Cultural Intelligence – Page 834 – Public Intelligence Blog

2011/09/112011/09/11

Reference: Stray Dogs and Virtual Armies – Radicalization and Recruitment to Jihadist Terrorism in the United States Since 9/11

03 Economy, 04 Education, 11 Society, Civil Society, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence

Since September 11, 2001, so-called “homegrown terrorists,” working alone or with others, have planned and in some cases implemented terrorist activities, contributed financial or other material support to others' terrorist activities, or become radicalized in the United States and then traveled to other countries to conduct terrorist activities directed against those countries or against the United States. This paper examines the cases of homegrown terrorism from 9/11 through 2010, highlights lessons learned from those cases that suggest actions for the future, and includes a chronology of numbers and case descriptions of terrorist events in the United States during that period. Most of the individuals involved are Muslim, but the numbers are small. A total of 176 Americans have been indicted, arrested, or otherwise identified as jihadist terrorists or supporters since 9/11. They were involved in 82 cases, a majority of which involve the actions of a single individual. Al Qaeda has increasingly used the Internet to build an army of followers. Many of the terrorists identified in this study began their journey online. However, al Qaeda has not yet managed to inspire its online followers to action. Few of the 32 locally hatched jihadist plots to carry out terrorist attacks in the United States since 9/11 got much beyond the discussion stage. Nevertheless, al Qaeda remains a threat. More terrorist attempts will occur. Traditional law enforcement, in which authorities attempt to identify and apprehend a perpetrator after a crime has been committed, is inadequate to deal with terrorists who are determined to cause many deaths and great destruction and who may not care whether they themselves survive. Public safety demands a preventive approach — intervention before an attack occurs. In addition to law enforcement, intelligence collection, and community policing, public reaction is an essential component of such preventive defense.

Source

Tip of the Hat to Berto Jongman for the pointer.

Continue reading “Reference: Stray Dogs and Virtual Armies – Radicalization and Recruitment to Jihadist Terrorism in the United States Since 9/11”

2011/09/102011/09/10

Luke Stanek: Gary Johnson, the Invisible Candidate

Cultural Intelligence

Gary Johnson: The Invisible Man Running for President

Luke Stanek

Technocrati, September 10, 2011 at 6:13 am

The 2012 race for the GOP nomination has been raging lately. With the entrance of Rick Perry, many media outlets are becoming increasingly excited over the novelty of a new candidate. What about the novelty of unique ideas?

Governor Gary Johnson has been running for President since April 21st. He was in the first Republican debate on May 5th, which included notables like Representative Ron Paul, CEO of Godfather's Pizza Herman Cain, Former Senator Rick Santorum, and Governor Tim Pawlenty. Since that debate, however, Gary Johnson has been left behind.

We saw what looked like a complete shutout of Ron Paul from media attention in August after the Ames straw poll, which was fairly blatant, since he was in a virtual dead heat with the victor, Representative Bachmann, who has since fallen behind him in multiple state polls. The block on Gary Johnson is often seen as acceptable by media outlets based on his poll numbers. While it is true he is polling only around 3%, that is the equivalent of Rick Santorum and Jon Huntsman, both of whom were invited to the Politico debate on September 7th.

The primary goal (in two uses of the word) for Johnson's campaign is to stick to New Hampshire. If he makes an impact there, his campaign hopes that it will spread to Iowa, South Carolina, and continue to expand his name recognition and support nationally. It worked for Reagan and Clinton (Bill, not Hill), but it failed for Rudy Giuliani in the last primary season.

Gary Johnson has a unique combination of stances. According to his campaign website, he supports gay marriage, he believes the prohibition of marijuana is unnecessary, he promises to propose a balanced budget every year (which would reflect the fact that he had a surplus of over 1 billion dollars his final year as governor in New Mexico), he opposes the unnecessary and costly wars that the United States has involved itself in, and he supports the Fair Tax, which is a flat tax on consumption without loopholes. These views seem to be very unique to the two-term Republican governor.

So the question is, why is Gary Johnson, a four-time competitor in the invitation-only Iron Man Challenge and a man who climbed Mt. Everest with a broken leg, not given any attention by the major media outlets? Regardless of his stances, he sure makes an interesting story.

Also by Luke Stanek:

Gary Johnson: Outlier to the GOP, or the Future of the GOP?

Phi Beta Iota: What we find interesting is how blatantly the Republican Party is manipulating the debates by excluding “non-establishment” mavericks; at the same time that the Democratic Party appears to be “frozen” in contemplating any candidate other than the incumbent–we'd certainly like to see Hillary Clinton run, now that it is obvious to one and all that “Hope We Can Believe In” was a total fraud.

2011/09/10

Berto Jongman: The Emerging Global Mind

11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Autonomous Internet, Civil Society, Collective Intelligence, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence, Gift Intelligence, IO Deeds of Peace, Methods & Process, Peace Intelligence, Strategy

berto small — Berto Jongman Recommends...

Berto Jongman: Forecasting Large-Scale Human Behavior — and Four Flaws in the Concept

09 Justice, Advanced Cyber/IO, Civil Society, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Peace Intelligence

Culturomics 2.0: Forecasting large-scale human behavior using global news media tone in time and space

Kalev Leetaru

First Monday, Volume 16, Number 9 – 5 September 2011

Abstract

News is increasingly being produced and consumed online, supplanting print and broadcast to represent nearly half of the news monitored across the world today by Western intelligence agencies. Recent literature has suggested that computational analysis of large text archives can yield novel insights to the functioning of society, including predicting future economic events. Applying tone and geographic analysis to a 30–year worldwide news archive, global news tone is found to have forecasted the revolutions in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, including the removal of Egyptian President Mubarak, predicted the stability of Saudi Arabia (at least through May 2011), estimated Osama Bin Laden’s likely hiding place as a 200–kilometer radius in Northern Pakistan that includes Abbotabad, and offered a new look at the world’s cultural affiliations. Along the way, common assertions about the news, such as “news is becoming more negative” and “American news portrays a U.S.–centric view of the world” are found to have merit.

Contents

Introduction
Data sources
Method
Forecasting unrest: Conflict early warning
The spatial dimension of news
Mapping the “civilizations” of the world’s press
Conclusions

Phi Beta Iota: Interesting, and no doubt to be presented to IARPA as a proposed project. However, there are four major flaws in this approach:

1) it does not recognize the difference between preconditions of revolution and precipitants;

2) is has no underlying analytic model for understanding true costs and severe imbalances between the few and the many;

3) it relies on English-language second and third hand depictions of the indigenous press in a handful of languages (there are actually 183 that need to be studied as indigenous populations strive to overturn the Treaty of Westphalia and its artificial boundaries); and

4) it assumes that published media interpretations are a reliable representation of the public mood–in our experience, not only are all media generally biased as they are owned by the “establishment” in one form or another, but they also fail to capture the 80% that is “unpublished” or “unarticulated” but simmering and very reality-based.

2011/09/092011/09/12

Owl: Obama Feared Coup in 2008 if Prosecutions of Bush Team, CIA, NSA Went Forward

09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, IO Impotency, Law Enforcement, Military

Some insights into how Obama team perceived their vulnerability if they went after war crimes during the Bush era.

Obama Team Feared Coup If He Prosecuted War Crimes

By Andrew Kreig

OpEdNews, 7 September 2011

President-Elect Obama's advisers feared in 2008 that authorities would oust him in a coup and that Republicans would block his policy agenda if he prosecuted Bush-era war crimes, according to a law school dean who served as one of Obama's top transition advisers.

University of California at Berkeley Law School Dean Christopher Edley, Jr., above, the sixth highest-ranking member of the 2008 post-election transition team preparing Obama's administration, revealed the team's thinking on Sept. 2 in moderating a forum on 9/11 held by his law school (also known as Boalt Hall). Edley was seeking to explain Obama's “look forward” policy on suspected Bush-era law-breaking that the president-elect announced on a TV talk show in January 2009.

Read full article (three screens).

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2011/09/092011/09/09

DefDog: PSYOP Reading List for Citizens

04 Education, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Book Lists, Civil Society, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, InfoOps (IO), IO Deeds of War

FYI……some good insight…..it is in the very fabric of society….

Towards a Psychological Operations Reading List

Skilluminati Research, 7 September 2011

Defining Psychological Operations is straightforward enough, but
determining where exactly it ends is extremely tricky. The US Department of Defense has infiltrated institutions around the world, they expend billions every year on domestic and foreign propaganda, yet they still only represent a single slice of the spectrum. Intelligence agencies, private think tanks and public corporations are all competing for attentional bandwidth, too. PSYOPS has become ubiquitous, metastasized into Standard Operating Procedure for the entire edifice of Western Culture. Our news and our entertainment, scientific studies, history books, political campaigns and activist movements are all just sponsored messages and paid promotions. From advertisements to astroturfing, everyone's got “desired effects” and everyone's got a “target audience” now.

Read list in context (commentary by the editors).

Phi Beta Iota: PSYOP succeed when education fails. Education fails and PSYOP succeed when integrity fails. This ultimately boils down to Philosophy and the Social Problem (Will Durant, 2008 x 1916).

Below the line: structured and expanded list with links.

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2011/09/082011/10/17

Worth A Look: Understanding 9/11 and 9/11 RECAP

10 Security, 11 Society, Communities of Practice, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, IO Impotency

9-11 collage — Click on Image to Enlarge

Precedent works:

Project for a New American Century

Post-Event Illuminations:

2006 Endgame: The Blueprint for Victory in the War on Terror

2007 Wesley Clark interview (March 2007): “We plan to take out 7 countries in 5 years”

From Niels Groeneveld at Facebook:

VIDEO: 9/11 Attack or Godsend (German and British Ministers)

Decision to Invade Afghanistan Made Before 9/11

9/11 at DuckDuckGo

BELOW THE LINE:

Recent Bin Laden Show from CIA/JSOG
Recent 9/11 RECAP
DVD's Reviewed at Phi Beta Iota
Books Reviewed at Phi Beta Iota
Other Posts
9/11 Web Sites (Selected)
9/11 Online Videos
9/11 Audio

Continue reading “Worth A Look: Understanding 9/11 and 9/11 RECAP”