Dr. Greg Fyffe, Executive Director, International Assessment Staff, Privy Council Office, is little known to the general public, but most respected by all who appreciation his apolitical balanced approach to the evaluation of conflicting sources and the presentation of actionalbe decision support to the Prime Minister of Canada and selected other Ministers. Below is his contribution to OSS '02.
2002 Politi (IT) The 11th of September and the Future of European Intelligence
Government, Historic Contributions2002 Vickers (US) Inconvenient Warning
Analysis, Government, Historic ContributionsMr. Vickers, the National Intelligence Officer for Warning (NIO) addressed the American version of policy-maker push-back on warning: “inconvenient warning.” The British call it “warning fatigue.”
The US Intelligence Community–and all other communities with the possible exceptions of the Nordics, The Netherlands, and Singapore, have failed to triage among the urgent important, the long-term important, and the unimportant.
2002 Wheaton (US) Transitions From Authoritarian Rule: An Iterative Model
Government, Historic Contributions, Methods & ProcessKristan Wheaton, the Army field grade officer who predicted the Balkan meltdown years in advance but could not get command attention (he subsequently wrote a book,The Warning Solution : Intelligent Analysis in the Age of Information Overload that needs to be updated and reprinted. The bottom line: policymakers are dealing with $50 billion problems “right now” and the intellgence profession has not matured to the point that it can compell attention to $1 billion “peaceful preventive measures” as General Al Gray, USMC, called them in his article, “Global Intelligence Challenges in the 1990's,” American Intelligence Journal (winter 1989-1990).
The OTHER big problem that the U.S. Government has, apart from the corruption of Congress and the two-party political systems that services special intersts at the expense of the public interest, is the casual acceptance by the U.S. Government of authoritarian regimes. Indeed, of 44 dictatorships on the planet, all but two (North Korea and Cuba) are “best pals” with the U.S. Government because they all support rendition and torture and being “tough on terrorism” in return for liberal unaccountable funds from the U.S. taxpayer.
Achieving a prosperous world at peace demands and end to the concentration of wealth by illicit means. That in turn demands an end to dictatorial governments and a restoration of the rights of indigenous peoples. It is in that context that this paper matters.
2001 Godson (US) Governments and Gangs
10 Transnational Crime, Government, Historic Contributions, Law EnforcementDR. ROY GODSON was elected president of the National Strategy Information Center in 1993. He is also professor of government at Georgetown University His focus on the nexus between organized criminal gangs and corrupt governments will remain a critical factor in devising sustainable global strategies for creating a prosperous world at peace. He is also gifted at communicating the variations of intellectual understanding of strategy–his co-editd book, Security Studies in the 21st Century, remains seminal. Below is his contribution OSS '01.
2001 Oakley (US) The Use of Military & Civilian Power for Engagement and Intervention
Civil Society, Government, Historic Contributions, Military, Peace IntelligenceTo the left is the cover of the seminal work by Ambassador Bob Oakley and Col Mike Dziedzic and others, at Amazon. The National Defense University (NDU) logo leads to the book free online at NDU. This book is long over-due for updating and reissuance, this time including a proper index.
Below is Ambassador Oakley's briefing from 2001.