NIGHTWATCH: UN & AU Lack Intelligence (Strategic, Operational, Technical) in Central African Republic

08 Wild Cards, Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
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Click on Image to Enlarge

Central African Republic (CAR): Update. Six Chadian peacekeepers were killed on 25 December in Bangui, probably by Christian militias because the Chadians are Muslims.

On the 26th, assailants armed with heavy weapons, according to press reports, attempted to attack the presidential palace in Bangui, but were repulsed by loyal troops.

Some local experts conjectured that the attack was mounted by Christian militiamen who hoped to kill or overthrow the current president, Michel Djotodia – a Muslim and former rebel who overthrew Francois Bozize, the elected Christian president nine months ago.

Comment: Most citizens of CAR are Christians. They are not fighting back against the Muslims who seized power by force last March under Djotodia's leadership. The African Union peacekeepers are either in the way or are targets because a large number of them are Muslims, such as the Chadians.

The UN has no idea how to deal with this. The Christians are taking back the capital from the Muslim Seleka rebels, led by Djotodia.

Today's events confirm the judgment that the presence of well-equipped ground forces mounting patrols will have no effect on the violence, and might be making it worse.

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Click on Image to Enlarge

Phi Beta Iota: One can only speculate as to how much more effective the UN and the AU would be if they had a real intelligence architecture able to do what the Member states refuse to do — holistic analytics, including cultural and religious intelligence, at all four levels of analysis (strategic, operational, tactical, technical). CAR is on the fault line between Islam to the north and Christianity to the south.

Chuck Spinney: Re-Assessing the Conflict in Syria and Egypt

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 07 Other Atrocities, 08 Proliferation, 08 Wild Cards
Chuck Spinney
Chuck Spinney

The War Continues

2013: Assessing the Conflict in Syria and Egypt

by RAMZY BAROUD

Counterpunch, DECEMBER 26, 2013

2013 has expectedly been a terrible year for several Arab nations. It has been terrible because the promise of greater freedoms and political reforms has been reversed, most violently in some instances, by taking a few countries down the path of anarchy and complete chaos. Syria and Egypt are two cases in point.

Syria has been hit the hardest. For months, the United Nations has maintained that over 100,000 people have been killed in the 33 months of conflict. More recently, the pro-opposition Syrian Observatory for Human Rights concluded that at least 125,835, of which more than third of them are civilians, have been killed.

The UN’s humanitarian agency (OCHA) says that millions of Syrians living in perpetual suffering are in need of aid, and this number will reach 9.3 million by the end of next year.

Read full article.

Chuck Spinney: Peter Van Buren – Any More U.S. “Stabilization” and Africa Will Collapse

08 Wild Cards, Corruption, Government, Idiocy, Ineptitude, IO Deeds of War, Military
Chuck Spinney
Chuck Spinney

Any More U.S. “Stabilization” and Africa Will Collapse

By: Peter Van Buren Monday

December 23, 2013 10:39 am

South Sudan is at the brink of civil war and societal collapse

History is just one of those hard things to ignore, especially in South Sudan.

In 2011, the U.S. midwifed the creation of a new nation, South Sudan. Though at the time Obama invoked the words of Dr. Martin Luther King speaking about Ghana (“I knew about all of the struggles, and all of the pain, and all of the agony that these people had gone through for this moment”) in officially recognizing the country, many were more focused on the underlying U.S. motives,

Continue reading “Chuck Spinney: Peter Van Buren – Any More U.S. “Stabilization” and Africa Will Collapse”

Berto Jongman: Bits, Bytes, & Stuff

Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence
Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

Arab Spring and Revolution Alive

Atrocities in South Sudan

Cyber-Detective

Cyber-Security Intelligence Index

Iraq Buys US Drones & Missiles

ISI, the CIA and the Mumbai attacks

Public Diplomacy: What's Wrong?

Ripe for Rebellion? Risk Chart for 2014

Phi Beta Iota: The USA is in the low risk column. We do not agree. At this time, lacking a proper revolutionary precipitant, the USA is in the medium risk. From 2014 to 2016 the USA will become a high risk.

RSA Loses Speaker in Protest Over NSA Back-Door

Marcus Aurelius: The Essential Federalist Papers Free Online Book with Links

Cultural Intelligence, Ethics, Government
Marcus Aurelius
Marcus Aurelius

A people who mean to be their own governors must arm themselves with the power which knowledge gives.

The Essential Federalist Papers

The Best Commentary Ever Written About the Principles of Government

Edited by Steve Straub

PDF (266 Pages): (U) Essential-Federalist-Papers

 

Abuse of power …………………………………………………………………………… 6
Altering the Constitution …………………………………………………………….. 7
Appointment of officers ………………………………………………………………. 8
Arms …………………………………………………………………………………………. 9
Bill of rights ………………………………………………………………………………. 13
Checks and balances …………………………………………………………………… 15
Constitution is not alterable by government …………………………………. 26
Constitution is recommended not imposed …………………………………… 27
Constitutional Convention ………………………………………………………….. 28
Corruption ………………………………………………………………………………… 29
Defense …………………………………………………………………………………….. 31
Democracy ………………………………………………………………………………… 32
Due process ……………………………………………………………………………….. 34
Economics …………………………………………………………………………………. 35
Electoral college …………………………………………………………………………. 36
Emergency powers ……………………………………………………………………… 37
Equality / inequality …………………………………………………………………… 39
Eternal vigilance against usurpation ……………………………………………. 40
Ex post facto laws ………………………………………………………………………. 44
Example for world ……………………………………………………………………… 45
Executive Branch, the nature of …………………………………………………… 46
Faction ……………………………………………………………………………………… 50
Federal/national nature of U. S. government ………………………………… 54
Federations/federal governments; nature of …………………………………. 62
Foreign intrusions ………………………………………………………………………. 63
Future taken into consideration …………………………………………………… 64
General Welfare' not blank check …………………………………………………. 66
Government for the benefit of those who govern ……………………………. 68
Gridlock desirable ……………………………………………………………………….. 70
Human nature …………………………………………………………………………….. 72
Impeachment ……………………………………………………………………………… 77
Judiciary; nature of the ……………………………………………………………….. 79
Jurisdiction of federal government limited to enumerated objects …… 85
Law and equity ……………………………………………………………………………. 93
Laws must be executed ………………………………………………………………… 95
Laws must be few, understandable, and stable ………………………………. 96
Laws; various types of …………………………………………………………………. 98
Legislature; Nature of the ………………………………………………………….. 102
Legislature not to accord themselves privileges ……………………………. 106
Limited jurisdiction of the federal/national government ………………. 108
Maxims …………………………………………………………………………………….. 116
Militia ………………………………………………………………………………………. 123
Minority rights ………………………………………………………………………….. 133
Miscellaneous……………………………………………………………………………. 135
Monetary system ………………………………………………………………………. 146
National concerns sacrificed to local interests (pork barreling) ……… 147
Novelty of the Constitution ………………………………………………………… 148
Paper money …………………………………………………………………………….. 149
Parchment barriers insufficient …………………………………………………… 151
Part-time legislature ………………………………………………………………….. 152
People – the ultimate source of authority………………………………………. 153
People must protect themselves from the government ………………….. 158
Policy changes …………………………………………………………………………… 165
Property……………………………………………………………………………………. 167
Purpose of government ……………………………………………………………… 169
Qualifications for office ……………………………………………………………… 171
Ratification; Method and significance of ……………………………………… 172
Rebellion ………………………………………………………………………………….. 173
Representatives to control purse strings ……………………………………… 175
Representatives to know the will of constituents ………………………….. 176
Republican form; ingredients of …………………………………………………. 177
Republics require enlightened citizenry ………………………………………. 182
Respectability abroad ………………………………………………………………… 184
Rights given up upon joining society …………………………………………… 185
Seat of government – exclusive legislation over …………………………….. 186
Senate; Nature of the …………………………………………………………………. 188
Slavery ……………………………………………………………………………………… 189
Standing armies ………………………………………………………………………… 190
State governments need voice in federal/national government ……… 203
States' rights …………………………………………………………………………….. 204
States to guard against encroachments of federal government ………. 207
Suffrage; voters qualifications …………………………………………………….. 214
Suing a sovereign ………………………………………………………………………. 215
Taxes ……………………………………………………………………………………….. 216
Term limits ………………………………………………………………………………. 220
Titles of nobility ………………………………………………………………………… 221
Treaties ……………………………………………………………………………………. 222
Usurpation ……………………………………………………………………………….. 224
Veto power ……………………………………………………………………………….. 235
War ………………………………………………………………………………………….. 237
Appendix 1- The Constitution …………………………………………………….. 240
Appendix 2 – The Federalist Papers – Links …………………………………. 256
Appendix 3 – Chronology of the Federalist Papers ………………………… 262

©2012 – The Federalist Papers Project
www.thefederalistpapers.org
10/03/2012

FREE COPY SOURCE PAGE

Stephen E. Arnold: In the Cloud Big Data Meta Data Hack

Advanced Cyber/IO, Cloud, Data, IO Impotency, IO Mapping, IO Sense-Making
Stephen E. Arnold
Stephen E. Arnold

Finally Some Cloudy News on Metadata

For Obama’s 2012 re-election campaign, his team broke down data silos and moved all the data to a cloud repository. The team built Narwhal, a shared data store interface for all of the campaigns’ application. Narwhal was dubbed “Obama’s White Whale,” because it is almost a mythical technology that federal agencies have been trying to develop for years. While Obama may be hanging out with Queequag and Ishmael, there is a more viable solution for the cloud says GCN’s article, “Big Metadata: 7 Ways To Leverage Your Data In the Cloud.”

Data silo migration may appear to be a daunting task, but it is not impossible to do. The article states:

Continue reading “Stephen E. Arnold: In the Cloud Big Data Meta Data Hack”

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