Journal: Afghanistan Myths & Triumph Foresaken

08 Wild Cards, Strategy
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November 9, 2009

Afghan Mythologies by Victor Davis Hanson

As President Obama decides whether to send more troops to Afsghanistan, we should remember that most of the conventional pessimism about Afghanistan is only half-truth.

Remember the mantra that the region is the “graveyard of empires,” where Alexander the Great, the British in the 19th century, and the Soviets only three decades ago inevitably met their doom?

In fact, Alexander conquered most of Bactria and its environs (which included present-day Afghanistan). After his death, the area that is now Afghanistan became part of the Seleucid Empire.

Centuries later, outnumbered British-led troops and civilians were initially ambushed, and suffered many casualties, in the first Afghan war. But the British were not defeated in their subsequent two Afghan wars between 1878 and 1919.

The Soviets did give up in 1989 their nine-year effort to create out of Afghanistan a communist buffer state — but only because the Arab world, the United States, Pakistan and China combined to provide the Afghan mujahideen resistance with billions of dollars in aid, not to mention state-of-the-art anti-aircraft and anti-tank weapons.

While Afghans have been traditionally fierce resistance fighters and made occupations difficult, they have rarely for long defeated invaders — and never without outside assistance.

Other mythologies about Afghanistan abound.

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PACOM Week in Review Ending 8 Nov 09

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Hot Topics

AA: Assassinations, Peace and State Violence in India and Pakistan 11/04/09

AA: Sri Lanka's top general leaves U.S. unquestioned 11/04/09

BD: Is Bangladesh heading towards civil war? 11/07/09

CN: All forces' cooperation key to beating terror, says air chief 11/09/09

CN: Chinese premier: Africa trade push is ‘selfless' 11/07/09

CN: Defying China, Dalai Lama visits Indian town near Tibetan border 11/09/09

CN: Hu says China seeks peaceful use of airspace 11/06/09

CN: The Chinese navy is going blue water 11/04/09

IN: India as Global Military Superpower? 11/06/09

IN: Karnataka's tryst with political instability continues 11/06/09

KP: North Korean army cashes in on exports to China 11/08/09

LK: Sri Lanka is torturing KP 11/08/09

MM: A Rebel Stronghold in Myanmar on Alert 11/05/09

MM: Myanmar ex-foreign minister dies in prison 11/04/09

MY: Malaysia says Airbus A400M delivery to be delayed 11/05/09

NZ: New Zealand not to impose further sanctions against Fiji: FM 11/06/09

Below the Fold: Instability, Special Operations, Security Forces, Foreign Affairs, Crime

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Journal: The Truth at Any Cost–USA Unemployment

Collaboration Zones, Communities of Practice, InfoOps (IO), Methods & Process
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Governments and corporations manipulate information.  Above is a comparison of the official story on unemployment in the USA, and two alternative scenarios that we regard as much closer to the truth.

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Journal: Body Count in Afghanistan

08 Wild Cards, Ethics, Government, Military
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Chuck Spinney
Chuck Spinney

Afghanistan’s Sham Army

Nov 9, 2009

By Chris Hedges

Success in Afghanistan is measured in Washington by the ability to create an indigenous army that will battle the Taliban, provide security and stability for Afghan civilians and remain loyal to the puppet government of Hamid Karzai. A similar task eluded the Red Army, although the Soviets spent a decade attempting to pacify the country. It eluded the British a century earlier. And the United States, too, will fail.

American military advisers who work with the Afghan National Army, or ANA, speak of poorly trained and unmotivated Afghan soldiers who have little stomach for military discipline and even less for fighting. They describe many ANA units as being filled with brigands who terrorize local populations, exacting payments and engaging in intimidation, rape and theft. They contend that the ANA is riddled with Taliban sympathizers. And when there are combined American and Afghan operations against the Taliban insurgents, ANA soldiers are fickle and unreliable combatants, the U.S. advisers say.

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Journal: Lessons of Viet-Nam

05 Civil War, 08 Wild Cards, 10 Security, Ethics, Government, Military, Peace Intelligence
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Newsweek November 16, 2009   Cover Story

The Surprising Lessons Of Vietnam

Unraveling the mysteries of Vietnam may prevent us from repeating its mistakes

By Evan Thomas and John Barry

Stanley Karnow is the author of Vietnam: A History, generally regarded as the standard popular account of the Vietnam War. This past summer, Karnow, 84, picked up the phone to hear the voice of an old friend, Ambassador Richard Holbrooke. The two men had first met when Holbrooke was a young Foreign Service officer in Vietnam in the mid-1960s and Karnow was a reporter covering the war. Holbrooke, who is now the U.S. special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan, was calling from Kabul. The two friends chatted for a while, then Holbrooke said, “Let me pass you to General McChrystal.” Gen. Stanley McChrystal, the commander of U.S. and allied forces in Afghanistan, came on the line. His question was simple but pregnant: “Is there anything we learned in Vietnam that we can apply to Afghanistan?” Karnow's reply was just as simple: “The main thing I learned is that we never should have been there in the first place.” [Emphasis added]

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Journal: Seven Stages of Jihad

09 Terrorism
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Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

Berto Jongman recommends….

Understanding History's Seven Stages of Jihad

by Sebnastian L.v. Gorka

CTC Sentinel October 2009 V 2 I 10 pp. 15-17

Phi Beta Iota: The Counterterrorism Center (CTC) at West Point has been doing extraordinary work of very high value to the U.S. Central Command, with an emphasis on understanding.

Click on the title for the three-page article by itself, and on the journal name for the full issue containing the article.

The author opens with the four kinds of jihad (heart, mind, tongue, sword), and the lists the seven historically-driven politically-defined jihads of the sword, and closes with a discussion.  Over three pages, this is first class thinking.

The seven jihads of the sword:

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Worth a Look: The Golden Hour and Rebalancing the Instruments of National Power

Communities of Practice, Ethics, Key Players, Peace Intelligence, Policies
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As we begin winding down in Iraq, many years after General Garner had us lined up to exit without destroying the Golden Hour, and as we reflect on Afghnaistan, which we also lost by refusing Charlie Wilson's urgent pleas to continue the money after the Soviet left, but earmarked for schools, water, and other necessary infrastructure, we once again return to the topic of “the Golden Hour” and the matter of inter-agency planning, programming, budgeting, and campaigning.

Winston Churchill likes to say that “The Americans always do the right thing, they just try everything else first.”

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