Berto Jongman: Massim Taleb from Black Swan to Anti-Fragile

Worth A Look
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Berto Jongman

Nassim Taleb: my rules for life

The controversial thinker who predicted the 2008 financial crisis hates bankers, academics and journalists. He's also a man of mystery – he eats like a caveman, and goes to bed at 8pm. We took the risk of meeting him

The Observer,

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.

Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.

In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.

Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.

Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.

Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.

Michel Beauwens: Hacking Society: It’s Time To Measure The Unmeasurable

Cultural Intelligence, Hacking
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Michel Bauwens

Hacking Society: It's Time To Measure The Unmeasurable

from the value-and-benefit dept

I was lucky enough to attend a small gathering of great thinkers put together by Union Square Ventures earlier this week for an event they called Hacking Society — which was designed to be a one day open conversation on the economics and power of networks, and how to use that as a force for good, in solving economic and social challenges. There were lots of great thoughts that came out of the event (which was live streamed over the web for people to listen in and participate via Twitter — as many did). It would be impossible to sum up all of the great points in a single blog post, so I'm just going to discuss briefly the larger themes that hit me and helped to connect a few disparate ideas in my own mind.

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Penguin: Petraeus Rehire Going Viral?

Cultural Intelligence
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Who, Me?

David Petraeus Rehire: Viral Campaign for General Picking Up Steam, Should Obama Take Him Back?

An article written by Slate's Emily Yoffe has gone viral for her view that President Barack Obama should rehire Gen. David Petraeus in the wake of the public revealing of his extramarital affair with biographer Paula Broadwell.

“I have a great idea whom Barack Obama should nominate as his next CIA director: Gen. David Petraeus.” Yoffe wrote.

She continued: “With that simple announcement, Obama could strike a blow for civil liberties and against the silly and destructive sexual Puritanism that has taken down so many public figures. Since Petraeus' departure both Democrats and Republicans have been mourning the loss of a public servant of extraordinary ability. So let's mourn no more.”

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Dolphin: President to Rescind Petraeus Resignation?

Cultural Intelligence
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YARC YARC

David Petraeus Rehire Effort Gaining Momentum Online

David Petraeus rehire movement is picking up online after a report by Emily Yoffe from Slate voiced her  opinion that President Barack Obama should rehire David Petraeus.

“I have a great idea whom Barack Obama should nominate as his next CIA director: Gen. David Petraeus.” Yoffe wrote.

. . . . . . . .

When news of the Petraeus scandal first erupted, news analysts were critical about the how the scandal had snowballed. It now appears that much of the investigation was suspect from day one. The case erupted after a series of emails were sent between two women, Paula Broadwell and Jill Kelley.

 

Worth a Look: NULLIFICATION – State-Right Remedy

Worth A Look
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In Nullification: The Rightful Remedy you will learn:

What nullification is, and the basis for this 10th Amendment solution to federal overreach.
How nullification has been used in early American history-from defending free speech, to resisting federal slaves laws, and more.
Surprise, surprise-what the media, the history books, and the political pundits have told you about nullification is wrong.
How nullification is being used-successfully-around the country right now.
What you can do right now-how nullification can be used to put a stop to unconstitutional federal acts, regulations, and mandates.

Nullification: The Rightful Remedy is an explosive, information-packed documentary from The Foundation for a Free Society and the Tenth Amendment Center. It will give you the tools you need to stand up for the Constitution and liberty whether the federal government gives you “permission” to or not. This film features some of the nation’s top thinkers and activists including: Thomas E. Woods, Jr., Sheriff Richard Mack, Kevin Gutzman, Michael Boldin, Stewart Rhodes, Debra Medina, Charles Goyette, Robert Scott Bell, and many others. What do we do when the federal government refuses to follow the Constitution? Nullify NOW!

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Berto Jongman: The Library of Utopia

Advanced Cyber/IO, Knowledge
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Berto Jongman

The Library of Utopia

Google's ambitious book-scanning program is foundering in the courts. Now a Harvard-led group is launching its own sweeping effort to put our literary heritage online. Will the Ivy League succeed where Silicon Valley failed?

By Nicholas Carr on

MIT Tecnology Review, April 25, 2012

In his 1938 book World Brain, H.G. Wells imagined a time—not very distant, he believed—when every person on the planet would have easy access to “all that is thought or known.”

The 1930s were a decade of rapid advances in microphotography, and Wells assumed that microfilm would be the technology to make the corpus of human knowledge universally available. “The time is close at hand,” he wrote, “when any student, in any part of the world, will be able to sit with his projector in his own study at his or her convenience to examine any book, any document, in an exact replica.”

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Chuck Spinney: Palestinians Win Gaza Scuffle – Time On Their Side

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 06 Genocide, 07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Ethics, Government, IO Deeds of Peace, IO Deeds of War, Military
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Chuck Spinney

As we proved in Vietnam, and are about to prove again in Afghanistan, you can win most battles in a tactical sense but still lose a war at the far more decisive strategic and grand-strategic levels of conflict.  (Grand strategy is explained here.)  Israel's grand strategy is to establish a Greater Israeli Apartheid State (by annexing Area C of the West Bank and Gazifying Areas A and B) by (1) keeping the US firmly in its camp so (2) it can ignore the growing disgust in the rest of the world.  That grand strategy has worked in the short term, most recently by hyping the Iranian threat and now the Gaza mini war to distract attention from the growing encroachment of illegal Israeli settlers in Area C.*  But that strategy is turning the world against it (see Israel is all but alone in the Middle East).  While recent pronouncements by President Obama and Secretary Clinton suggest Israel's influence in US domestic politics remains as strong as ever, the political sands in the US may be slowly insensibly shifting toward ambivalence, if not outrage, in the United States as well — and, as a practical, the US has enormous problems elsewhere (in Afghanistan) as well as home that may well evolved to take precedence over the US blank check to Israel.  So, is Israel on the slippery grand-strategic slope of winning its battles while losing war?

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