NIGHTWATCH: Mali Out of Algeria — French Fighting Algerians Not Displaced Libyans + Mali RECAP

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 08 Wild Cards, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Ineptitude, Military

Algeria: Islamist militants, apparently affiliated with al Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb, seized a natural gas facility in east-central Algeria early Wednesday. The 20 or so attackers took as hostages up to 41 foreign supervisors, technicians and workers. They include at least 13 Norwegians and seven Americans, plus one Irishman, and a number of Japanese and British citizens. Two workers died in the attack.

The group announced that this attack was in retaliation for the French use of Algerian airspace to mount their attack against Islamist rebels in Mali. The attack group reportedly is led by a militant named Mokhtar Belmokhtar, an Algerian. He claimed that his group would release the hostages if the French stopped their operations in Mali.

During this Watch, Algerian forces have surrounded the plant and the situation is in a standoff.

Comment: Despite French warnings about retaliation, this plant in eastern Algeria undertook no increased security measures. The salient features of the Islamists in Mali to date are their organization and discipline. Today's action adds to their military repertoire communications connectivity with sympathetic groups in Algeria. The Islamists threatened retaliation over the weekend and they have been as good as their word.

Today's attack and hostage-taking occurred a long way from Mali. The al-Qaida franchise in the Saharan region is far more sophisticated and coordinated than the Pashtun and Uzbek tribal fighters in Afghanistan or the tribal Arabs in Yemen. Southern Algeria appears to be their base of operations, not LIbya.

Mali: Malian and French ground troops clashed with Islamic rebels in Diabaly on 16 January. The French-Malian force has not yet recaptured the village.

Mauritania reportedly has increased its border patrols, reducing the rebel ability to operate with impunity from Mauritanian territory.

Comment:  A prominent narrative in the English language press is that the jihadists and Islamist rebels who seized northern Mali, plus their weapons, came from Libya. In fact, the information in the public domain indicates they came from Algeria and maintain connectivity with other Algerian Islamist groups. The attack at the gas facility at In Amenas, Algeria, tends to reinforce that judgment.

The significance is that the Islamist takeover of northern Mali was not a ripple effect from the inept NATO management of the Libyan uprising. It is a more sinister and well planned expansion of the Algerian Islamist rebels, who form the core of al Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb. These are tough guys.

The French are not fighting Libyan terrorists in Mali. They are fighting Algerians [armed by Americans] …again. Apparently several thousand of them.

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Theophillis Goodyear: Loyalty, and Toxic Loyalty

Cultural Intelligence, Ethics
Theophillis Goodyear
Theophillis Goodyear

In my recent post Theophillis Goodyear: Networks of Corruption—-Critical Mass—-Divided Loyalties—-Dilemmas of Betrayal—-Sacrifice—-the Harm of Innocents—-The Greatest Good for the Greatest Number I said I was unaware of any other books that are specifically about loyalty, but I found this one:

Why Loyalty Matters: The Groundbreaking Approach to Rediscovering Happiness, Meaning and Lasting Fulfillment in Your Life and Work [Paperback], by Timothy Keiningham, Lerzan Aksoy, and Luke Williams (BenBella Books, 2010)

The authors are described as leading experts in loyalty, and they discuss it from the point of view of philosophy, sociology, psychology, economics, and management.

Chapter 5 is called Toxic Loyalty. Eric Felten, in his book Loyalty: the Vexing Virtue, talks about how dictators and other unscrupulous people often use loyalty as a weapon of control, leading people to remain loyal when they probably should not, turning a person's sense of loyalty against them and in essence getting them to betray their own consciences. Chapter 9 of “Why Loyalty Matters” is called: Enlightened Loyalty. I imagine it's a discussion about how to temper one's sense of loyalty with wisdom. It sounds like a good book.

In Dante's Inferno, the lowest depth of hell is reserved for people who have betrayed some kind of special relationship. And it's obvious that throughout the evolution of humankind, loyalty has served a vital function. But like all of our psychosocial traits, loyalty can work against us and against the greater good of humanity. Obviously the loyalties of contemporary humans are often misplaced. We need to learn to be loyal to higher principles than always choosing in-group interests over out-group interests at all costs, because that cost just might be our extinction as a species. So obviously the social dynamic between loyalty and betrayal is a central concept and especially important to examine at this stage of human evolution. It's surprising that more has not been written about the subject.

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NIGHTWATCH: Pakistan Unhinged — Spring Coming? Corruption & Schisms Abound, Separatism Relentless

05 Civil War, 11 Society, Cultural Intelligence, Peace Intelligence

Pakistan: Pakistan is coping with three major internal political crises and one foreign crisis. Any one of these could prevent the first ever transfer of power in March 2013 between successive constitutional, civilian, elected governments in the history of Pakistan.

Continue reading “NIGHTWATCH: Pakistan Unhinged — Spring Coming? Corruption & Schisms Abound, Separatism Relentless”

Michel Bauwens: Aaron Swartz’s Guerrilla Open Access Manifesto

#OSE Open Source Everything, Advanced Cyber/IO, Cultural Intelligence, Culture
Michel Bauwens
Michel Bauwens

Aaron Swartz’s Guerilla Open Access Manifesto

Written by Aaron Swartz, July 2008, Eremo, Italy

“Information is power. But like all power, there are those who want to keep it for themselves. The world’s entire scientific and cultural heritage, published over centuries in books and journals, is increasingly being digitized and locked up by a handful of private corporations. Want to read the papers featuring the most famous results of the sciences? You’ll need to send enormous amounts to publishers like Reed Elsevier.

There are those struggling to change this. The Open Access Movement has fought valiantly to ensure that scientists do not sign their copyrights away but instead ensure their work is published on the Internet, under terms that allow anyone to access it. But even under the best scenarios, their work will only apply to things published in the future. Everything up until now will have been lost.

That is too high a price to pay. Forcing academics to pay money to read the work of their colleagues? Scanning entire libraries but only allowing the folks at Google to read them? Providing scientific articles to those at elite universities in the First World, but not to children in the Global South? It’s outrageous and unacceptable.

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NIGHTWATCH: French Advance, Islamic Militant Tourism Up, Touaregs Discover Government Better than Islamists

Cultural Intelligence, IO Deeds of War, IO Impotency

Mali: On the fourth day of the French military action in Mali, Islamist rebels seized another town in southern Mali, but were driven out of Konna. French officials said Diabaly, 400km (250 miles) from the capital, Bamako, was taken in a counter-attack. French aircraft continued to bomb rebel gathering areas in the north and northeast.

Comment: Diabaly is in territory considered government-held. Apparently the Islamist rebels attacked from Mauritania with a daunting force of five pickup trucks carrying rebel fighters. The Malian garrison at Diabaly claims to have fought for 10 hours, but appears to have run away. Hmmm.

Mali's Touareg rebels, meanwhile, announced they are prepared to assist French military forces in Mali by confronting jihadist groups on the ground in the country's northern region, a senior Tuareg official said on 14 January.

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Reflections on Lincoln, Principle, Compromise, Autonomous Internet & Citizen Intelligence / Counter-Intelligence 2.0 with Meta-RECAP

All Reflections & Story Boards, Civil Society, Cultural Intelligence, Ethics, Government, Military
Robert David STEELE Vivas
Robert David STEELE Vivas

EDIT of 21 January 2013:  I have gotten both sharp criticism from folks I revere, and complements.  I am more than willing to delete this, but I am more interested in having people think outside the lines.  I've made some revisions, adding issues and readings in each section.   Email me as you please, robert.david.steele.vivas [at] gmail [dot] com.  I'm doing this to raise some ethical nuances, not to deny or revise history.  Relevance to today:  the “government” rarely tells the truth, and the “reasons” it gives for doing things that ultimately benefit the few at the expense of the many are generally, at best, “flimsy” and at worst, “calculated lies.”  All institutions are lacking in both intelligence (decision-support) and integrity (holistic transparent analytics).  Wars are a form a global crime, they are not fought for the reasons given, and the public ALWAYS loses while bankers ALWAYS gain.  We need to change that.  Thomas Jefferson had it right — we need to be better armed than the government — not just guns, but intelligence with integrity.  That's what I think about.

– – – – – – – –

A colleague I respect very much suggested I watch Lincoln, the new movie, for an understanding of a leadership style that worked.  Having dismissed the movie because of its erroneous depiction of the Civil War as being about slavery (it was actually a war for and against secession, and a war of conquest from the north of the south), I demurred.  Today I read the following from Bill Clinton speaking to an adoring crowd in Hollywood, and it put me to thinking about the point my colleague was trying to make:

“A tough fight to push a bill through a bitterly divided House of Representatives: Winning it required the president to make a lot of unsavory deals that had nothing to do with the big issue.” A little shrug. “I wouldn't know anything about that,” Clinton said. His audience laughed.

Abraham Lincoln
Abraham Lincoln

President Abraham Lincoln's struggle to abolish slavery “reminds us that enduring progress is forged in a cauldron of both principle and compromise,” Clinton went on. This film “shows us how he did it, and gives us hope that we can do it again.”

I have known for some time that I am viewed as uncompromising, perhaps even arrogant, in my insistence on intelligence with integrity, and my intolerance of the civil service and uniformed leaders who pander to politicians who shake down corporations and banks for campaign contributions, and then discount the public treasury by 95% solely for the purpose of getting their 5% kick-back, without any deep thought of the public interest, and certainly without considering any ethical evidence-based decision-support.  Those same civil service and uniformed leaders are never held accountable for failure and roll over into retirement jobs with the industries they have not been holding accountable themselves.  At the end of the day, 50 percent of every federal dollar is waste, and the other 50 percent is primarily beneficial to the recipient of the taxpayer revenue, not to the taxpayer.

A mass murder and an alleged suicide are very much on my mind these days.  The mass murder is that of Sandy Hook, and the alleged suicide is that of Adam Swartz.  I am quite certain that the government is covering up the facts on Sandy Hook, and not investigating the death ostensibly by hanging, of Aaron Swartz.  I will return to these in my conclusion.

First I will touch on The War, Principle, on Compromise, and then on Citizen Intelligence / Counterintelligence and finally on Autonomous Internet.

Continue reading “Reflections on Lincoln, Principle, Compromise, Autonomous Internet & Citizen Intelligence / Counter-Intelligence 2.0 with Meta-RECAP”

SchwartzReport: USA Divisions

Cultural Intelligence

schwartz reportAs More Move to the City, Does Rural America Still Matter?
CHRISTOPHER DOERING – USA TODAY

This is what is happening to American society almost without comment or public discussion. What this report misses is that as our government is currently structured each state has two senators. We now have Federal Senators who represent a few hundred thousand people, and others that represent tens of millions. As the emptying of rural America continues this trend will be exacerbated, and it will lend force to the Gre! at Schism Trend.

U.S. States Flirt With Major Tax Changes
NANETTE BYRNES – Reuters

We are entering into a very interesting period of transition moving power back to the states. This is part of the Great Schism Trend. The Theocratic Right, unable to control national policy in the way they would like, have realized that they can get control at the state level — in certain states. And they have. As a result they are implementing their social vision. In some Red value states it is now almost impossible for a poor woman to get re! productive healthcare or a pregnancy termination. And, as this report makes clear, in those same Theocratic Right value states they are now going to impose their Randian economic vision. It is going to be interesting to see how this turns out. So far Red value states are generally recipients not donors; their programs are made possible through the underwriting of Blue value states.

noble gold