NIGHTWATCH: Afghanistan Army Imploding – South Viet-Nam Redux

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 08 Wild Cards
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Afghanistan: Late last week, The US Special Inspector General for Afghanistan published a quarterly report which included a section on manning in the Afghan National Army. The British newspaper Independent also published UK findings on manning as well, but with a slightly different focus.

The US report indicates the Afghan National Army has gotten smaller in the past year. Strength in March 2012 was But strength in February 2013 was 175,441.

The British reports that attrition in the Afghan National Army is about 30%, or three in every ten soldiers are killed, captured or dismissed for cause. The report also states that 5,000 recruits a month just quit, or annually a third of the current strength of the Afghan National Army.

The Special Inspector General stipulated that accurate and reliable accounting of government forces strength is necessary to help ensure US funds are spent for legitimate and eligible costs. It quoted a US command that there exists no “viable method of validating personnel numbers.”

Comment: The two reports read like Vietnam redux. The US report makes clear that without outside money, almost no Afghan security forces loyal to the government would exist.

NIGHTWATCH KGS Home

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Neal Rauhauser: Understanding Syria (Dot Chart & Links to 13 Prior Posts)

08 Wild Cards
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Neal Rauhauser
Neal Rauhauser

Understanding Syria

I began reading about Syria literally the day I knew I was done with domestic elections and less than two weeks later I produced my first article. I delved into the civil war, and I checked up on water and wheat, which is something of a proxy for overall food security.

. . . . . .

These are the thirteen articles I wrote being November 14th and February 17th. I am not going to get mixed up in the minutia of what just happened, as it’s a mob scene. I may break out Recorded Future again, or try to put some sensible bounds on what a post-Assad Syria looks like.

Read full post with three graphics and 13 Links

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Theophillis Goodyear: Bring a Stupid Teen-Ager is Now a Felony

Corruption, Government, Idiocy, Law Enforcement
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Theophillis Goodyear
Theophillis Goodyear

It may be idiocy but it is also fascism — zero tolerance means the state defines all speech as subject to state definition — both a tautalogical redundancy and a clear and present overturning of the Constitutional right to free speech.

Teenagers, social media, and terrorism: a threat level hard to assess

Authorities are leaning more toward zero tolerance of teenagers who fling around online threats about acts of violence or terrorism. As a result, what might have once merited a slap on the wrist may today result in criminal charges.

The case of teenager Cameron Dambrosio might serve as an object lesson to young people everywhere about minding what you say online unless you are prepared to be arrested for terrorism.

The Methuen, Mass., high school student was arrested last week after posting online videos that show him rapping an original song that police say contained “disturbing verbiage” and reportedly mentioned the White House and the Boston Marathon bombing. He is charged with communicating terrorist threats, a state felony, and faces a potential 20 years in prison. Bail is set at $1 million.

Whether the arrest proves to be a victory in America‘s fight against domestic terrorism or whether Cameron made an unfortunate artistic choice in the aftermath of the Boston bombing will become clear as the wheels of justice advance. What is apparent now, however, is that law enforcement agencies are tightening their focus on the social media behavior of US teenagers – not just because young people often fit the profile of those who are vulnerable to radicalization, but also because the public appears to be more accepting of monitoring and surveillance aimed at preventing attacks, even at the risk of government overreach.

Read full article.

 See Also (Exact Words in Rap):

Continue reading “Theophillis Goodyear: Bring a Stupid Teen-Ager is Now a Felony”

Berto Jongman: Decapitation Does Not Work – Makes Religious Groups MORE Violent

Government, Ineptitude, Military
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Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

PDF 10 pages

The Journal of International Policy Solutions

Spring 2008 | Volume 9  40 

Testing The Snake Head Strategy: Does Killing or Capturing its Leaders Reduce a Terrorist Group’s Activity?

EXTRACT:

The result that consistently stood out from this researchwas the propensity of decapitation strikes to cause religious organizations to become substantially more deadly

Read full article (lots of mathematics).

Berto Jongman: YouTube (19:57) American Drone – Operation Paul Revere InfoWars.com Contest

Corruption, Government, Law Enforcement
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Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

Being watched in Europe.

Phi Beta Iota: This is RIVETING and this is REAL. Every US citizen should watch all 19 minutes and 57 seconds.  It is a study in ethics — and a reminder that we all swear an oath to defend the Constitution of the United States of America against all enemies domestic and foreign — we  do not swear an oath to obey nakedly amoral criminals in the chain of command.

American Drone – Operation Paul Revere InfoWars.com contest

Published on May 1, 2013

Submitted to the ‘Operation Paul Revere' contest, hosted by www.infowars.com