J. C. Cole: American Gray Swans – March 2021 #3 No no NATO

NATO Civ-Mil Ctr

American Gray Swans – March 2021 #3

No no NATO

An update on the tensions growing in Ukraine since my article  March 2021 #2 Oil, NATO, America & Russia. Here are some new events in the recent days.

March 23, 2021 – Russian Tank Divisions on the move toward Poland/Lithuania Borders – link

March 23, 2021 – Suez Canal Blocked – Ongoing Suez Canal Blockage Sends Ripples Through Global Supply Chains – link

March 23, 2021 – U.S. General Says West “Should Use All Tools” to assist Ukraine – link

March 24, 2021 –  Russia – China , Welcome To ‘Shocked & Awed' 21st Century Geopolitics – link

March 24, 2021 – Moscow Declares “No Relations” With EU As Brussels Has Unilaterally “Destroyed” Ties – link

March 24, 2021 – Oil Soars As Suez Canal Blockage Continues, Megaship “Likely Damaged”, Traffic Can't Pass – link

March 24, 2021 – Ukraine President Signs ORDER to Re-Capture Crimea from Russia . . . Kerch Bridge Now a “Target” – link

In my opinion, if these reports are accurate, especially the last one, there will shortly be open war in Ukraine. The Kirsh Bridge is Russia’s access to their navel fleet at Sevastopol and there is no way they will give that up.

Ukraine is not a member of NATO.


In my opinion, this looks like the Nazi/Khazarian elements of NATO attempting to start WW III. I am not an expert on the NATO charter, but I would think they would be in clear violation getting into war defending a non-NATO member. Would that be considered treason for any United States military officer to be involved, especially considering they went to war without congressional approval?


Recall what I wrote in my last article – “I remind the readers that Russia now has a nuclear deterrent policy which allows Putin to use atomic weapons in response to a conventional strike targeting the nation’s critical government and military infrastructure – link.”


Do you think that the Russian Fleet stationed at Sevastopol and their access to it would be considered  “critical government and military infrastructure”?


Add in that Russian now has an unstoppable nuclear Poseidon torpedo with a 5,000 mile range (across the Atlantic) that can create a 500 ft tsunami to take out either an aircraft carrier group or a coastal city – Link. Not a good time to invest in NYC, London, nor Tel Aviv real-estate.


Also keep in mind that March 20, 2021 a Russian Kilo-class (nuclear) Submarine has “Disappeared” off the Coasts of Lebanon/Israel – link. NATO and Israel can not find it – Oops!


Jan H. Kalvik: Introducing Robert David Steele to the Norwegian Defence & Intelligence Communities

Collaboration Zones, Communities of Practice, Information Operations (IO), Key Players, Liberation Technology, NATO Civ-Mil Ctr, Officers Call, Policies, Threats, United Nations & NGOs
Jan Helge Kalvik
Jan Helge Kalvik

Defence and intelligence Norway

Introducing Robert David Steele

Posted on <span

We are happy to introduce Robert David Steele as a new contributor to Defence and Intelligence.

Original post in Norway — safety copy below the fold.

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Robert Steele: Reinventing the US Army Part I – An American Grand Strategy

#OSE Open Source Everything, 02 China, 03 Economy, 05 Iran, 06 Russia, 08 Wild Cards, 10 Security, 11 Society, Collective Intelligence, DoD, Government, IO Deeds of Peace, Military, NATO Civ-Mil Ctr, Office of Management and Budget, Peace Intelligence, Strategy, Threats
Robert David Steele Vivas
Robert David Steele Vivas

Steele, Robert. Reinventing the US Army Part I – An American Grand Strategy, Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, Press, Projected Publication 2017.

Part I in the Reinventing the US Army monograph series.

Updated November 15, 2016 Robert Steele

This is the author's preliminary draft of the first of three monographs focused on the future of the US Army as  an expeditionary force in a complex world that is rapidly decentralizing while also facing major development challenges. A revised draft is provide at DOC below but the online full-text version has not been updated.

Amazon Kindle Page

Short URL: http://tinyurl.com/2016-Grand-Strategy

DOC (56 Pages): EIN 7FV42 ERAP Steele Vol 1 Grand Strategy 2.4 LINKS

KINDLE (99 cents): An American Grand Strategy: Evidence-Based, Affordable, Balanced, Flexible

See Also:

Steele, Robert. Reinventing the US Army Part II – Overview of Planning and Programming Factors for Expeditionary Army Operations, Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, Press, Projected Publication December 2016.

Steele, Robert. Reinventing the US Army Part III – Strategy, Reality, Precepts, Structure, & Leadership, Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, Press, Projected Publication December 2016.

Full Text with Graphics Below the Fold (Links Added)

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NATO Crowd-Sourcing Future

Crowd-Sourcing, NATO Civ-Mil Ctr
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Click on Image to Enlarge

Seriously. NATO Transformation Command, based in Norfolk, Virginia and previously known as Supreme Allied Command, Atlantic, wants to crowd-source the future. They have a strategic foresight initiative that is hot right now, and anyone can sign up to have an account and express their views on Economics, Environment, Technology, and more. These are serious people with good intentions. Got brain? Take it for a drive at the Innovation Hub. Right now. This stage CLOSES on 23 June. Contributors get to join in the video discussion 24-26 June 2015. The possibility of personal thank you letters is being discussed. Do this.  Now.  Please. http://innovationhub-act.org/

Answers: Steele for NATO Strategic Foresight

Answers, NATO Civ-Mil Ctr
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Click on Image to Enlarge

My preliminary contributions to the NATO Strategic Foresight Online Workshop. I have no appointment or connection to NATO or the Transformation Command. This workshop is open to the public without restriction.

Characteristics of the Future Threats & Possibilities
Economic Considerations
Environmental Considerations
Human Considerations I & II
Political Considerations
Technology Considerations
Strategic Foresight I & II


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NATO Watch: Four Questions — and 70-90 US Nuclear Weapons in Turkey, US Helping Turkey Go Nuclear By 2019?

NATO Civ-Mil Ctr

Four questions not answered by NATO Defence Ministersnato watch

By Nigel Chamberlain and Ian Davis, NATO Watch

4 November 2013

www.natowatch.org Promoting a more transparent and accountable NATO

Four questions only:

1. Can NATO’s defence gap be bridged?
2. Why such slow progress on NATO support for Libya?
3. Are NATO and Russia going to cooperate to help eliminate Syrian chemical weapons
4. Where absolute secrecy prevails – absolutely [nuclear weapons in Europe and Turkey]

Read full commentary with links.

NATO CIMIC: The Role of Iran in Afghanistan’s Reconstruction & Development

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Farsi Language Zones
Farsi / Dari Language Zones

PDF (10 Pages):  20130816 NATO CIMIC Iran_Reconstruction_Afghanistan

This report provides a broad overview of the contribution of the Islamic Republic of Iran to reconstruction and development in Afghanistan since the fall of the Taliban. It complements previous CFC reports discussing the role of China, India and Pakistan in Afghanistan’s reconstruction, development and exploitation of natural resources. Related information is available at www.cimicweb.org.

Iran has been an active player in Afghanistan‟s reconstruction and development since the fall of the Taliban in 2001, with the Afghan government frequently lauding Iran for its assistance to the country. For instance, in June 2013, Afghan Foreign Ministry spokesman Janan Mosazai praised Iran as “a very good neighbour”, while stressing a need for expansion of ties and cooperation between the two countries. Similarly, in February 2013, Afghan Foreign Minister Zalmai Rassoul hailed Iran‟s positive role in the reconstruction of Afghanistan.  While this report primarily focuses on reconstruction and development – related projects, it is useful to situate these within a broader context of Iran‟s regional economic objectives and its foreign policy toward Afghanistan.  As noted by Ellen Laipson of the Stimson Center, Iran would prefer to see Afghanistan
emerge from decades of conflict as “a more reliable trading partner, transit route, and competent state that can [reduce] the flow of drugs and refugees across its border, [as well as ] prevent non-state actors from operating on its territory”.   These factors, among others, have guided Iran‟s reconstruction and development efforts in the country.