Richard Wright: It’s Only Money – Why the IC Continues to Fail & Robert Steele: 10% Grade – A Dishonorable Discharge Needed

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Cyberscams, malware, spam, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), Government, InfoOps (IO), Intelligence (government), IO Impotency
Richard Wright

Its Only Money

The posting of Jim Bamford’s Politico article on today’s Public Intelligence Blog or rather the accompanying comment on it by Robert Steele [Jim Bamford: How 9/11 Fearmongering Grew NSA Into a Very Expensive Domestic Surveillance Monster] identifies the principal problem with the outrageously expensive NSA.  His comment is directly related to earlier comments he made on a Wall Street Journal article written by General Jim Clapper (USAF ret.) the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) [David Isenberg: Jim Clapper Claims Transformation — Robert Steele Comments on Each Misrepresentation]  Steele did a brilliant job of refuting the claims that General Clapper advanced in this article about how much the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC) has improved since 9/11. Yet the article really wasn’t serious to begin with because it obviously was written with the purpose of telling the American people what the General wanted them to know. I am sure it was vetted carefully by his staff and possibly CIA as well.

In the interests of clearing the air a bit I would like to add a couple of comments of my own to supplement those that Steele has made.

In the wake of 9/11 people, who did not know what they were talking about, had a good deal to say concerning the “lack of sharing” within the IC. In point of fact NSA and its technical counterpart the National Geo-spatial [Intelligence] Agency (NGA) are required by law to make their products available to analysts holding the proper clearances in entire IC as well as the President and his National Security Staff. The real lack of sharing was and is between the FBI and CIA. The FBI is unwilling to share because its agents fear damaging ongoing investigations while CIA is unwilling to share because its intelligence officers fear compromising sensitive sources. Had this issue been approached with integrity and directly between the two agencies it could have been resolved years ago.

General Clapper argued that the changed “culture” within the intelligence community had made its members much more efficient at dealing transnational terrorist and criminal organizations.  Neither CIA nor NSA has a clue on how to deal with widely dispersed networked type of organizations. Indeed CIA has yet to build a realistic model of the organizational structure or personnel staffing of al Qaeda. CIA’s current methodology of using ‘targeters’ to find and track individual al Qaeda members is simply doing what the original CIA Counter Terrorism Center (CTC) was doing in the 1990s. Indeed their analytic approach is the same as used during the Cold War with “Soviet Type Armed Forces” (the actual name of a class that many of us attended).

Finally there are Bamford’s article and Steele’s comments on it.  Steele in his comments went right to the heart of the matter by noting that NSA was incapable of processing more than a small percentage of the material it collects on a 24/7 basis. This goes directly to an issue that General Clapper clearly did not wish to discuss in his article: for all the money being poured into NSA specifically and the IC more broadly, how much return in enhanced security are we really getting?  It would not seem to make much sense to continue to spend even more money for collection systems to collect ever more traffic if what is being gathered now can’t be adequately processed.

Robert David STEELE Vivas

Robert Steele:  Emphasis added above.  Richard Wright (Retired Reader at Amazon) focuses on the longest largest divide in the US intelligence community itself, as well as the complete abject failure of analysis as a whole and analysis in relation to crime and terrorism, but it bears mention that other divides are equally unattended to by the current leadership:

1)  The secret world ignores 90% of the full-spectrum threat to obsess on counter-terrorism (badly).

2)  The secret world ignores 90% of the Whole of Government customer base, while badly serving the President and a few senior national security officials.  It is worthless on strategy, acquisition, campaign planning, and tactical real-time actionable intelligence in 183 languages.

3)  The secret world ignores 90% of the relevant sources (in 183 languages) and methods (modern human and machine processing that is commonplace within major insurance and financial companies).

On a scale of 100%, ten years after 9/11, the US secret intelligence world earns a grade of 10% (not just failing, but a dishonorable discharge and shame for all eternity).  The Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI) and the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) are been impotent since their inception, and appear content to continue in that fashion.

Jim Bamford: How 9/11 Fearmongering Grew NSA Into a Very Expensive Domestic Surveillance Monster

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, DHS, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), DoD, Government, InfoOps (IO), IO Deeds of War, IO Impotency, Military
Jim Bamford

September 11 fearmongering grew NSA

Jim Bamford

Politico, 9/8/11

Somewhere between Sept. 11 and today, the enemy morphed from a handful of terrorists to the American population at large, leaving us nowhere to run and no place to hide.

Within weeks of the attacks, the giant ears of the National Security Agency, always pointed outward toward potential enemies, turned inward on the American public itself. The Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, established 23 years before to ensure that only suspected foreign agents and terrorists were targeted by the NSA, would be bypassed. Telecom companies, required by law to keep the computerized phone records of their customers confidential unless presented with a warrant, would secretly turn them over in bulk to the NSA without ever asking for a warrant.

. . . . . .

So much intercepted information is now being collected from “enemies” at home and abroad that, in order to store it all, the agency last year began constructing the ultimate monument to eavesdropping. Rising in a remote corner of Utah, the agency’s gargantuan data storage center will be 1 million square feet, cost nearly $2 billion and likely be capable of eventually holding more than a yottabyte of data — equal to about a septillion (1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000) pages of text.

. . . . . .

A surveillance system capable of monitoring 10 million people simultaneously this year will be able to monitor 100 million the next year — at probably half the cost. And every time new communications technology appears on the market, rest assured that someone at the NSA has already found a way to monitor it. It’s what the NSA does.

What Church likely never anticipated was the rise of the security-industrial complex, a revolving door between those generating the fears and those profiting from them.

Read full story (3 screens).

Phi Beta Iota:  NSA leadership is blatantly corrupt (this is the same person who destroyed ABLE DANGER rather than share the information with the FBI).  The only good news is that NSA is also inept–it processes less than one percent of what it captures, and is essentially cheating the taxpayer at the same time that it is spying on the taxpayer.  The time has come to create a whole new cadre of ethical leaders who actually understand the new craft of intelligence as decision support (outputs) instead of budget share (inputs), and to slam it back from $90 billion a year toward $20 billion a year.  With the savings the next President can afford to give all displaced personnel a year's salary and a year's re-training toward education, infrastructure, and information-era jobs.

Chuck Spinney: Joseph Stiglitz on Needed Fiscal Policy

03 Economy, Civil Society, Commerce, Ethics, Government
Chuck Spinney

In addition to making the United States a global laughing stock, last month's dismaying political circus over what used to be routine legislation to increase the debt ceiling solidified the “let them eat cake” politics among the courtiers and plutocrats calling the shots from behind the curtains in the hall of mirrors that is Versailles on the Potomac. The general view is that there is nothing that can be done help the American people economically — at least some of the people — and those in trouble must tough it out on their own.  Of course the funding for the perpetual war on terror will continue, and money will continue to flow to the welfare queens in the Military – Industrial – Congressional Complex, although perhaps at a slower rate in the short term, not mention the continued subsidies flowing to the banksters, agribusiness, big pharma, etc.

One outcome is out in the open, however: Obama may talk about jobs, but a fiscal policy designed to put common folk back to work is a non starter.

Joseph Stiglitz is perhaps the most erudite exponent of fiscal policy among the mainstream economists.  To be sure, in this age of name-calling, he would be labeled as being left of center, or perhaps branded as a dreaded progressive, or even worse, a hated lefty socialist, but no one (irrational nut cases excepted) would call him a whacko.

In the op-ed below, he makes the clearest and most concise argument for an activist fiscal policy that I have yet read.  Even readers viscerally disposed to hate the Keynes' theory of fiscal policy make an effort to deconstruct his arguments, to see if they have the intellectual wherewithal to refute his points without resorting to name-calling.

[note: I reformatted the op-ed slightly to highlight his main points, but did not change any text — readers will find original version at the link.]

Chuck Spinney
Sanary sur Mer, France

Published on Thursday, September 8, 2011 by Politico.com

How to Put America Back to Work

by Joseph E. Stiglitz

Click on headline to read original.  Safety copy preserving reformats by Chuck Spinney below the line.

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Chuck Spinney: Grand Strategy Analysis of 9/11 Blow-Back

03 Economy, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Civil Society, Commerce, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, IO Deeds of War, Military, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence
Chuck Spinney

An excellent grand-strategic analysis of last 10 years.

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September 1, 2011

9/11 Blowback

By H.D.S. GREENWAY

Historians will label the events of that September morning 10 years ago as the most destructive act of terrorism ever committed up to that time. But I suspect they will also judge America’s last decade as one of history’s worst overreactions.

Of course overreaction is what terrorists hope to provoke. If judged by that standard, 9/11 was also one of history’s most successful terrorist acts, dragging the United States into two as yet unresolved wars, draining the treasury of $1 trillion and climbing, as well as damaging America’s power and prestige. These wars have empowered our enemies and hurt our friendships, and have almost certainly generated more terrorists than they have killed.

Like other victims of terrorism, the United States believed that somehow the answer could be found in brute force. But ideas seldom yield to force, and militant Islam is an idea. The result has been the militarization of U.S. foreign policy.

Read original.

Safety copy below the line.

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Winslow Wheeler: DoD Spending is a Jobs NEGATIVE

03 Economy, 10 Security, 11 Society, Budgets & Funding, Commerce, Corruption, DoD, Government, IO Deeds of War, Military
Winslow Wheeler

For years and years, advocates of big defense spending have argued there is a major economic benefit — jobs.  These claims are ever more strident now because of high unemployment and threats to further growth in the defense budget.  Hearing the footsteps on the unaffordable, underperforming F-35, Lockheed, among others, touts the jobs they pretend the program creates.

The defense budget does create jobs, but it is highly inefficient at it.  Large portions of the total defense budget are spent on things that have nothing to do with jobs in the US; even the procurement and R&D accounts (i.e. the portions that porkers in and out of Congress claim to be US-jobs-rich) are terrible investments for employment.

Click on Image to Enlarge

Source for chart: Robert Pollin and Heidi Garrett-Peltier, “The U.S. Employment Effects of Military and Domestic Spending Priorities,” Department of Economics and Political Economy Research Institute (PERI), University of Massachusetts, October 2009.

The question is not whether military spending creates jobs – it is whether more jobs could be created by the same amount of money invested in other ways.  The evidence on this point is clear.

  • A billion dollars spent for military purposes creates 25% fewer jobs than a tax cut;
  • one and one-half times fewer jobs than spending on clean energy production;
  • and two and one-half times fewer jobs than spending on education.

And though average overall compensation is higher for military jobs than the others, these other forms of expenditure create more decent-paying jobs (those paying $64,000 per year or more) than military spending does.[1]

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Chuck Spinney: Bin Laden, Perpetual War, Total Cost + Perpetual War RECAP

03 Economy, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 05 Civil War, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Terrorism, 10 Security, 11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Blog Wisdom, Government, Hacking, IO Deeds of War, Military, Officers Call
Chuck Spinney

Osama bin Laden repeatedly said that his strategy for defeating the US and driving it out of the Middle East was to bankrupt the US by suckering it into a string expensive of never ending small wars. Osama may be dead, but the US remains locked in a state of perpetual wars abroad and shrinking civil liberties at home.

So was Osama right?

The dismaying debt ceiling spectacle in Congress is revealing in one psychological sense: A clear majority of US politicians now believe  (I think incorrectly [1]) that the US federal government is bankrupt.

On this anniversary of 9-11, in addition to remembering the dead and the sacrifices of the living, we ought to look in the mirror and ask ourselves if America was taken to the cleaners by a Saudi whack job of Yemeni extraction.  One way to start is by trying to figure out what kind of cash hemorrhage was triggered by our reaction to Osama's attack.  My good friend Winslow Wheeler has been grappling with this problem, and his answer below is not pretty.

Chuck Spinney
Sanary sur Mer, France

SEPTEMBER 7, 2011

Five Trillion and Counting

What Has Been the Real Costs of the Post-9/11 Wars?

by WINSLOW T. WHEELER, Counterpunch

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DefDog: Nation’s Top Cops Slam US Intelligence

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 09 Terrorism, 10 Security, 11 Society, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, DHS, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), Government, IO Deeds of War, Law Enforcement
DefDog

Failure, across the board…..implications of this for domestic security abound…..where has all the money gone?

Report: Nation's Top Cops Say U.S. Counterterror Effort Is Lacking

Ten years after 9/11, top cops in the nation's biggest cities feel there
are still significant gaps in the intelligence and analysis they receive
about terrorism, even as the homegrown terror threat looms larger.

A survey of intelligence commanders from America's 56 biggest cities conducted by the Homeland Security Policy Institute found the police chiefs believe the nation's intelligence enterprise is less robust than it could be, and that 62 percent of the chiefs felt this lack left them “unable to develop a complete understanding of their local threat.”

Read full article.

Read full report.

Phi Beta Iota:  The “top cops” are great people, they just do not understand that the terror threat is fradulent and that the homeland security industrial complex is working precisely as intended, wasting hundreds of billions on fraudulent dysfunctional white and white-collar employment while channeling hundreds of billions in unearned profits to the homeland security industrial complex.

See Also:

Top Secret America: The Rise of the New American Security State

No More Secrets: Open Source Information and the Reshaping of U.S. Intelligence

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