2000 Presidential Leadership and National Security Policy Making

Articles & Chapters, Decision-Making & Decision-Support, Strategy
Presidential Leadership
Presidential Leadership

Chapter 12, “Presidential Leadership and National Security Policy Making,” pp. 245-282.

PDF (38 Pages): Chapter 12 Presidential Leadership

Background

The Ninth Annual Strategy Conference, held at the U.S. Army War College in 1998, addressed the theme of “Challenging the United States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically: Can America be Defeated?” In the course of that event, a number of speakers and participants, including the author, reflected on our existing policymaking process and our existing force structure, but without making recommendations for specific changes.

In the largest sense, the Ninth Annual Strategy Conference called into question every aspect of Joint Vision 2010 and clearly identified a need to come to grips with several asymmetric threats for which our existing force structure is not well suited as a primary defense. A summary of the conference was subsequently published and is readily available online.2

Continue reading “2000 Presidential Leadership and National Security Policy Making”

2000 The Year in Computing Open Source Solutions

About the Idea, Articles & Chapters
Full Source Online
Full Source Online

The modern Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) revolution began in 1988, and it is known that it takes 25 years to move great ideas toward fruition.  Early adopters appeared in 1994-1996, and then a smal second roiund in 2000-2004, after which OSINT was consumed by the bureaucracy (in the USA–in 89 other countries it is doing better).  As we enter the final phrase, the operative concept is that governments are the beneficiaries, not the benefcators, of OSINT, and it must therefore be firmly rooted in Public Intelligence as a manifestation of Collective Intelligence, not in the federal budget.  Elsewhere we have lectured about “The Future of Intelligence: Not Federal, Not Secret, Not Expensive.”  That stands.

1999 Muddy Waters, Rusting Buckets: A Skeptical Assessment of U.S. Naval Effectiveness in the 21st Century

Articles & Chapters

Muddy Waters, Rusting Buckets: A Skeptical Assessment of U.S Naval Effectiveness in the 21st Century

by Robert D Steele

Neither the U.S. Navy nor the U.S. Marine Corps are ready for the 21st Century. The current plan for a 320-ship Navy not only leaves America without sustainable power projection, but also makes no provision for new capabilities needed to engage in operations other than war. This article briefly reviews the threat, the nature of the expeditionary environment and pertinent Marine Corps shortfalls, concluding with a detailed case for a 450-ship Navy.

Continue reading “1999 Muddy Waters, Rusting Buckets: A Skeptical Assessment of U.S. Naval Effectiveness in the 21st Century”

1998 Open Source Intelligence: Private Sector Capabiltiies to Support DoD Policy, Acquisition, and Operations

Articles & Chapters, Articles & Chapters, Military, Reform, Technologies

The below reference and article was drafted by Robert Steele with some editorial assistance from Mark Lowenthal, who was briefly an employee of OSS before jumping to SRA International.  The article draws on the experience of the Marine Corps Intelligence Center (MCIC) that was established by General Al Gray, USMC, then Commandant of the Marine Corps, largely to support expeditionary acquisition.  The Army, the Navy, and the Air Force are all “big system” services, and while the Army has begun to learn how to “eat the tail” and reduce the logistics footprint (as well as the ground convey exposure and expense), the reality is that DoD acquisition remains totally hosed today, and 20,000 new people (as planned by Secretary of Defense Robert Gates) are not going to be effecive for three reasons:

1.  DoD makes policy without regard to strategy or intelligence

2.  DoD acquires systems without regard to strategy, lacking a strategic analytic model

3.  DoD is long over-due for massive changes to Title 109 such that we have four proponents for Big War, Small War, Peace War, and Homeland Defense (each of the Services could be redirected appropriately) but–big but–the regional combatant commanders become BOTH the hubs for Whole of Government inter-agency planning, programming, and budgeting AND the primary proponents for what is needed in their theaters.

DoD Acquisition
DoD Acquisition

Should it not be crystal clear, the “butts in seats” approach in which contractors cost the taxpayer 250% of their salary is not sanctioned by this early article on how to fix intelligence support to acquisition.  Small cells, a global grid of multinational sharing and sense-making partners, and the ability to “know who knows,” to apply strategic analytic tradecraft, and to produce “just enough, just in time, just right” Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) that either stands on its own or radically enhances all-source intelligence production, are the way to go.  No one now providing OSINT under OMB Code M320 understaqnds how to do that.

1998 JFQ The Asymmetric Threat: Listening to the Debate

Articles & Chapters, Asymmetric, Cyber, Hacking, Odd War, Complexity & Catastrophe, Complexity & Resilience, Diplomacy, Disaster Relief, Intelligence (Government/Secret), Intelligence (Public), Peace, Poverty, & Middle Class, Strategy, Threats (Emerging & Perennial), War & Face of Battle
Asymmetric Threat
Asymmetric Threat

FIXED 31 March 2013

PDF (7 Pages): JFQ Asymmetric Threat Steele

“The Asymmetric Threat: Listening to the Debate,” published in the Winter 1998-1999 issue, is a concise summary of the Army Strategy Conference of 1998.  Click on the icon below to read the summary of the Army Strategy Conference of 2008, which JFQ has declined to publish.

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