Category: 02 China

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Jiemian YANG: Global Governance Limits and Potentials

02 China, Commercial Intelligence, Communities of Practice, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, Ethics, IO Deeds of Peace, Officers Call, Policies, Threats
Jiemian YANG
Jiemian YANG

 Limits and Potentials of the Developing Countries in Global Governance

Inclusive global governance is one of the on-going efforts of the developing countries in this fast changing and complicated world. This is a process that started in the 1960s and will continue for many years to come.

I. Current Roles of the Developing Countries in Global Governance. Among all the roles, the following three stand out prominently. (1) They are the promoters of the UN centrality and democratization of international relations. Actually they are evolutionary reformers of the existent mechanisms. (2) They are invigorators of new mechanisms to cope with new challenges of our times, both institutionally and conceptually. A case in point is their role of G-20 by pursuing consultation and cooperation with the developed countries during the ongoing financial crisis and economic difficulties. (3) They are initiators of mechanisms of developing/emerging powers, such as the BRICS. The forming of BRICS reflects the shifting distribution of powers and upgrading of the developing countries.

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SchwartzReport: China’s Contradictions — High Speed Rail Up, Wealthy Chinese Move to USA

02 China, 03 Economy

schwartz reportWorld's Longest High-speed Train Opens in China

The Associated Press/Washington Post

We're spending our money in Afghanistan, making their ruling elite, and ours literally pots of money. Meanwhile the Chinese are doing what….? That's right building high speed rail. Meanwhile our passenger trains, when you can find one, average a searing 59 miles an hour across tracks laid when your grandfather was a boy.

BEIJING — China on Wednesday opened the world’s longest high-speed rail line that more than halves the time required to travel from the country’s capital in the north to Guangzhou, an economic hub in southern China.

. . . . . . . .

Trains on the latest high-speed line will initially run at 300 kph (186 mph) with a total travel time of about eight hours. Before, the fastest time between the two cities by train was more than 20 hours.

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Rich Chinese Flee, Bringing Their Wealth With Them

ROBERT FRANK, Reporter & Editor – CNBC

The Chinese are transforming themselves economically. But they are using a political system to do it that people flee when they are able. This is a very important insight to keep in mind. Ironically many of these fleeing Chinese end up in the U.S., bring their money with them.

Most countries worry about brain drain. China is worried about millionaire drain.

A new report in China shows that 150,000 Chinese – most of them wealthy – emigrated to other countries in 2011. While that number may not seem high for a country of more than a billion people, the flight of China's richest – and the offshoring of their fortunes – could cost the country jobs and economic growth, according to the study from the Center for China and Globalization and the Beijing Institute of Technology.

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Reference: Atlantic Council Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World

02 China, 05 Iran, 06 Russia, Collective Intelligence, Commercial Intelligence, Communities of Practice, Earth Intelligence, Ethics, IO Impotency, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence, Strategy, White Papers
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Click on Image to Enlarge

Document:  Envisioning 2030: US Strategy for a Post-Western World (Atlantic Council, 10 December 2030)

Executive Summary

Agree that we are at a potentially historic transition point.  However, the Atlantic Council lacks the strategic analytic model to make the most of its otherwise formidable brain trust.  Agree on the need for a new mental map, but they chose the wrong map.  See the HourGlass Strategy as an alternative (also below the line).

The report misses multiple big possibilities including the eight tribes, M4IS2, and OSE.

1. Frame second-term policies from a more strategic and long-term perspective, recognizing the magnitude of the moment and the likelihood that the United States’ actions now will have generational consequences.

Absolutely.  Understanding emergent public governance trends rooted in true cost and whole system analytics, which harness the distributed intelligence of the five billion poor, not in this report.

2. Continue to emphasize what has been called “nation-building at home” as the first foreign policy priority, without neglecting its global context.

Left unsaid is the need to establish a plan, coincident with the creation of a 450-ship Navy, a long-haul Air Force, and an air-liftable Army, to close most of our military bases around the world, and bring all of our troops – and their purchasing power – home.

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NIGHTWATCH: China, India, Spratleys, Oil — and a Coming Grudge Match?

02 China, 03 India, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Energy
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China-India; China warned India to stop oil exploration in the South China Sea after the Indian Chief of Naval Staff, Admiral Joshi, said he was prepared to send Indian naval ships there to protect its interests.

India's state oil company, ONGC, is exploring three oil blocks close to the disputed Spratly Islands – known as Nansha Islands in China – in partnership with the Vietnamese government, which claims sovereignty over the collection of 45 tiny islands and atolls, along with China, Taiwan, Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines.

China told Vietnam on 6 December to stop unilateral oil exploration in disputed areas of the South China Sea and to not harass Chinese fishing boats, a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman said.

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Berto Jongman: OECD Looking to 2060: Long-term global growth prospects

02 China, 03 Economy, 03 India, Commercial Intelligence
Berto Jongman

Looking to 2060: Long-term global growth prospects

OECD Economic Policy Paper 03

Their key points:

China, India, and Indonesia are going to blast forward past USA and EU

Structural changes needed to how money is managed

China will go 25% above US in income per capita while India will only rise to half US income per capita.

Our key points:

Elderly need to be brought back into the economy as producers (e.g. child care)

They do not address the need to change the education, intelligence, and research domains

Definitions of living standards are hosed, need to be revised

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Worth a Look / Listen: When China Rules the World (Book, Audio Lecture)

02 China, Worth A Look
Amazon Page

Reed Business Information: A convincing economic, political and cultural analysis of waning Western dominance and the rise of China and a new paradigm of modernity. Jacques (The Politics of Thatcherism) takes the pulse of the nation poised to become, by virtue of its scale and staggering rate of growth, the biggest market in the world. Jacques points to the decline of American hegemony and outlines specific elements of China's rising global power and how these are likely to influence international relations in the future. He imagines a world where China's distinct brand of modernity, rooted firmly in its ancient culture and traditions, will have a profound influence on attitudes toward work, family and even politics that will become a counterbalance to and eventually reverse the one-way flow of Westernization. He suggests that while China's economic prosperity may not necessarily translate into democracy, China's increased self-confidence is allowing it to project its political and cultural identity ever more widely as time goes on. As comprehensive as it is compelling, this brilliant book is crucial reading for anyone interested in understanding where the we are and where we are going.

40-Minute Audio of 18 Oct 2012

Tip of the Hat to Contributing Editor Berto Jongman.

Phi Beta Iota:  The book and the presentation both suffer from the halting British method, and from a lack of the larger context in which Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Russia at least, but also Iran, Nigeria, and Turkey, have their own growth and influence.  The two key points in favor of the book are its compelling indictment of the failure of the West to think holistically, and its equally compelling depiction of China as a political-economic-cultural entity that is coherent and also consistent at a scale beyond Western imagination — Chinese culture, in the author's view, is more enabling of diversity.  “One Country, Many Systems” in which sovereignty might be extended to many countries (Taiwan first, Argentina later) without imposing communist or statist mores on the new provinces.  The author calls this a “civilization state.”  In contrast to the West, China does not export its values with violence, but focuses instead on soft power that invites others to embrace the values of the Middle Kingdom.  This is a more stable and hence more sustainable form of universalism.  China will shape the world economic order, not the world political order.  China will redefine trade by being the main trading partner for most others; China will redefine finance both in aid and in China's alternative remittances and transfers bypassing the dollar and SWIFT system); and China will redefine culture, nurturing a world of cultures that are not force-fit toward the Western model.