Chuck Spinney: The Mark to Market Fantasy Fraud

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Transnational Crime, 11 Society, Civil Society, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Money, Banks & Concentrated Wealth, Office of Management and Budget
Chuck Spinney

My friend Andrew Cockburn is on a roll.  One week after his brilliant article on IEDs in Harpers, he has produced another hard-hitting tubesteak, this time in Counterpunch.  Andrew's targets are the Banksters, whose looting continues to push the middle class into poverty and the lower income classes into a kind of debt servitude that is reminiscent of that imposed by company stores in the West Virginia coal towns in what we had hoped was a bygone era.

Andrew's essay is important, because the problem he is describing exists  against the backdrop of the Great Recession, which now, three years after the banking system started to collapse, may be on the cusp of a full blown debt deflation, triggered by another, even more catastrophic banking collapse.   My introductory comments are intended to help you understand that magnitude of that danger that Andrew is describing.

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The following charts (Figures 1 & 2), based on the most recent data released by the Federal Reserve,

portray ratio of debt to gross domestic product over time.  Figure 1 shows how the cumulative debt changed in the entire system, with debt expressed as a percentage of the GDP produced by the economy. The debt ratio for the entire economy should not be thought of as an absolute measure of debt burden but as an indexof that burden, and is an indicator of the comparative pressure of that debt regardless of the overall size of the economy.[1]  Thus, one can compare

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changes in earlier years to those in later years.  Figure 2 plots the sector burdens separately for the components in the private sector (note: since Federal Debt is arranged in bottom position in Figure 1 it is also the same shape that would be plotted in Figure 2; other categories, like state and local debt have been ignored because over time their ratio changes have not been significant enough to the alter the pattern in the figures).  What do these figures tell us?

The Mark-to-Market Fantasy

Banks on the Brink

by ANDREW COCKBURN
Counterpunch, Weekend Edition October 21-23, 2011

“If the Occupiers start chanting ‘Mark to Market,’” an attorney highly conversant with the darker workings of the Wall Street-Washington complex told me, “we’ll know they’re serious.”   Such a call would quickly presage the collapse of our “too big to fail” banks, for it would highlight the fact that a huge proportion of the assets of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, and Citigroup consist of loans that will never be paid back and are therefore essentially worthless. The so called “recovery” of our leading financial institutions from the post-Lehman abyss has depended on a fraudulent valuation of these assets, but stripped of the fiction, the banks are insolvent.

Read full analysis.

Phi Beta Iota:  The banks are on the brink–wildly fearful of a run on stocks and deposits–and the US Government knows they are on the brink–and is wildly fearful of nation-wide violence.  Pissed off white people will make the Watts Riots looks like an effete tea party.  There is good news.  The close OccupyWallStreet gets to understanding the depth of the depravity of the government that enabled and enables Wall Street, the lack of intelligence and integrity within that government, the closer we get to being able to demand and secure the Electoral Reform Act of 2012, in our view the sole means by which a non-violent revolution might restore the integrity of the U.S. Government.

Post Dictatorship: What Next?

Civil Society, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Government

Post-Gadhafi: What’s Next for Libya’s Government?

(pieces from the article)

    • Their data, he argued, proved that the key to a successful transition from democracy was, curiously, not to hold an election—at least, not right away.
    •  “One of the most important predictors of a successful transition,” Fish said, “is how strong the legislature is when the dust settles.”
    • Greece, with one of the study’s highest scores, has the model of a strong legislature, but entered 2011 near financial collapse.

The World’s Ten Least Powerful Deliberative Bodies

1. People’s Assembly of Myanmar (.00)
2. Consultative Council of Saudi Arabia (.09)
3. People’s Council of Turkmenistan (.06)
4. General People’s Congress of Libya (.13)
4. Supreme People’s Assembly of North Korea (.13)
6. Council of Oman (.16)
7. National Assembly of Bahrain (.19)
8. National Assembly of Bhutan (.22)
8. National Assembly of Chad (.22)
8. National Assembly of Jordan (.22)

Also see:

23 Worst Tyrants/Dictators (Yes, there’s more than 23) and Oops, there’s Saudi Arabia..

Review: Breaking the Real Axis of Evil–How to Oust the World’s Last Dictators by 2025

Tom Atlee: Occupy the Future Together

11 Society, Civil Society, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Ethics, IO Deeds of Peace
Tom Atlee
#Occupy the future together

Things are still wildly bubbling in and around the Occupy movement, which is still radically expanding and evolving. Despite many growing pains, the co-creative, committed engagement of the participants is inspiring. So many among them are using the disturbances in and around them as a motivation for personal growth and collective innovation.

Occupy Together is, as they say, a phenomenon. It is such a passionate, complex, self-organizing initiative that even chaos and complexity theories have a hard time adequately explaining it. It is ALIVE!

The word “occupy” – as a connotation-rich idea or meme – is itself a fascinating part of the movement's impact. It invites everyone who wants a new and better world, to claim a space where they can work together to co-create that world. So far, that space is usually a public park. But that's expanding and morphing: More people are talking about occupying a school, a workplace, a bank, a heart, a profession, an industry, a government office, the airwaves, our minds – any “place” where some piece of the new world needs to evolve and replicate itself to become the actual New World. And the word “occupy” suggests commitment to that place, persistence in it, putting down some roots, claiming and owning and taking responsibility for holding it and making it good.

Continue reading “Tom Atlee: Occupy the Future Together”

Naomi Wolf: #OWS NYPD & DHS OUT OF CONTROL

07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, Civil Society, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, DHS, Ethics, Law Enforcement, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence
Naomi Wolf

Naomi Wolf: how I was arrested at Occupy Wall Street

Arresting a middle-aged writer in an evening gown for peaceable conduct is a far cry from when America was a free republic

Naomi Wolf

Guardian, Wednesday 19 October 2011

Last night I was arrested in my home town, outside an event to which I had been invited, for standing lawfully on the sidewalk in an evening gown.

Read full article (includes short video).

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Phi Beta Iota: Naomi Wolf is the author of The End of America: Letter of Warning to a Young Patriot and also Give Me Liberty: A Handbook for American Revolutionaries.  Safety copy of Guardian article with additional comments from others below the line.  The NYPD and DHS are OUT OF CONTROL and far, far beyond the bounds of the Constitution.  The time has come to begin demanding impeachments of public officials and criminal prosecution of specific police officers so that they might learn what they evidently were not taught: the responsibility to refuse illegal orders.  What our military officers abroad and our police officers at home are doing is illegal, unconstitutional, and reprehensible in every possible morally disengaged way.

See Also:

So Much For the First Amendment: Author, Reporter Naomi Wolf Just Latest of 1,500 Arrested For Peaceable Assembly at #OccupyWallStreet Protests

Updates from Naomi Wolf – Permit Seen, NYPD Officers Were Ignorant or Lying

Continue reading “Naomi Wolf: #OWS NYPD & DHS OUT OF CONTROL”

DefDog: DARPA Fine-Tuning Propaganda a la 1984?

07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, DoD, IO Impotency, Military
DefDog

Darpa Wants to Master the Science of Propaganda

Dawn Lim

WIRED, 18 October 2011

Mark Twain once tried to distinguish between the storyteller’s art and tales that a machine could generate. He observed that stringing “incongruities and absurdities together in a wandering and sometimes purposeless way, and seem innocently unaware that they are absurdities,” was the province of the American storyteller. A machine might imitate simple formulas behind yarns, but never quite master them.

The Pentagon’s freewheeling research arm is hoping to prove Twain wrong. Darpa is asking scientists to “take narratives and make them quantitatively analyzable in a rigorous, transparent and repeatable fashion.” The idea is to detect terrorists who have been indoctrinated by propaganda. Then, the Pentagon can respond with some messages of its own.

The program is called “Narrative Networks.” By understanding how stories have shaped your mind, the Pentagon hopes to sniff out who has fallen prey to dangerous ideas, a neuroscience researcher involved in the project tells Danger Room. With this knowledge, the military can also target groups vulnerable to terrorists’ recruiting tactics with its own counter-messaging.

Continue reading “DefDog: DARPA Fine-Tuning Propaganda a la 1984?”

Tom Atlee: Government Data Eye in Sky – Sickening

07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), Government, IO Impotency
Tom Atlee

George:

Re the article below:  This is terrible.  It is bad enough on its face, but to realize that MIT's Malone is at the heart of this breaks my heart, devastates my soul and outrages my professional sensibilities.  Now I am sorry that we didn't do a paper on pubic wisdom for his conference next year!  Talk about the applications of collective intelligence unmonitored by collective wisdom!!  This is NOT the power and capacity we sought to free by trying to pull together the field with our Collective Intelligence Convergence conference.

I see much more clearly now the distinction between my sense of “intelligence” and the use of that term by “intelligence” agencies.  My sense of intelligence is that it means we are able to assess reality in a learning feedback loop where we've taken an action based on certain assumptions/mental models and seen how it works in real life.  The results inform our reinforcement or revision of our assumptions and mental models.  Collective intelligence is our ability to do that collectively, as whole communities and societies and humanity.  The mere accumulation of data to inform official decision-makers – particularly in hierarchical power systems like ours – is a dangerous bastardization of the generic concept of CI.  Notice that they aren't talking about using this system to find out how successful a particular government policy or program is – whether it actually served the public good or not – so that we could have a more evidence-based government.  It is being used primarily to predict social unrest so it can be stifled or discharged so that the existing toxic power structures can remain as they are.

I notice it says the system will use “publicly accessible data”.  I'm so dubious.  They talk about traffic webcams and digital location trails from cell phones.  Are these publicly accessible?  And that begs the question of the fact that no one except giant institutions (governments, corporations) has the computing power to do those analyses.  It's like freedom of the press when you can't afford a press.

They want to predict when the people will revolt.  Ok.  But where's the people's capacity to predict what the government and specific corporations are going to do?  This is so one-sided.  It empowers only half of Robert's vision of open source intelligence, and it feels like the same old crap is being given new capacities.  This is collective intelligence?!!!?  This is panopticism – the ability of the power center at the top to see everything going on the whole system.  It has been brilliantly contrasted by Jean-Francois Noubel with holopticism – the ability of the whole and all its parts to view the whole.  We don't need more panopticism.  We need more holopticism, to help us navigate our collective destiny.

I am disgusted and horrified.

What can be done to reclaim the good name of collective intelligence?  I do not feel drawn to or capable of organizing the kind of professional outrage that headed off Operation Camelot and Total Information Awareness (see the article).  But I'll be damned if I will lend my good name to this so-called collective intelligence initiative.  At the very least, I can blog my protest – and have it picked up at least by IARPA….

Shit!  Damn!  I want to cry!

Tom

Begin forwarded message:

*GOVERNMENT AIMS TO BUILD A ‘DATA EYE IN THE SKY‘*

By John Markoff
New York Times, October 10, 2011

Safety Copy of Full Article Below the Line.

Continue reading “Tom Atlee: Government Data Eye in Sky – Sickening”

Mini-Me: VIDEO Core of Corruption – In the Shadows

07 Other Atrocities, Commerce, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Government, IO Deeds of War, Law Enforcement, Military, Money, Banks & Concentrated Wealth, Power Behind-the-Scenes/Special Interests
Who? Mini-Me?

Core of Corruption is a documentary film series which details a comprehensive investigation into clandestine intelligence operations and conspiracies. The project is surfacing exclusive whistle blowers, insiders and critical evidence for the very first time. Over 2,000 hours of credible network news clips have been surfaced for this ground breaking event, most of which have never been seen since they aired and have never been available on the internet. Some of the video news segments for this project, when requested from the networks, were denied access to and corporate representatives would say that the information sought does not exist or has been misplaced. Someone doesn’t want the public to see these stories, that when put together, establish a conspiracy of the magnitude that could change the way one views the world. Countless millions of people are being manipulated and lied to by a network of individuals within government that work on behalf of private interests. The individuals were involved in the terrorist attacks of September 11th. Many of those same figures are are connected to historical events that have shaped our understanding of government crime. For instance, the Iran Contra affair involved many figures that showed up in the 9/11 attacks

VIDEO 1 of 5 In the Shadows (2:27:39)

Other videos remain to be released