Chuck Spinney: The Mark to Market Fantasy Fraud

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Transnational Crime, 11 Society, Civil Society, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Money, Banks & Concentrated Wealth, Office of Management and Budget
Chuck Spinney

My friend Andrew Cockburn is on a roll.  One week after his brilliant article on IEDs in Harpers, he has produced another hard-hitting tubesteak, this time in Counterpunch.  Andrew's targets are the Banksters, whose looting continues to push the middle class into poverty and the lower income classes into a kind of debt servitude that is reminiscent of that imposed by company stores in the West Virginia coal towns in what we had hoped was a bygone era.

Andrew's essay is important, because the problem he is describing exists  against the backdrop of the Great Recession, which now, three years after the banking system started to collapse, may be on the cusp of a full blown debt deflation, triggered by another, even more catastrophic banking collapse.   My introductory comments are intended to help you understand that magnitude of that danger that Andrew is describing.

Click on Image to Enlarge

The following charts (Figures 1 & 2), based on the most recent data released by the Federal Reserve,

portray ratio of debt to gross domestic product over time.  Figure 1 shows how the cumulative debt changed in the entire system, with debt expressed as a percentage of the GDP produced by the economy. The debt ratio for the entire economy should not be thought of as an absolute measure of debt burden but as an indexof that burden, and is an indicator of the comparative pressure of that debt regardless of the overall size of the economy.[1]  Thus, one can compare

Click on Image to Enlarge

changes in earlier years to those in later years.  Figure 2 plots the sector burdens separately for the components in the private sector (note: since Federal Debt is arranged in bottom position in Figure 1 it is also the same shape that would be plotted in Figure 2; other categories, like state and local debt have been ignored because over time their ratio changes have not been significant enough to the alter the pattern in the figures).  What do these figures tell us?

The Mark-to-Market Fantasy

Banks on the Brink

by ANDREW COCKBURN
Counterpunch, Weekend Edition October 21-23, 2011

“If the Occupiers start chanting ‘Mark to Market,’” an attorney highly conversant with the darker workings of the Wall Street-Washington complex told me, “we’ll know they’re serious.”   Such a call would quickly presage the collapse of our “too big to fail” banks, for it would highlight the fact that a huge proportion of the assets of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, and Citigroup consist of loans that will never be paid back and are therefore essentially worthless. The so called “recovery” of our leading financial institutions from the post-Lehman abyss has depended on a fraudulent valuation of these assets, but stripped of the fiction, the banks are insolvent.

Read full analysis.

Phi Beta Iota:  The banks are on the brink–wildly fearful of a run on stocks and deposits–and the US Government knows they are on the brink–and is wildly fearful of nation-wide violence.  Pissed off white people will make the Watts Riots looks like an effete tea party.  There is good news.  The close OccupyWallStreet gets to understanding the depth of the depravity of the government that enabled and enables Wall Street, the lack of intelligence and integrity within that government, the closer we get to being able to demand and secure the Electoral Reform Act of 2012, in our view the sole means by which a non-violent revolution might restore the integrity of the U.S. Government.

DefDog: Occupy Wall Street – Washington Still Doesn’t Get I

03 Economy, 07 Other Atrocities, Blog Wisdom, Corruption, Government, Money, Banks & Concentrated Wealth
DefDog

The more they say they have changed, the more they remain the same…..

Occupy Wall Street: Washington Still Doesn't Get It

Matt Taibbi

Rolling Stone, 21 October 2011

I'll have more coming out about this in a few days, but there have been two disgusting developments in the realm of plutocratic intervention on behalf of Wall Street that everyone protesting should take note of.

The fact that both of the following things took place in the middle of the full fever of OWS, when everyone is supposedly trying to placate anti-banker sentiment and Obama and the DCCC are supposedly pledging support of the protesters, shows how completely bankrupt this system is and how necessary street-level protests have become. Popular uprising is probably the only move left to stop developments like the following:

Read full article.

Phi Beta Iota:  This is why US Day of Rage and Phi Beta Iota both feel so strongly that Electoral Reform is the only immediately reasonable and achievable demand.  Congress and the  White House are under the delusion that they are going to be in power after 2012, and that #OWS is a light rain that will disappear over the winter.  We do not agree.  Politics has  finally become very personal to the 99%.  That is what's new.  The lack of intelligence and integrity in the US Government is not new, but God willing, will be old news by 2012.

See Also:

#OWS Directory (List/Library) Sorted in Categories

#OWS Proposed Electoral Reform Act of 2012 Demand

Seth Goden: Management is Not Leadership

Blog Wisdom
Seth Godin

The difference between management and leadership

Managers work to get their employees to do what they did yesterday, but a little faster and a little cheaper.

Leaders, on the other hand, know where they'd like to go, but understand that they can't get there without their tribe, without giving those they lead the tools to make something happen.

Managers want authority. Leaders take responsibility.

We need both. But we have to be careful not to confuse them. And it helps to remember that leaders are scarce and thus more valuable.

Phi Beta Iota:  We also exclude from management those who focus on inputs, as with the US agencies and Cabinets generally.  They are over-paid clerks (or in Madeline Albright's infamous phrase, “gerbils on a wheel.”)  Real managers create value added.

Naomi Wolf: #OWS NYPD & DHS OUT OF CONTROL

07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, Civil Society, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, DHS, Ethics, Law Enforcement, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence
Naomi Wolf

Naomi Wolf: how I was arrested at Occupy Wall Street

Arresting a middle-aged writer in an evening gown for peaceable conduct is a far cry from when America was a free republic

Naomi Wolf

Guardian, Wednesday 19 October 2011

Last night I was arrested in my home town, outside an event to which I had been invited, for standing lawfully on the sidewalk in an evening gown.

Read full article (includes short video).

Click on Image to Enlarge

Phi Beta Iota: Naomi Wolf is the author of The End of America: Letter of Warning to a Young Patriot and also Give Me Liberty: A Handbook for American Revolutionaries.  Safety copy of Guardian article with additional comments from others below the line.  The NYPD and DHS are OUT OF CONTROL and far, far beyond the bounds of the Constitution.  The time has come to begin demanding impeachments of public officials and criminal prosecution of specific police officers so that they might learn what they evidently were not taught: the responsibility to refuse illegal orders.  What our military officers abroad and our police officers at home are doing is illegal, unconstitutional, and reprehensible in every possible morally disengaged way.

See Also:

So Much For the First Amendment: Author, Reporter Naomi Wolf Just Latest of 1,500 Arrested For Peaceable Assembly at #OccupyWallStreet Protests

Updates from Naomi Wolf – Permit Seen, NYPD Officers Were Ignorant or Lying

Continue reading “Naomi Wolf: #OWS NYPD & DHS OUT OF CONTROL”

David Isenberg: Rise and Fall of Covert Operations

07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, DoD, IO Deeds of War, Military
David Isenberg

The Rise And Rise Of Western Covert Ops

By Peter Apps, Political Risk Correspondent

Reuters.com, October 18, 2011

WASHINGTON — Four months ago, Admiral William McRaven commanded the operation that killed Osama bin Laden. Now, as the new head of U.S. special forces, he argues that his shadowy, secretive warriors are increasingly central to how America and its allies fight.

When the suntanned, towering SEAL testified to the Congressional House Armed Services Committee in September, just a few weeks after he took over his new role, he used posters detailing the growth of his forces. In the decade since September 11 2001, U.S. Special Operations Command personnel numbers have doubled, its budget tripled and deployments quadrupled.

Read full story.

Phi Beta Iota:  In a debt-based secrecy-enabled government, there is no scrutiny of such programs, neither in relation to return on investment or in relation to moral engagement.  The US Government lacks intelligence and integrity and is OUT OF CONTROL.

DefDog: DARPA Fine-Tuning Propaganda a la 1984?

07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, DoD, IO Impotency, Military
DefDog

Darpa Wants to Master the Science of Propaganda

Dawn Lim

WIRED, 18 October 2011

Mark Twain once tried to distinguish between the storyteller’s art and tales that a machine could generate. He observed that stringing “incongruities and absurdities together in a wandering and sometimes purposeless way, and seem innocently unaware that they are absurdities,” was the province of the American storyteller. A machine might imitate simple formulas behind yarns, but never quite master them.

The Pentagon’s freewheeling research arm is hoping to prove Twain wrong. Darpa is asking scientists to “take narratives and make them quantitatively analyzable in a rigorous, transparent and repeatable fashion.” The idea is to detect terrorists who have been indoctrinated by propaganda. Then, the Pentagon can respond with some messages of its own.

The program is called “Narrative Networks.” By understanding how stories have shaped your mind, the Pentagon hopes to sniff out who has fallen prey to dangerous ideas, a neuroscience researcher involved in the project tells Danger Room. With this knowledge, the military can also target groups vulnerable to terrorists’ recruiting tactics with its own counter-messaging.

Continue reading “DefDog: DARPA Fine-Tuning Propaganda a la 1984?”

Tom Atlee: Government Data Eye in Sky – Sickening

07 Other Atrocities, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), Government, IO Impotency
Tom Atlee

George:

Re the article below:  This is terrible.  It is bad enough on its face, but to realize that MIT's Malone is at the heart of this breaks my heart, devastates my soul and outrages my professional sensibilities.  Now I am sorry that we didn't do a paper on pubic wisdom for his conference next year!  Talk about the applications of collective intelligence unmonitored by collective wisdom!!  This is NOT the power and capacity we sought to free by trying to pull together the field with our Collective Intelligence Convergence conference.

I see much more clearly now the distinction between my sense of “intelligence” and the use of that term by “intelligence” agencies.  My sense of intelligence is that it means we are able to assess reality in a learning feedback loop where we've taken an action based on certain assumptions/mental models and seen how it works in real life.  The results inform our reinforcement or revision of our assumptions and mental models.  Collective intelligence is our ability to do that collectively, as whole communities and societies and humanity.  The mere accumulation of data to inform official decision-makers – particularly in hierarchical power systems like ours – is a dangerous bastardization of the generic concept of CI.  Notice that they aren't talking about using this system to find out how successful a particular government policy or program is – whether it actually served the public good or not – so that we could have a more evidence-based government.  It is being used primarily to predict social unrest so it can be stifled or discharged so that the existing toxic power structures can remain as they are.

I notice it says the system will use “publicly accessible data”.  I'm so dubious.  They talk about traffic webcams and digital location trails from cell phones.  Are these publicly accessible?  And that begs the question of the fact that no one except giant institutions (governments, corporations) has the computing power to do those analyses.  It's like freedom of the press when you can't afford a press.

They want to predict when the people will revolt.  Ok.  But where's the people's capacity to predict what the government and specific corporations are going to do?  This is so one-sided.  It empowers only half of Robert's vision of open source intelligence, and it feels like the same old crap is being given new capacities.  This is collective intelligence?!!!?  This is panopticism – the ability of the power center at the top to see everything going on the whole system.  It has been brilliantly contrasted by Jean-Francois Noubel with holopticism – the ability of the whole and all its parts to view the whole.  We don't need more panopticism.  We need more holopticism, to help us navigate our collective destiny.

I am disgusted and horrified.

What can be done to reclaim the good name of collective intelligence?  I do not feel drawn to or capable of organizing the kind of professional outrage that headed off Operation Camelot and Total Information Awareness (see the article).  But I'll be damned if I will lend my good name to this so-called collective intelligence initiative.  At the very least, I can blog my protest – and have it picked up at least by IARPA….

Shit!  Damn!  I want to cry!

Tom

Begin forwarded message:

*GOVERNMENT AIMS TO BUILD A ‘DATA EYE IN THE SKY‘*

By John Markoff
New York Times, October 10, 2011

Safety Copy of Full Article Below the Line.

Continue reading “Tom Atlee: Government Data Eye in Sky – Sickening”

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