Journal: CIA Veteran Rings Bell on Iraq–Way Too Late…

10 Security, 11 Society, Civil Society, Collective Intelligence, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Ethics, Intelligence (government), Officers Call, Peace Intelligence, Power Behind-the-Scenes/Special Interests, Reform
Marcus Aurelius Recommends

Iraq: Time to Ring the Bell

by Howard P. Hart

27 August 2010

Many years ago I attended a series of Headquarters briefings for out-going CIA Chiefs of Station. Our main speaker was Richard Helms, then the Agency’s Director and one of the lions of American foreign policy in the 1960’s and 70’s. A man who was subsequently crucified in the Nixon catastrophe. Dick was essentially giving us our instructions, and in my mind his most telling directive was the quiet statement: “Ring the Bell.” Telling us to sing out when we apprehended a major disaster in the offing.

It’s time to ring the bell on Iraq.

Briefly put, in a matter of months Iran will emerge the unchallenged military and economic power dominating the area from Lebanon to Pakistan. It will control Iraq, and be in a position to shut off all oil supplies from the Persian Gulf. It will be free to provide extensive assistance to the Taliban in Afghanistan, thus ensuring a NATO defeat in that country. It will be in a position to provide crucial support to radical Islamic elements in Pakistan – which may well result in the collapse of that already shaky nuclear-armed government. It will be free to radically increase its support to a variety of terrorist organizations targeting the US. And, in conjunction with well-armed radical Palestinian forces that already exist on Israel's borders, it will pose the greatest threat ever faced by Israel. A threat that I do not believe Israel could survive without direct US military intervention.

READ THE BALANCE OF THE PIECE BY THIS CIA VETERAN

Continue reading “Journal: CIA Veteran Rings Bell on Iraq–Way Too Late…”

Search (3): j2 africom; knowledge management graphics; dod spagetti

Searches

Sadly, we had to give up comments, and searches are the best way for us to be responsive to what individual visitors are looking for.  Here are three results, only the last of which yields satisfactory results.  You can also send an email (About).  If AFRICOM ever decides to go for the gold and BE the 21st Century multinational stabilization harmonizer, we'd like to hear from them.

j2 africom

Graphic: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) J-2 Central

knowledge management graphics

Graphic: Four Quadrants J-2 High Cell SMS Low
Graphic: The Four Quadrants of Knowledge
Graphic: Six Circles–Earth Intelligence Network Operational Concept
Graphic: Epoch B Multinational Network Rising
Graphic: Open Everything
Who’s Who in Collective Intelligence: Nova Spivak
Search: management connect the dots
Search: memetic leadership design

dod spagetti

Graphic: DoD Intellectual Spagetti Modern Version
Graphic: DoD Intellectual Spagetti Cold War Version
Journal: Pentagon Intellectual Spaghetti…
Search: information sharing graphic dod

Blog del Narco: Uncensored Web Journalism versus Violence of the Mexican Narcosphere

07 Other Atrocities, 09 Terrorism, 10 Transnational Crime, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Journalism/Free-Press/Censorship

Blog del Narco

With Journalists Silenced, Mysterious Blogger Reports on Mexico’s Drug Violence

By Nate Freeman, August 16, 2010

President Felipe Calderone’s crackdown on drug cartels in Mexico has claimed 28,000 lives since 2006, but the best coverage of the non-stop mob hits and government stings isn't coming from the nation’s major media outlets.

Instead, it comes from a student with a six-month-old blog. Blog del Narco began as a hobby for the highly secretive blogger, but in time he found that his facelessness allowed him get away with stories that would endanger known journalists — many of whom have been kidnapped or killed for divulging such information. Now, his site has become indispensable for its no-holds-barred coverage of the endless carnage caused by the drug trade. The AP reports that for the first time, a blog on the conflict can count its most dangerous participants among its most obsessive readers, as the kingpins and cops rely on the information just as much as the public does.

Continue reading “Blog del Narco: Uncensored Web Journalism versus Violence of the Mexican Narcosphere”

Worth a Look: NATO on FaceBook & YouTube

Worth A Look, YouTube

Today, with a Tip of the Hat to Roxana Stefanescu at Facebook, we point to the NATO page on Facebook, and the NATO page on YouTube.

Context: Long, long, ago in a land far far away, Frank Carlucci spoke to a group of CIA analysts at a hotel near the White House, and his observation has stayed with us to this date.  Paraphrasing from memory, he said that in the Reagan Administration, the perfect intelligence briefing would be a five minute video tailored to the President's next hour, that could be viewed five minutes before the hour began.  We have never forgotten that, it is probably influenced our own concept of just enough, just in time intelligence, and our diamond paradigm, where the acme of skill of an analyst is not in developing an answer, but as Stevan Dedijer said at OSS '92, “knowing who knows” and connecting the customer with exactly the right person who can create tailored intelligence on the spot through interaction with the customer (recorded and retained for the intelligence archives).

Reference: Strategic Survey 2010 includes Afghanistan

04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 07 Other Atrocities, 08 Wild Cards, 09 Terrorism, Analysis, Monographs, Strategy, United Nations & NGOs
Berto Jongman Recommends...
Overview & Ordering Online

This year's survey places strong emphasis on the global nature of economic and financial vulernability, and on Afghanistan.  Below is a quote in two sections  from the official press statement releasing the survey to the public.

Strategic Survey 2010 does not seek to lay out a new comprehensive strategy for Afghanistan. It does however argue that for Western states to be pinned down militarily and psychologically in Afghanistan will not be in the service of their wider political and security interests. The challenge of Afghanistan must be viewed and addressed in proportion to the other threats to international security and the other requirements for foreign-policy investment. With economic, financial and diplomatic activity moving at such a pace and with such varied outcomes internationally, military operations in general have to be all the more carefully considered. Precision and adaptability will be essential watchwords. For heavy, large, military deployment, the longue durée will be seen as an attitude for other times, other centuries.

The Afghan campaign has involved not just mission creep but mission multiplication; narrowing the political-military engagement to core goals as described will allow for proper attention to be paid to other areas posing international terrorist risks, and indeed to other matters affecting international security.

See Also:

Search: Strategic Analytic Model

Search (3): time wheel intelligence, clean sheet analytics, quotations on truth

Searches

We're re-thinking the entire site, but for the time being this is as good as it gets.  USE THE MIDDLE COLUMN.  To see ONLY events, click on Events in the middle column.  Similarly to see only Journal click there, only reviews, click there.  WordPress is reverse chronological in nature, so you automatically get the most recent, but in doing searches, need to persist to the end for “root.”  Three interesting searches today, each addressed below the line.

Continue reading “Search (3): time wheel intelligence, clean sheet analytics, quotations on truth”

Worth a Look: Learn to Lead–with Intelligence

04 Education, Ethics, Government, Intelligence (government), Methods & Process, Military, Officers Call

Learn to Lead

Dedicated to educating a network of intelligence professionals who Think and Live Leadership.

“Leadership and learning are indispensible to each other. ”

John F. Kennedy to the Dallas Citizen's Council, 22  Nov. 1963

This website is a labor of professional love for retired Senior Executive Service (SES) Bill Manthorpe, also Captain, USN (Ret).  Once serving as  Deputy Director of Naval Intelligence he followed this with over a decade of teaching at Johns Hopkins University and as an Adjunct Professor at the Joint Military Intelligence College.

This site is being added to the roster of Righteous Sites.

noble gold