Review: Seeing What’s Next–Using Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change

5 Star, Best Practices in Management, Change & Innovation, Future

Seeing NextBook-End for Prahalad's Fortune at the Bottom, July 29, 2008

Clayton M. Christensen

The primary author's first two books were each sensational in their own way–.I was particularly gripped by his description of the throw-away camara as being unattractive to the high-end camara shops, but when adopted by grocery stores, led to the 90% of the non-consumers of high-end camaras getting into photography. The key: low-cost offering for the non-consumers introduced outside the incumbent arena.

That is the heart of this new book, and the addition of two co-authors suggest that the author's vision is spreading.

I actually read the two chapters on education and health care first–the first because my oldest son blew off his senior year in high school at not worthy of his time, and is now racking up community college credits at very low cost (with the same instructors from the higher cost Geroge Mason University) and is a living embodiment of the education chapters first focus: what matters is not credentialling from the higher end universities, but the low cost acquisition of “just enough just right” learning from key teachers (the brand is shifting from schools to teachers).

Both the education and the health chapters drive home three big points that I find compelling and exciting in the context of C. K. Prahalad's The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid: Eradicating Poverty Through Profits (Wharton School Publishing Paperbacks):

1. The innovation and profit opportunities are with the non-consumers–the ultimate non-0consumers today are the five billion poor, and especially the 1.5 billion each in China and in India, two countries that have the capability to create call centers for “just enough just in time” learning via cell phone.

2. The keys to health innovation, both in the developed world of one billioin rich and in the undeveloped world of the five billion poor, are:

a. Creating “good enough” solutions that are very low cost and easy to push into remote areas that could not afford high end care; and

b. Pushing innovation down the pyramid from the expensive sites and specialists to the nurse-practitioners and ultimately to the patient themselves; while also moving the diagnostics and the remedies down to the point of care and aware from the hospital “hubs” that are now as antiquated as the airline “hubs” that block point to point travel.

Chapter Ten on “The Future of Telecommunications gave me goose-bumps. No kidding. Thunderclaps and blinding lighting accompanied the third page of this chapter, in part because I have been thinking about Open Spectrum (see David Weinberger's brilliant chapter on this, free online, and also his new book, a sensational new book, Everything Is Miscellaneous: The Power of the New Digital Disorder. Althought the chapter focuses priimarily on wireless versus hardline hardware options, and does not mention either the obvious fact that satellites still have too much delay for ubiquitous wireless from outer space (something that should go away in ten years with higher energy pulses), or the other obvious fact, that even wireless is being commoditized and that on demand services and sense-making are the next big offering from the innovators, I found this chapter compelling. Arthur Clarke said long ago that telecommunications should be more or less free as an enabler, and I agree. We need to make both communications and education free to all, and monetize the transactions, the patterns, the early warning, and the aggregate sense-making.

The next most important chapter for me was Chapter 3, “Strategic Choices: Identifying Which Choices Matter.” What stuck with me are three things:

1. Start early–don't wait for everyone else to realize the need

2. Hire accordingly. This is HUGE. Most companies have a profile for new employees that is 20 years out of date. Most companies have no clue that Digital Natives are completely different from Digital Immigrants (as one author notes: this is the first generation where the kids are not little version of us–they are a metaphysical transformation well beyond us and anything we can comprehend). Hence, companies have to have the leadership needed to create a “safe” skunkworks where iconoclasts and others who are largely antithetical to the gerbils and drones hired in the past, can innovate without having to deal with the insecurities, ignorance, bad habits, and “rankism” of those trapped in the pyramidal paradigms of the past.

The Appendix provides a summary of key concepts and has some really excellent illustrations that are very helpful. The point within the Appendex that escaped me earlier in the book and was driven home here is that ultimately the innovative firms make investments as a means of learning, not as a means of realizing their pre-conceived notions of what is needed next. I continue to recommend the Business Week cover story of 20 June 2005, “The Power of Us.” Innovation, it appears to me, works best when firms both hire and invest to learn, *and* dramatically and deliberately expand the stakeholder circle to embrace the end-user being sought as a customer.

The rest of the book is very worthwhile for those that do not read broadly in the business or innovation leadership.

Other books that I have found as exciting at this one:
Groundswell: Winning in a World Transformed by Social Technologies
Mobilizing Generation 2.0: A Practical Guide to Using Web2.0 Technologies to Recruit, Organize and Engage Youth
The Change Handbook: The Definitive Resource on Today's Best Methods for Engaging Whole Systems
Society's Breakthrough!: Releasing Essential Wisdom and Virtue in All the People
How to Change the World: Social Entrepreneurs and the Power of New Ideas, Updated Edition
The leadership of civilization building: Administrative and civilization theory, symbolic dialogue, and citizen skills for the 21st century
The Wealth of Networks: How Social Production Transforms Markets and Freedom

Finally, a book I published with 55 contributors, free online but utterly wonderful in

Review: The Water Atlas–A Unique Visual Analysis of the World’s Most Critical Resource

5 Star, Atlases & State of the World, Water, Energy, Oil, Scarcity
Atlas Water
Amazon Page

2004, needs updating and a web site, July 28, 2008

Robin Clarke

Published in 2004, this is an extraordinary book for its combination of authoritative sources, visualizations, and the plain fact that water, not energy, is the Achilles' heel of civilization.

The authors are extremely well-qualified, and I really appreciate their source references, many of which are online. Sadly, they have not created a web-site as a companion to the book, and so we are stuck with the best that analog hard copy can do, and no where near the power of digital interactive visualization and modeling.

Normally I would take one star away becuase the publisher has not done their job in listing this book at Amazon. They should have posted the table of contents at a minimum, and ideally also offered Amazon “inside the book” privileges. Below is the table of contents, the easiest way for me to both praise the book and inform prospective buyers.

Part 1: A Finite Resource
Fresh Out of Water
More People, Less Water
Rising Demand
Robbing the Bank

Part 2: Uses and Abuses
Water at Home
Water for Food
Irrigation
Agricultural Pollution
Water for Industry
Industrial Pollution
Water for Power
The Damned

Part 3: Water Health
Access to Water
Sanitation
Dirty Water Kills
Harbouring Disease
Insidious Contamination

Part 4: Re-shaping the Natural World
Diverting the Flow
Draining Wetlands
Groundwater Mining
Expanding Cities
Desperate Measures
Floods
Droughts

Part 5: Water Conflicts
The Need for Cooperation
Pressure Points
Weapon of War

Part 6: Ways Forward
The Water Business
Conserving Supplies
Setting Priorities
Vision of the Future

Part 7: Tables
Needs and Resources
Uses and Abuses

The tables are per capita by country.

See also:
Water: The Fate of Our Most Precious Resource
Blue Frontier: Dispatches from America's Ocean Wilderness
The Blue Death: Disease, Disaster, and the Water We Drink
Adaptive and Integrated Water Management: Coping with Complexity and Uncertainty

In other fascinating atlases of this type:
The Penguin Atlas of War and Peace: Completely Revised and Updated
Zones of Conflict: An Atlas of Future Wars
An Atlas of Poverty in America: One Nation, Pulling Apart, 1960-2003
Atlas of Sexually Transmitted Diseases and AIDS
The Atlas of Climate Change: Mapping the World's Greatest Challenge (Atlas Of… (University of California Press))

Review: Royal Flush–Impeach Bush Now Cards

5 Star, Impeachment & Treason

Brilliant Idea, Well Executed, Super Gift Both Serious and Fun, July 27, 2008

Jerry A. Vasilatos

I would have liked to see several sample cards shown by the publisher, but there is no arguing with the brilliance and utility of this presentation. Sadly, unless it comes soaked in beer and can be “seen” on talk radio, it will miss the illiterates that most need to understand how they have been betrayed by their own government.

Here are some books that you can point folks at if they ask for sources:

The Bush Tragedy
Vice: Dick Cheney and the Hijacking of the American Presidency
Weapons of Mass Deception: The Uses of Propaganda in Bush's War on Iraq
9/11 Synthetic Terror: Made in USA, Fourth Edition
The 9/11 Commission Report: Omissions And Distortions
Articles of Impeachment Against George W. Bush
The Impeachment of George W. Bush: A Practical Guide for Concerned Citizens
The Case for Impeachment: The Legal Argument for Removing President George W. Bush from Office
Running on Empty: How the Democratic and Republican Parties Are Bankrupting Our Future and What Americans Can Do About It
Breach of Trust: How Washington Turns Outsiders Into Insiders

Review: The Hidden History of 9-11

5 Star, 9-11 Truth Books & DVDs, History

9-11 historyEssential Reference, and Essential Update, July 24, 2008

Paul Zarembka

This is an edited work, and I know the work of many of the authors. It is an essential reference, and has additional value for being an update.

Just as we now know that the Warren Commission was a cover-up, and that JFK was murdered by Cuban exiles who used their CIA training and equipment (intended for Castro) to murder JFK and set up Oswald (see Someone Would Have Talked: The Assassination of President John F. Kennedy and the Conspiracy to Mislead History, we now also know that the 9-11 Commission was at best a grotesque combination of neophytes and compromised corrupt individuals, and at worst, a very deliberate red herring.

APPENDIX: 16 Questions on the JFK Assassination by Bertrand Russell in this book is an extraordinary offering. His questions were asked prior to the Warren Commission, and represent the ease with which intelligent citizens can question their government and get at the truth.

I strongly recommend this book, as well as the others listed below, in general order of preference. Use my reviews as executive summaries.

9/11 Synthetic Terror: Made in USA, Fourth Edition
Vice: Dick Cheney and the Hijacking of the American Presidency
Rule by Secrecy: The Hidden History That Connects the Trilateral Commission, the Freemasons, and the Great Pyramids
Crossing the Rubicon: The Decline of the American Empire at the End of the Age of Oil
Web of Deceit: The History of Western Complicity in Iraq, from Churchill to Kennedy to George W. Bush
Weapons of Mass Deception: The Uses of Propaganda in Bush's War on Iraq
The Looming Tower: Al Qaeda and the Road to 9/11 (Vintage)
The Sorrows of Empire: Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic (Blowback Trilogy)
The Bush Tragedy

I also recommend all the 9-11 DVDs, easily found by searching Amazon DVD for 9-11, but there are few that are not available on Amazon and are truly extraordinary.

Finally, for the good news, see my briefings to Hackers on Planet Earth this past week, both at the Earth Intelligence Network site, and also the older briefings to Gnomedex and Amazon Developers Conference, via EIN at the EarthWiki. We the People are almost at a point where we can crush the government with truth–non-violent inescapable truth.

Worth a Look: Book Reviews on Peak Oil

00 Remixed Review Lists, Water, Energy, Oil, Scarcity, Worth A Look

Peak Oil

Review: Blood and Oil–The Dangers and Consequences of America’s Growing Dependency on Imported Petroleum

Review: Crossing the Rubicon–The Decline of the American Empire at the End of the Age of Oil (Paperback)

Review: Dreaming War–Blood for Oil and the Cheney-Bush Junta

Review: Peak Everything: Waking Up to the Century of Declines

Review: Peak Oil Survival–Preparation for Life After Gridcrash

Review: Petrodollar Warfare–Oil, Iraq and the Future of the Dollar

Review: Powerdown–Options and Actions for a Post-Carbon World (Paperback)

Review: Resource Wars–The New Landscape of Global Conflict

Review: The Coming Economic Collapse–How You Can Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel (Hardcover)

Review: The Oil Depletion Protocol–A Plan to Avert Oil Wars, Terrorism and Economic Collapse

Review: The Party’s Over–Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies (Paperback)

Review: Twilight in the Desert–The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy (Hardcover)

Review (Guest): Gusher of Lies–The Dangerous Delusions of Energy Independence

Review (Guest): Power Hungry–The Myths of “Green” Energy and the Real Fuels of the Future

Worth a Look: Book Reviews on Environmental Degradation (Other than Emissions)

00 Remixed Review Lists, Environment (Problems), Worth A Look

Environmental Degradation (Other than Emissions)

Review: Acts of God–The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in America

Review: Catastrophe–An Investigation into the Origins of Modern Civilization

Review: Environment, Scarcity, and Violence

Review: Environment, Scarcity, and Violence.

Review: Floods, Famines, And Emperors–El Nino And The Fate Of Civilizations

Review: Nature’s Extremes–Inside the Great Natural Disasters That Shape Life on Earth (Time Magazine Hardcover)

Review: Plows, Plagues, and Petroleum–How Humans Took Control of Climate (Hardcover)

Review: The Biodiversity Crisis–Losing What Counts

Review: The Vanishing of a Species? A Look at Modern Man’s Predicament by a Geologist (Hardcover)

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