Chuck Spinney: Russia & The Kurdish Card

06 Russia, 08 Wild Cards, Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
Chuck Spinney
Chuck Spinney

The Kurds are the world’s largest ethnic group (25-35 million) without a nation.  As the graphic below shows, Kurds are widely distributed throughout the turbulent regions of Middle East and Central Asia.  The green areas are the major areas of heavy Kurdish concentration — but small enclaves exist in areas not marked.  (For example, I met many Kurdish Turks in western Anatolia in 2008-9 — my impression was that these urban Kurds were well integrated into Turkish society, unlike their brethren in the East.)

Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

Below is a report analyzing a little known dimension to the Kurdish Question in the turbulent North Caucasus (i.e. the area of red ellipse), where a relatively small number (approximately 64,000) people of Kurdish origin now reside.

The author argues that Russia’s Kurds are sending humanitarian aid to anti-Jihadi Kurds in Syria while Jihadis from Russian Republics of Chechnya and Dagestan (also in the North Caucasus) are flowing into Syria, possibly setting the stage from some kind of blowback in the North Caucasus. (I have no idea of how accurate this report is — and can not vouch for it.)
But if true, Russia’s emerging Kurdish Question could be exceedingly complex, involving internal relations with its turbulent Caucasus Republics  and external relations with Turkey, Syria, Azerbaijan, and possibly Iran, among others.  These problems may have had something to do with Putin’s tamping down of Obama’s ill-considered efforts to intervene in the Syrian Civil war last August and September — an intervention that would have effectively placed the US on the side of Jihadis we claim to be fighting in the so-called Global War on Terror (GWOT) — and are enemies of the Russians as well.
Chuck Spinney

Will Russia play the Kurdish card?

MAXIM A. SUCHKOV

Maxim A. Suchkov, Ph.D., a former Fulbright visiting fellow at Georgetown University (2010-11), is currently a fellow at the Institute for Strategic Studies at the North Caucasian city of Pyatigorsk, Russia and is a contributor to the Central Eurasian Studies Society Blog.

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/12/russian-kurds-syria-north-caucasus.html#

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SchwartzReport: Truths That Matter

Commercial Intelligence, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
Stephan A. Schwartz
Stephan A. Schwartz

Yet another story of the failure of austerity policies. The dominant economic philosophy of the Theocratic Right since Ronald Reagan has repeatedly been shown to be a failure. Yet, so far as I can tell, none of these failures have had the slightest effect on wretched Rightist corrupt political prostitutes in the U.S. House of Representatives. We have become a fact-free culture.

By George, Britain’s Austerity Experiment Didn’t Work!
JOHN CASSIDY – The New Yorker

Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

We keep being warned, and we keep ignoring the warnings, so we are going to live with the consequences.

The Devolution of the Seas: The Consequences of Oceanic Destruction
ALAN B. SIELEN – Foreign Affairs

This and the next story are so immoral they almost take one's breath away. One out of five children in the United States go to bed hungry. We do not have universal healthcare. Our schools are in shambles. But there are untold billions for war and “nation building” in nations other than our own. You'd think we would be ! ashamed, but shame about thoughtless callous programs that punish people already sorely reduced no longer seems to play any role in our society.

U.S. Needs Millions More to Complete Afghanistan’s ‘Pentagon’
TIM CRAIG – The Washington Post

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Chuck Spinney: A Reckless Disregard for Truth and Sanity – The Syrian Guns of August

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 08 Proliferation, 08 Wild Cards, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Idiocy, IO Deeds of War, Military, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence
Chuck Spinney
Chuck Spinney

A Reckless Disregard for Truth and Sanity

The Syrian Guns of August

by FRANKLIN C. SPINNEY, Counterpunch, December 1, 2013

Remember the thumping of Obama’s war drums for a US attack on Syria last August and September, including his spokesmen’s absurd invocations of Kosovo as a precedent for a limited cruise missile strike on Syria?  The trigger for hyping that war fever was a sarin gas attack in Eastern Ghouta, a Damascus suburb, on August 21.  Obama was quick to blame Syrian President Bashar al-Assad for crossing Obama’s bizarre Netanyahu-esque “red line.”

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Berto Jongman: Bits, Bytes, & Stuff 1.1

Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

Checkbook Journalism – Leaking to Highest Bidders (Sibel Edmonds)

Contra-Cocaine Scandal  –  New Evidence (Robert Parry)

Counterinsurgency by Interventionist States (Small Wars Journal)

Cyber Attacks — Top Five in 2013

Dutch SIGINT Evaluation Report (mrkoot)

European Global Strategy: Six Problems

Future of Privacy Amidst Total Surveillance (Timothy Mack)

Future of (Total) Surveillance (Dick Pelletier)

Invisible Revolutions and the Collapse of Ruling Institutions (Chris Hedges)

Maps: Physical World Conquering Virtual (Rick Searle)

Satellites Predict Sudan Military Against Civilians (Akshaya Kumar)

US Quarterly Defense Review – Next (Shawn Brimley)

War Report (37 Conflicts, 24 States, in 2012)

We Are All Al Qaeda (Former French Fighter in Syria)

David Isenberg: Using and Regulating Private Military Contractors (PMC)

Commercial Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
David Isenberg
David Isenberg

PMSC Using States: Who’s Been Naughty and Who’s Been Nice?

EXTRACT:

One problem though. Since Montreux came into being nobody has had a way to compare in any kind of systematic way how various states were ensuring that PMSC headquartered on their territory were complying with the document’s best practices. In effect, nobody has known which states using PMSC have been naughty and which have been nice. That is, until now.

On Dec 3 the Initiative for Human Rights in Business, Center for Human Rights and Humanitarian Law at the American University Washington College of Law released a report Montreux Five Years On: An analysis of state efforts to implement Montreux Document legal obligations and good practice.

The report focuses on a subset of participating States: two Contracting and Home States (the United  States  and  the  United  Kingdom),  two  Territorial  States  (Iraq  and  Afghanistan),  and  a special feature on one region (Latin America and the Caribbean). The report goes on to detail and  assess  the  U.S.,  U.K.,  Iraq,  and  Afghanistan’s  efforts  to  meet  their  Montreux  Document commitments as captured in five categories: Determination of services; Due diligence in selecting, contracting, and authorizing PMSCs; Due diligence in monitoring PMSC activities; Ensuring accountability; and Providing access to effective remedy.

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