Issue: 16
Publisher: Climate Change and African Political Stability (CCAPS) Program, United States

2013/01/162013/01/16

Reference: National Intelligence Model (NIM)

Definitions, White Papers

National Intelligence Model (NIM)

What it is:

In the context of the Police Reform Agenda, the NIM is ‘A Model for Policing’ that ensures information is fully researched, developed and analysed to provide intelligence which enables senior managers to:

Continue reading “Reference: National Intelligence Model (NIM)”

2012/12/192012/12/19

Reference: Atlantic Council Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World

02 China, 05 Iran, 06 Russia, Collective Intelligence, Commercial Intelligence, Communities of Practice, Earth Intelligence, Ethics, IO Impotency, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence, Strategy, White Papers

Document: Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World (Atlantic Council, 10 December 2030)

Executive Summary

Agree that we are at a potentially historic transition point. However, the Atlantic Council lacks the strategic analytic model to make the most of its otherwise formidable brain trust. Agree on the need for a new mental map, but they chose the wrong map. See the HourGlass Strategy as an alternative (also below the line).

The report misses multiple big possibilities including the eight tribes, M4IS2, and OSE.

1. Frame second-term policies from a more strategic and long-term perspective, recognizing the magnitude of the moment and the likelihood that the United States’ actions now will have generational consequences.

Absolutely. Understanding emergent public governance trends rooted in true cost and whole system analytics, which harness the distributed intelligence of the five billion poor, not in this report.

2. Continue to emphasize what has been called “nation-building at home” as the first foreign policy priority, without neglecting its global context.

Left unsaid is the need to establish a plan, coincident with the creation of a 450-ship Navy, a long-haul Air Force, and an air-liftable Army, to close most of our military bases around the world, and bring all of our troops – and their purchasing power – home.

Continue reading “Reference: Atlantic Council Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World”

2012/05/132012/05/13

Reference: NUCLEAR FAMINE – A BILLION PEOPLE AT RISK Global Impacts of Limited Nuclear War on Agriculture, Food Supplies, and Human Nutrition + Eugenics RECAP

01 Agriculture, 01 Brazil, 02 China, 03 India, 04 Indonesia, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 06 Russia, 07 Health, 07 Other Atrocities, 07 Venezuela, 08 Proliferation, 08 Wild Cards, 11 Society, Earth Intelligence, Government, Military, White Papers

NUCLEAR FAMINE: A BILLION PEOPLE AT RISK

Global Impacts of Limited Nuclear War on Agriculture, Food Supplies, and Human Nutrition

Ira Helfand, MD
International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War
Physicians for Social Responsibility

Credits and Acknowledgements
The publication of this briefing paper was made possible
thanks to the generous financial support of the Swiss Federal
Department of Foreign Affairs.

Executive Summary

Over the last several years, a number of studies have shown that a limited, regional nuclear war between India and Pakistan would cause significant climate disruption worldwide.

Two studies published this year examine the impact on agricultural output that would result from this climate disruption. In the US, corn production would decline by an average of 10% for an entire decade, with the most severe decline, about 20% in year 5. There would be a similar decline in soybean production, with, again, the most severe loss, about 20%, in year 5.

A second study found a significant decline in Chinese middle season rice production. During the first 4 years, rice production would decline by an average of 21%; over the next 6 years the decline would average 10%.

Continue reading “Reference: NUCLEAR FAMINE – A BILLION PEOPLE AT RISK Global Impacts of Limited Nuclear War on Agriculture, Food Supplies, and Human Nutrition + Eugenics RECAP”

2012/03/24

Reference: Strategic National Risk Assessment PPD-8

Strategy, White Papers

Marcus-Aurelius-150x150 — Marcus Aurelius

Here, from a Federal web site open to the public, is an unclassified summary of what the US Government considers to be the risks from certain natural and manmade threats. Recognize it for what it is: an unclassified summary.

The Strategic National Risk Assessment in Support of PPD 8 A Comprehensive Risk-Based Approach toward a Secure and Resilient Nation

Phi Beta Iota: An interesting effort with potential. It’s greatest failure is to avoid any consideration of national riots and armed insurrection in the face of complex inter-acting disasters that turn into catastrophes for lack of intelligence and integrity at all levels of all eight tribes, the government, military, law enforcement, and commerce especially. It’s second greatest failure is to ignore the fact that most of our problems are of our own making, and that the single fastest way to secure the USA would be to eradicate corruption and high crimes and misdemeanors now routine at the highest levels of Congress, the Executive, and as with CITIZENS UNITED, the Supreme Court. As marginally clever as this summary is, it is completely lacking in a strategic analytic model, a matrix for identifying and remediating all the preconditions of revolution, and any semblance of a “net assessment” that the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) might use to be effective –but in fairness to OMB, the White House clearly does not want OMB to be effective, just to fake the numbers and keep the theater up until after November 2012.

See Also:

Charles Perrow, The Next Catastrophe: Reducing Our Vulnerabilities to Natural, Industrial, and Terrorist Disasters (Princeton University Press, 2011)

Obama in a Strategic & Intellectual Vacuum

Who Needs Enemies When We Have Us?

2012 PREPRINT FOR COMMENT: The Craft of Intelligence

2012 Reflexivity = Integrity: Toward Earth/Life 4.0

2009 Perhaps We Should Have Shouted: A Twenty-Year Retrospective

2009 Fixing the White House & National Intelligence

2009 Intelligence for the President–AND Everyone Else

1992 E3i: Ethics, Ecology, Evolution, & intelligence (Full Text Online for Google Translate))

2012/03/142012/03/14

Reference: Political Terror Scale

09 Terrorism, Civil Society, Corruption, Government, Law Enforcement, Military, White Papers

Political Terror Scale Home Page

Political Terror Scale Levels

Level 5 : Terror has expanded to the whole population. The leaders of these societies place no limits on the means or thoroughness
with which they pursue personal or ideological goals.

level 4 Level 4 : Civil and political rights violations have expanded to large numbers of the population. Murders, disappearances, and torture are a common part of life. In spite of its generality, on this level terror affects those who interest themselves
in politics or ideas.

level 3 Level 3 : There is extensive political imprisonment, or a recent history of such imprisonment. Execution or other political murders and brutality may be common. Unlimited detention, with or without a trial, for political views is accepted.

Level 2 : There is a limited amount of imprisonment for nonviolent political activity. However, few persons are affected, torture and beatings are exceptional. Political murder is rare.

Level 1 : Countries under a secure rule of law, people are not imprisoned for their views, and torture is rare or exceptional. Political murders are extremely rare.

Learn more.

Tip of the Hat to Berto Jongman.

2012/03/042012/03/04

Reference: The Predicament of Mankind: A Quest for Structured Responses to Growing World-Wide Complexities and Uncertainties (Original Proposal to the Club of Rome).

Advanced Cyber/IO, Collective Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, White Papers

Ozbekhan, H. (1970) The Predicament of Mankind: A Quest for Structured Responses to Growing World-Wide Complexities and Uncertainties Proposal to the Club of Rome.

Club of Rome Original Proposal 1970

Phi Beta Iota: The Club of Rome considered two proposals. Limits to Growth, a top-down micro-management approach won. The losing proposal focused on educating people and assuring public buy-in to achieve implementable and sustainable reforms.

2012/03/042012/03/04

Reference: Ken Bausch on Third Phase Science and Dialogic Design Science

Advanced Cyber/IO, White Papers

FREE BLEEDING EDGE THINKING —

ADVANCES IN ACHIEVING INTELLIGENCE WITH INTEGRITY

Memorable Short-Cut: http://tinyurl.com/GWU-3rdOrder

2012-03-04 Ken Bausch on Third Phase Science (Handout)

2012-03-04 Ken Bausch Third Phase Science (Slides)

dialogic stages — Click on Image to Enlarge

The George Washington University
University Seminar on Reflexive Systems
Friday, March 2, 2012 from 10:00 am-12:00 pm
Funger Hall, Room 320,
2201 G Street NW

A Confluence of Third Phase Science
And Dialogic Design Science

Kenneth C Bausch
Institute for 21^st Century Agoras
Riverdale, GA 30274

Image Source / Learn More

Gerard de Zeeuw introduced the term ‘Third Phase Science’ in 1997. A deliberative method which is called Dialogic Design Science (DDS; see http://dialogicdesignscience.wikispaces.com) illustrates an effective way of implementing third phase science as a means of understanding and adapting complex social situations. This presentation will explain De Zeeuw’s concept in non-specialist language and expand on the historical context of third phase science as a means of addressing contemporary needs. It shows how DDS completes Third Phase Science as an axiomatic science and makes third phase science into a valuable design methodology.

Kenneth C. Bausch, PhD, grew up in Ohio and received his BA in Philosophy from Duns Scotus College followed by four years of intensive theological studies at St. Leonard’s College. He began his professional life as a Catholic priest of the Franciscan Order and has been a pastor, a high school teacher, an inner-city organizer working with street gangs and community groups, a counselor, a social service administrator, a real estate agent, a homebuilder, a contractor, a university professor, a research director, and an organizational consultant. Ken holds an MA in

Psychology from the State University of West Georgia and a Ph.D. in Psychology from Saybrook University. Ken now holds the leadership role at the Institute for 21st Century Agoras Institute, Capella University, and is currently teaching an online course through Flinders University in Australia. His published books include The Emerging Consensus in Social Systems Theory (with Aleco Christakis; Information Age Publishing, Greenwich, CT 2006) and with Tom Flanagan, A Democratic approach to Sustainable Futures (2011).