Yoda: Trump Will Win, Clinton Will Lose? But What If…

Cultural Intelligence

yoda with light saberThink, we must.

Jaime Enoch Ortega, The Daily Journalist

Despite the odds, Donald Trump will beat Hillary Clinton in November

Dave Hodges, The Common Sense Show

The Clinton Campaign Is In Real Trouble

A true national poll, 1000 homes across all demographics in all 50 states finds Trump favored by 67%.

But What If….

Continue reading “Yoda: Trump Will Win, Clinton Will Lose? But What If…”

Journal: Integrity, Afghanistan, & The White House

02 Diplomacy, 05 Civil War, 08 Wild Cards, 10 Security, Ethics, Military, Peace Intelligence

SMALL WARS JOURNAL

Robert Haddock
Robert Haddock

This Week at War: America's Last Counterinsurgent?

McChrystal report unwittingly slays counterinsurgency doctrine

September 25, 2009

Robert Haddock

This summer the U.S. government has faced a deteriorating crisis in Afghanistan. Such crises tend to force policymakers to face up to the facile assumptions they have previously made. Gen. Stanley McChrystal’s report to his civilian masters on the faltering counterinsurgency campaign in Afghanistan has caused President Barack Obama and his advisers to face up to their basic assumptions about U.S. objectives and strategies for perhaps the first time. Obama and his team seem very likely to conclude from this long overdue examination of first principles that it will be impractical for the U.S. to successfully implement a counterinsurgency campaign plan in Afghanistan. McChrystal’s assessment has unwittingly tossed the U.S. military’s counterinsurgency field manual into the shredder. McChrystal’s report is brutally honest about the troubles in Afghanistan.

Click on title above for complete article, below for Phi Beta Iota comment and links to three “fix” pieces.

Continue reading “Journal: Integrity, Afghanistan, & The White House”

Journal: Afghanistan Bay of Pigs Reprise

05 Civil War, 10 Security, Military

Wall Stree Journal Full Story Online
Wall Stree Journal Full Story Online

What Next In Afghanistan? The Five People Obama Is Asking

Click on photo for full story.  Grades and comments are those of Phi Beta Iota.

Vice President Joe Biden. C+. Scale back, Drones and Special Forces on high-value targets.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. F.  Delusional on Taliban as lovers of Al Qaeda, listening to slick Australian on spending our way into hearts and minds.

National Security Adviser James Jones. D. Good man that does not know what he does not know, drops from a C to a D because his job is outreach and ensuring the President hears from a diversity of views, that is not happening.

Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Mike Mullen.  C+. A strategic savant trapped between a rock and a hard-place, his integrity fights his loyalty every day.  A for the rest of the world, D for not calling AF for what it is: a blunder of epic proportions.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates.  B-. Found his integrity in pushing the troop demand into the public eye after first being a loyalist.  Learned from Viet-Nam that Ho was a nationalist after all, Taliban is more of the same.  A lame duck while Obama decides between Chuck Hagel and John Hamre.

Administration Over-All:  D. Empire as Usual, Bureaucracy as Usual, Sacrificing our Troops to Buy Time, Not Listening to Serious Experts, Not Able to Think a Strategic Thought, Not Able to Plan, Program, and Execute a Whole of Government Anything.

Military Archives on Public Intelligence (1992-2006)

Military
Archives 1992-2006
Archives 1992-2006

2005

US

Military Steele US Army Conference: E3i: Making the Revolution

2005

US

Military USA Army Modernization Briefing

2004

US

Military Simmons Foreword to the Draft SOF OSINT Handbook

2004

NL

Military Wiebes SIGINT in Bosnia

2003

US

Military Hardee OSINT in Support of Special Operations

2003

US

Military Harrison OSINT Requirements, Collection, & Production Management

2003

US

Military Steele SOUTHCOM: Strategic Threat Assessment

2003

US

Military Steele AFCEA Texas: C4I Revolution and National Security

2003?

US

Military Steele To SecDef: Force Structure Trade-Offs and the Real World

2002

US

Military Hardee Growing an Open Source Intelligence Program

2001

US

Military Steele AUSA: Intelligence Support to a Transforming Army

2001

US

Military Steele AWC: Welcome to the Real World: Force Structure Trade-Offs

2000

CA

Military Cox OSINT at SHAPE…Some Musings

2000

FR

Military Debat The Challenge of Informing European Defence Decisions

2000

US

Military Hughes Open Sources and Intelligent Solutions

2000

Austria

Military Mueller Austrian Military Intelligence Thoughts on OSINT

2000

UK

Military Regan The UK Ministry of Defence OSINT Program

2000

US

Military Reynolds U.S. Transportation Command OSINT

2000

US

Military Steele Briefing to NATO/PfP: One World Ready or Not

1999

US

Military Clark EAGLE VISION: USAF Initiative for Tactical Receipt of Imagery

1999

US

Military Connors PACOM Additional Slides on VIC

1999

US

Military Connors U.S. Pacific Command’s Virtual Information Center (VIC)

1999

US

Military Dearth Intelligence in the 21st Century

1999

US

Military Lee Summary of Military Map Availabililty for Iran

1999

US

Military Myers & Madison Virtual Information Center Concept Refinement

1999

US

Military Prinslow & Bond Information Sharing in Humanitarian Emergencies

1999

US

Military Steele Overview of OSINT Issues & OSINT Utility to DoD

1999

US

Military Steele Setting the Stage for Information Sharing in the 21st Century: 3 Issues

1999

US

Military Steele What Do We Need to Know and Where Do We Get It? (Slides)

1999

US

Military Steele Expeditionary Environment in the 21st Century

1999

US

Military Wirtz Bridging the Culture Gap: OSINT and the Tet Offensive

1998

US

Military Beavers & Shanahan Operationalizing IO in Bosnia-Herzegovina (Book Chapter)

1998

SE

Military Bjore Open Sources and Methods for the Military

1998

SE

Military Bjore OSINT Lessons Learned

1998

UK

Military Rathmell Assessing the IW Threat from Sub-State Groups

1998

US

Military Steele INFORMATION PEACEKEEPING: Purest Form of War (Outline)

1998

US

Military Steele Skeptical Assessment of USN-USMC Based on Real-World OSINT

1998

US

Military Steele TAKEDOWN: The Asymmetric Threat to the Nation

1998

UK

Military Tyrrell OSINT: The Challenge for NATO

1997

US

Military Alger IATAC: Building a Knowledge Base of Emerging IAT

1997

US

Military Clark EAGLE VISION: Tactical Downlink Station for Imagery

1997

US

Military Clinton Managing Complex Contingency Operations

1997

US

Military Molholm DTIC: Building a Virtual Knowledge Warehouse

1997

US

Military Necoba The Marines and OSINT

1997

US

Military Pedtke National Air Intelligence Center Science & Technology OSINT

1997

US

Military Steele CINC Brief: The One that Got CINCSOC (Now CSA) to Buy In

1997

US

Military Steele Creating a Bare Bones OSINT  Capability (Slides)

1997

US

Military Steele Creating a Bare Bones OSINT Unit for DIA

1997

US

Military Steele CINCSOC 10 Minute Brief on OSINT

1997

US

Military Vesely Striking A Balance: National, Operational, & Tactical Acquisition

1996

US

Military Smith Defense Mapping Agency and the Commercial Sector

1996

US

Military Steele Open Source Intelligence Handbook, Chapter 5, OSINT and Military

1996

US

Military Steele DIA/JMITC: National Knowledge Strategy & Revolution in Intelligence

1996

US

Military Stein Mapping, Charting, and Geodetic Needs for Remote Sensing Data

1995

SE

Military Bjore Six Years of Open Source Information (OSI): Lessons Learned

1995

US

Military Dandar Army Intelligence XXI, Open Source Status Report

1995

US

Military Dandar OSIF Exploitation for Army Intelligence XXI: Summary

1995

UK

Military Garfield Update on the UK MoD OSINT Programme (Slides)

1995

UK

Military Garfield Update on the UK MoD OSINT Programme (Text)

1995

US

Military Ricardeli OSINT in Support of Haiti Invasion (Slides)

1995

US

Military Ricardeli OSINT in Support of Haiti Invasion (Text)

1995

US

Military Steele The Military Perspective on Information Warfare: Apocalypse Now

1995

US

Military Steele AWC: Open Source Intelligence for the Military

1994

US

Military Brooks & McKeeyer Split-Based Ops in DESERT STORM: Glimpse of the Future Digital Army

1994

US

Military Munro INFORMATION WARFARE: Snake Eaters Meet Net-Heads

1994

US

Military Pedtke NAIC & The Intelligence Community Open Source Architecture

1994

US

Military Steele DIA/JMITC: NS via the Reinvention of National & Defense Intelligence

1992

US

Military Clift Military OSINT Requirements, Capabilities, and Contracting Directions

1992

US

Military Pedtke et al NAIC S&T Open Source Intelligence Requirements & Capabilities

1992

US

Military Petersen New Roles for the U.S. Military

1992

US

Military Schwartau Introduction to Information Warfare

1992

US

Military Steele Intelligence Lessons Learned from Recent Expeditionary Operations

1992

US

Military Steele Comments Prepared for Future War Roundtable

1992

US

Military Strassmann Forcing Innovation, Cutting Costs, and Increasing Defense Productivity

1991

US

Military Steele Defense Intelligence Productivity in the 1990's

1990

US

Military USMC & Steele Expeditionary Environment Research & Analysis Model

1990

US

Military USMC & Steele Expeditionary Mission Area Factors Summaries

Review: Living History

3 Star, Biography & Memoirs, Politics

Amazon Page
Amazon Page

3.0 out of 5 stars Book Achieves Its Low Objectives,

July 4, 2003
Hillary Rodham Clinton
I happen to feel that Hillary Clinton is one of the best female leaders in America, so I bought the book hoping for the best. I was disappointed. The book achieves what strike me as its rather low objectives: showcase the earnest persistent attractive self–tell the story as blandly as possible while avoiding any of the really hard issues, like why Bill had to look for satisfaction elsewhere.Of note, from a national security point of view, was the complete lack of reference to intelligence as in CIA, terrorism, analysis, or anything resembling attention to the facts. As an intelligence professional, if Hillary were to be elected President, I would worry about her appointing her hair dresser as Director of Central Intelligence. [Henceforth, I will evaluate every Washington biography for its attention to intelligence–looking back over several hundred such biographies I was struck by how few–George Shultz being the exception–actually discuss national intelligence and its role–or failure–within the national decision making process.]

Over-all, this book is a fast read and if you like Hillary, you will love the book, if you hate her sight unseen you will not like the book. What disappointed me most was that it is not the kind of analytical “what went wrong, what did I learn, what would I do if I were president” read that I was hoping for. Although she lightly dissects the failure of her health care reform initiative and the terribly unjust impeachment of Bill Clinton, I walk away from this booking thinking “great personality, but no architecture for the future.”

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Vote on Review