UPDATED 18 January 2014
Intelligence Chief Describes Complex Challenges. America and the world are facing the most complex set of challenges in at least 50 years, the director of national intelligence told the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence here today.
James R. Clapper Jr. said capabilities, technologies, know-how, communications and environmental forces “aren't confined by borders and can trigger transnational disruptions with astonishing speed.”
“Never before has the intelligence community been called upon to master such complexity on so many issues in such a resource- constrained environment,” he added.
CIA Director David H. Petraeus, FBI Director Robert S. Mueller III, Defense Intelligence Agency Director Army Lt. Gen. Ronald L. Burgess Jr. and others accompanied Clapper during his testimony on Capitol Hill. Clapper spoke for all agencies in his opening statement.
All U.S. agencies are combating the complex environment and making sense of the threats by continuing to integrate the community and “by taking advantage of new technologies, implementing new efficiencies and, as always, simply working hard,” Clapper said.
Still, he said, all agencies are confronting the difficult fiscal environment.
“Maintaining the world's premier intelligence enterprise in the face of shrinking budgets will be difficult,” the director said. “We'll be accepting and managing risk more so than we've had to do in the last decade.”
Terrorism and proliferation remain the first threats the intelligence agencies must face, he said, and the next three years will be crucial. [Read more: Garamone/AFPS/31January2012]
Tip of the Hat to AFCEA.
Below the Line: Craft of Intelligence for the 21st Century
The New Rules for the New Craft of Intelligence were published in 2002 and ignored, just as our 1994 warning on the urgent need to invest, in 1994 dollars, one billion in cyber-security, was ignored. So today we spend $80 billion or more per year while producing “at best” 4% of what a major US consumer of intelligence needs, and we are spending at least $15 billion — probably closer to $75 billion a year when crude and ineffective “defenses” are tallied up — for cyber-security including offensive cyber-war.
The craft of intelligence is about outputs (decision support) and impacts (lives saved, costs reduced, constructive impacts enabled).
The craft of intelligence is predominantly but not exclusively about open sources and methods and it is about multinational information-sharing & sense-making (not bi-lateral to the nth).
The craft of intelligence is not federal, not secret, and not expensive. It is about harnessing the distributed cognitive surplus of all eight tribes of intelligence; about creating the Open Source Agency and network; and about making intelligence not just an inherent function of command, but an inherent function of citizenship.
The craft of intelligence demands a strategic analytic model that enables the eradication of all ten threats to humanity while also enabling the harmonization of all planning, programming, and budgeting across all core policy areas — it enables Whole of Government effectiveness, and it enables regional and global deconfliction and collaboration using shared information and intelligence as the foundation for a shared view of the world. In its ultimate configuration, it is a living World Brain and Global Game in which Panarchy — the connection of all minds with all information in all languages all the time — replaces tyranny, corruption, fraud, waste, and abuse. Put enough eyeballs on it, and no bug is invisible. This is the new craft of intelligence.
2013 Intelligence Future
2012 Academy Briefing
1989 Al Gray (US) on Global Intelligence Challenges
1992 AIJ Fall ‘New Paradigm” and Avoiding Future Failures
1992 E3i: Ethics, Ecology, Evolution, & intelligence (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
1992 MCU Thinking About Revolution
1995 GIQ 13/2 Creating a Smart Nation: Strategy, Policy, Intelligence, and Information
1995 Private Enterprise Intelligence – Its Potential Contribution to National Security (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
1995 Re-Inventing Intelligence The Vision and the Strategy
2001 Threats, Strategy, and Force Structure: An Alternative Paradigm for National Security
2002: New Rules for the New Craft of Intelligence (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2003 Information Peacekeeping & the Future of Intelligence – The United Nations, Smart Mobs, & the Seven Tribes (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2006: Information Operations – All Information, All Languages, All the Time Technical Preface by Robert Garigue (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2008 The Substance of Governance ELECTION 2008 Lipstick on the Pig (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2008: Creating a Smart Nation (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2008: World Brain as EarthGame (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2009 Intelligence for the President–AND Everyone Else
2009 Fixing the White House & National Intelligence
2009 Human Intelligence: All Humans, All Minds, All the Time
2010 The Ultimate Hack Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re-Engineer Earth (Chapter for Counter-Terrorism Book Out of Denmark)
2010: OPINION–America’s Cyber Scam
2011 Thinking About Revolution in the USA and Elsewhere (Full Text Online for Google Translate)
2014 INTEGRITY Year 1?
2014 Intelligence Reform
1976-2013: Intelligence Models 2.1
Decision Support Story Board
IO 3 Paths to Peace & Prosperity
NATO OSE/M4IS2 2.0
Open Source Manifesto
Public Intelligence 4.0
Way of the Truth