Marcus Aurelius: Superficial Cuts at Defense

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, Budgets & Funding, Corruption, DoD, Government, Military
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Marcus Aurelius

There is a lot of waste in the defense budget, much of it inserted by Congress for pork reasons, but DoD is also used to mask many other non-Defense programs, not just intelligence but in energy, health, foreign aid, etcetera.  Breaking the bargain with military retirees on health care is both a major betrayal, and a window into an alternative, a national health care service that does not pay full price for pharmaceutical that rarely work.

Deficit Cutters Look To Pentagon Budget

By Donna Cassata, Associated Press

WASHINGTON–One war is done, another is winding down and the calls to cut the deficit are deafening. The military, a beneficiary of robust budgets for more than a decade, is coming to grips with a new reality — fewer dollars.

The election accelerated an already shifting political dynamic that next year will pair a second-term Democratic president searching for spending cuts with tea partyers and conservatives intent on preserving lower tax rates above all else, even if it means once unheard of reductions in defense.

President Barack Obama and Congress have just a few weeks to figure out how to avert the automatic cuts to defense and domestic programs totaling $110 billion next year. Those reductions are part of the so-called fiscal cliff of expiring Bush-era tax cuts and the across-the-board cuts that Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has warned would be devastating to the military.

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Marcus Aurelius: Thomas Ricks on Generals “Casual Arrogance”

Corruption, Idiocy, Ineptitude, Military
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Marcus Aurelius

Combine this with the reporting on toxic leadership (e.g. by LTG(R) Walter Ulmer) and you have the whole picture.  Emphasis added below.

Questioning The Brass

By Thomas E. Ricks

New York Times, November 12, 2012
Pg. 29

Washington–OVER the last 11 years, as we fought an unnecessary war in Iraq and an unnecessarily long one in Afghanistan, the civilian American leadership has been thoroughly — and justly — criticized for showing poor judgment and lacking strategies for victory. But even as those conflicts dragged on, our uniformed leaders have escaped almost any scrutiny from the public.

Our generals actually bear much of the blame for the mistakes in the wars. They especially failed to understand the conflicts they were fighting — and then failed to adjust their strategies to the situations they faced so that they might fight more effectively.

Even now, as our wars wind down, the errors of our generals continue to escape public investigation, or even much internal review. As the Vietnam War drew to an end, the Army carried out a soul-searching study of the state of its officer corps. To my knowledge, no such no-holds-barred examination is under way now. Instead, the military’s internal analyses continue to laud the Pentagon’s top brass while placing almost all of the blame for what went wrong in our wars on civilian leaders.

As Paul Yingling, a recently retired Army colonel, noted during some of the darkest days of the Iraq war, a private who loses his rifle is punished more than a general who loses his part of a war.

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Mini-Me: CIA Bimbo Eruption or Hit Job with Vickers Replacing Patreaus? Photos Updated 14 Nov

Cultural Intelligence, Government
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Who? Mini-Me?

Huh?

“The harassing e-mails Broadwell sent to the woman [evidently from Patreus's personal email account and computer] said things such as “I know what you did,” “back off” and “stay away from my guy,” a government official said.”

“This is about something else entirely, and the truth will come out,” Broadwell’s dad, Paul Krantz, told the Daily News outside his home in Bismarck, N.D.

“There is a lot more that is going to come out,” said Krantz, claiming he was not allowed to elaborate. “You wait and see. There’s a lot more here than meets the eye.”

PICTURED: The State Department military liaison [sic — just a local charity family services liaison according to other reports] who sparked revelations of Petraeus affair after complaining to FBI about ‘jealous' mistress

Jill Kelley Pre-Bimbo

Phi Beta Iota:  Mini-Me is evidently captivated by the photos–note the strategically unbuttoned buttons–but the story is still developing.  Jill Kelley (not to be confused with porn star Jill Kelly) is shown here to the right.  The FBI would not normally get into an email harrassment case — there is much more to this than we have been told.  For this to go down as it has, three separate powers had to want Petraeus' head on a platter:

01  CENTCOM would have heard of this first, via the Command Group.  One call to the General and this would have been nipped in the bud.  Somebody at CENTCOM chose to let this go to the next level [it is highly unlikely FBI would have acted on emails as described].

02  FBI, which does not do anything at this level without the explicit approval of the Director and probably in this instance the Attorney General, chose to bring the hammer down instead of doing a courtesy notification.

03  The DNI, himself known for having a harem in the past, chose to hang General Patraeus.  This may have something to do with Mike Vickers wanting to move to CIA, and then the back-stabbing will be completed with the DNI being phased out awhile Vickers is restored to the role of Director of Central Intelligence.  Vickers was a desk officer at CIA for three years, before that a special operations enlisted man promoted to company grade.  He has been described as an inoffensive wall-flower.

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Yoda: The Intertia of Large States – View from Quebec

Government, Ineptitude
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Got Crowd? BE the Force!

Quebecois, he is.  Author's translation, this is.

States and the inertia

With the commission Charbonneau, now we know what leads the inertia of the state.

René Marcel Sauve
Free forum Vigil
Sunday, November 11, 2012

The State’s force of inertia.

Concerning the imminent economic and political catastrophe awaiting the United States, I tend to agree with most statements produced so far.  However, allow me to express this case with a different language, using the terminology of geopolitics.

Not being different from all other big States of History, one can say  that the United States suffer from what is referred to in geopolitics as the force of inertia affecting all States and large powers in the World.

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Robert Steele: Post-Benghazi — Open Season on CIA?

Corruption, Ethics, Government
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Robert David STEELE Vivas
Click on Image for Bio Page

Open Season on CIA?  – Are The Days of Living Immunity Instead of Cover Over?

I had occasion to reflect today on the past twenty years, recollecting how easily in 1992 a new path could have been taken, one that reconnected the US intelligence community to “ground truth” using open sources and methods, as well as “full spectrum” HUMINT, a term I coined. It gives me pause to recollect that 1993 was also the year in which CIA was attacked by a lone gunman at its front gate, killing two and wounding three others., an attack inspired by and stemming directly from CIA operations in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Although I have been an intelligence reformer since first realizing how little CIA actually knows about the business of intelligence (for example, writing the first ever Standard Operating Procedures for a (Clandestine) Field Station in 1985, along with the first ever Guide to Managing the Support Account, I have never sought to harm CIA, nor have I wished for harm to befall those that work for CIA.

Today, in the aftermath of Benghazi, a quick tour of the horizon suggests to me that CIA's days of living immunity instead of cover are over.  Although my first book, ON INTELLIGENCE: Spies and Secrecy in an Open World (AFCEA, 2000) addressed the urgency of getting serious about cover — official “cover” as practiced by CIA is a global joke — and I had a foreword from Senator David Boren (D-OK), past Chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI) — CIA has chosen to ignore all the signals of its looming demise as a global intelligence service.

In recent times, I have been struck by the lack of professionalism and lack of integrity that has characterized CIA's rush into renditions and torture in secret prisons, to the point that CIA officers alive and well in the USA today have been convicted in an Italian court and the way is now open for a formal extradition request.  Even if they are not extradited, I would certainly recommend to those officers a complete change of name, location, and even profession.  It is a certainty that one day, some angry Italian is going to be moved to hunt them down and kill them and their families–I hope without success.  Other countries, other relatives, are going to start coming after CIA, not only from Iraq and Afghanistan, but from the many other countries where CIA has been both amatuerish and cavalier in its covert operations.

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Randale Sechrest: Internet and the Crisis in Higher Education

Education, Innovation, Knowledge
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Randale Sechrest

I rely on Nicholas Carr to be the fly in the ointment to all things hailed as utopian about the Internet. The critic's view of the online learning “revolution”.

The Crisis in Higher Education

Online vesion of college courses are attracting hundreds of thousands of students, millions of dollars in funding, and accolades from university administrators.  Is this a fad, or is higher education about to get the overhaul it needs?

Nicholar Carr

MIT Technology Review, 27 September 2012

Phi Beta Iota:  This is a better overview article than those previously posted here.

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Yoda: Data Producing Intelligence — But Not in the “Intelligence” Community

Corruption, Government, Ineptitude, IO Impotency
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Got Crowd? BE the Force!

Intelligence, this is.

Predicting presidents, storms and life by computer

Associated Press, Saturday, November 10, 2012

WASHINGTON (AP) — Forget political pundits, gut instincts, and psychics. The mightier-than-ever silicon chip seems to reveal the future.

In just two weeks this fall, computers models displayed an impressive prediction prowess.

It started when the first computer model alerted meteorologists to the pre-Halloween disaster headed for the Northeast from a bunch of clouds in the Caribbean. Nearly a week later, that weather system became Hurricane Sandy and grew into a superstorm after taking a once-in-a-century sharp turn into New Jersey.

Then, statistician and blogger Nate Silver correctly forecast on his beat-up laptop how all 50 states would vote for president. He even predicted a tie in Florida and projected it eventually would tip to President Barack Obama, which is the equivalent of predicting a coin landing on its side. He did it by taking polling data, weighing it for past accuracy and running 40,000 computer simulations at a time.

He then gave his forecast in terms of percentages, saying that Obama had a 91 percent chance of being re-elected.

In the case of Sandy, lives were at stake. With the election, reputations were on the line and some pundits were dismissive of the computer modeling. Bets were made. Challenges issued.

The math majors came out on top thanks to better and more accessible data and rapidly increasing computer power.

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