NIGHTWATCH: Syria Internet Down, Iran Admonished Arabs

05 Iran, 06 Russia, 08 Wild Cards, IO Deeds of War

Syria: For the record. Multiple internet monitoring services reported that Syria has dropped off the Internet. One reported it is a total blackout for the country of Syria. Supposedly this has happened at least once before, prior to the start of a government offensive.

Israel-Syria: Israel is not getting involved in Syria's civil war, Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon said on Tuesday, but said Israel would not permit the transfer of arms to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Yaalon did not mention the Israeli air attacks in Syria over the weekend.

Comment: Israel has shown that it will protect its interests and that the Syrian Integrated Air Defense System is penetrable. On the other hand, Iran has demonstrated the ability to use its proxies to drag Israel deeper into the Syrian uprising and thereby expand the fighting and ease pressure on the Asad government.

It is not clear that Israel is prepared to accept a Sunni fundamentalist regime in Damascus. Israel knows it can live with an Alawite government. The air attacks serve its short term interests in hobbling Hezbollah, but they also remind Arabs that the larger struggle is with Israel.

The Iranian foreign minister admonished Arab leaders today by asking the question, in paraphrase, why are Arabs fighting Arabs when Israel is the enemy?

Marcus Aurelius: The Cyber-Dam Break — “Blame It On China” Goes Into High Gear

02 China, Commerce, Corruption, Government, Idiocy, Ineptitude, IO Deeds of War, IO Impotency, Military, Officers Call
Marcus Aurelius
Marcus Aurelius

The Cyber-Dam Breaks

Sensitive Army database of U.S. dams compromised; Chinese hackers suspected

BY:

The Washington Free Beacon, May 1, 2013

U.S. intelligence agencies traced a recent cyber intrusion into a sensitive infrastructure database to the Chinese government or military cyber warriors, according to U.S. officials.

The compromise of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers’ National Inventory of Dams (NID) is raising new concerns that China is preparing to conduct a future cyber attack against the national electrical power grid, including the growing percentage of electricity produced by hydroelectric dams.

According to officials familiar with intelligence reports, the Corps of Engineers’ National Inventory of Dams was hacked by an unauthorized user believed to be from China, beginning in January and uncovered earlier this month.

Continue reading “Marcus Aurelius: The Cyber-Dam Break — “Blame It On China” Goes Into High Gear”

NIGHTWATCH: AF Attacks up 70%, Iran Warns Israel

05 Iran, 08 Wild Cards
January - July Wind Direction  -  Click on Image to Enlarge
January – July Wind Direction – Click on Image to Enlarge

Afghanistan: A compilation of open source reports on all types of security incidents in Afghanistan in April 2013 indicates a more than 70 percent increase in incidents compared to March. In March 667 incidents were reported, compared to 1145 in April, which marks the start of the 2013 fighting period.

Security conditions remain the most dangerous in the Pashtun provinces of eastern, southeastern and southern Afghanistan.

Comment: The spike confirms the start of a new Taliban offensive, as announced last month. The level of attacks is just over half the number of incidents reported in June 2012, which was the peak of the fighting during US military surge. IEDs remain the most commonly used weapon, accounting for more than 30 percent of all incidents.

Iran-Syria-Israel: Iranian Deputy Chief of Staff Brigadier General Masoud Jazayeri said Iran will not allow Israel to harm the security of the region, and that a response will be made to the Israeli aggression in Syria, Ynet news reported 5 May.

Comment: Jazayeri provided no clues about the nature of the Iranian response, but his language in translation conveys specific intent to retaliate in some fashion. That is stronger than Syria's response.

 

NIGHTWATCH: Afghanistan Army Imploding – South Viet-Nam Redux

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 08 Wild Cards
Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

Afghanistan: Late last week, The US Special Inspector General for Afghanistan published a quarterly report which included a section on manning in the Afghan National Army. The British newspaper Independent also published UK findings on manning as well, but with a slightly different focus.

The US report indicates the Afghan National Army has gotten smaller in the past year. Strength in March 2012 was But strength in February 2013 was 175,441.

The British reports that attrition in the Afghan National Army is about 30%, or three in every ten soldiers are killed, captured or dismissed for cause. The report also states that 5,000 recruits a month just quit, or annually a third of the current strength of the Afghan National Army.

The Special Inspector General stipulated that accurate and reliable accounting of government forces strength is necessary to help ensure US funds are spent for legitimate and eligible costs. It quoted a US command that there exists no “viable method of validating personnel numbers.”

Comment: The two reports read like Vietnam redux. The US report makes clear that without outside money, almost no Afghan security forces loyal to the government would exist.

NIGHTWATCH KGS Home

Graphic Source

Neal Rauhauser: Understanding Syria (Dot Chart & Links to 13 Prior Posts)

08 Wild Cards
Neal Rauhauser
Neal Rauhauser

Understanding Syria

I began reading about Syria literally the day I knew I was done with domestic elections and less than two weeks later I produced my first article. I delved into the civil war, and I checked up on water and wheat, which is something of a proxy for overall food security.

. . . . . .

These are the thirteen articles I wrote being November 14th and February 17th. I am not going to get mixed up in the minutia of what just happened, as it’s a mob scene. I may break out Recorded Future again, or try to put some sensible bounds on what a post-Assad Syria looks like.

Read full post with three graphics and 13 Links

Click on Image to Enlarge
Click on Image to Enlarge

Owl: Saudi Terrorists and Zionist Terrorists — From Same Jewish Roots?

08 Wild Cards, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, IO Deeds of War
Who?  Who?
Who? Who?

This post refers to some new and remarkable historical findings (at least for the English-speaking world), stemming from new translation to English from Arabic, that can put more pieces into the the puzzle of the apparently amicable relationship between Israel and Saudi Arabia. The first part of this post is not new, though useful in quoting for context

“The U.S. Department of Defense has released translations of a number of Iraqi intelligence documents dating from Saddam’s rule.  One, a General Military Intelligence Directorate report from September 2002, entitled “The Emergence of Wahhabism and its Historical Roots”, shows the Iraqi government was aware of the nefarious purposes of the Wahhabis of Saudi Arabia, often known as Salafis, in serving Western interests to undermine Islam.The report relies heavily on the Memoirs of Mr. Hempher, which describe in detail how a British spy to the Middle East, in the middle of the eighteenth century, made contact with Adbul Wahhab, to create a subversive version of Islam, the notorious sect of Wahhabism, which became the founding cult of the Saudi regime.  The movement was temporarily suppressed by the Ottomam armies in the middle of the nineteenth century.  But with the assistance of the British [or more specifically, Lawrence of Arabia], the Wahhabis and their Saudi sponsors returned to power and founded their own state in 1932.  Since then, the Saudis have collaborated closely with the Americans, to whom they owe their tremendous oil wealth, in funding various Islamic fundamentalist organizations and other American covert operations, particularly the “jihad” in Afghanistan.  But the Saudis simulatenously use the immense wealth at their dispossal to disseminate this disruptive brand of Islam to various parts of the world, categorized by some of the largest propaganda campaign in history. Many who defend Wahhabism as a legitimate reform movement of Islam have tried to dismiss the Memoirs as a spurious fabrication.  These include Bernard Haykel, Professor in Near Eastern Studies at Princeton University, who, without providing any evidence, presumes the Memoirs to have been created by Ayyub Sabri Pasha.”

But what is new is the claim that the Wahabis have directly Jewish roots (my emphasis):

Continue reading “Owl: Saudi Terrorists and Zionist Terrorists — From Same Jewish Roots?”

Berto Jongman: China Pandemic — Thousands of Dead Pigs in Rivers, Mutating Virus in Chickens, GMO Connection

01 Agriculture, 02 China, 07 Health, Commerce, Earth Intelligence, Government
Berto Jongman
Berto Jongman

Sorcha Faal is exaggerating again I think but the numbers are rising and the virus is spreading. It is a situation of great concern as the WHO has warned.I haven't heard a good explanation yet for the thousands of dead pigs floating in  Chinese rivers.

Phi Beta Iota:  Sorcha Fall (David Booth) is a known fabricator with a gift for connecting dots.  We think of his stuff as good musical background to ethical evidence-based thinking.

April 29, 2013

World Terror After Armageddon Virus Unleashed

A grim report prepared for President Putin by Health Minister Dr. Veronika Skvortsova on the growing pandemic in China is now warning that a “global mass death event” is currently underway as the spread of the H7N9 avian flu virus continues to grow and shows no signs of stopping anytime soon.

Important to note, and as we had reported on in our 19 March report “China Genetic Test Causes Mass Death Catastrophe,” Health Minister Skvortsova warned of this coming mass death event from China by noting the genetic experiments being conducted by Chinese scientists last month that led to an animal apocalypse of staggering proportions. 

Continue reading “Berto Jongman: China Pandemic — Thousands of Dead Pigs in Rivers, Mutating Virus in Chickens, GMO Connection”

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