NIGHTWATCH Extract: Egypt Dictator-Domino Falling?

07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Civil Society, Counter-Oppression/Counter-Dictatorship Practices, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Peace Intelligence

Egypt: A spokesman for Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood announced that the group is making five urgent demands which the Egyptian government should comply with in order to avert several crises, according to a 19 January posting on the Muslim Brotherhood website.

Muhammad Mursi said the group wants Cairo to revoke the state of emergency, dissolve the People's Assembly and hold free and fair elections, amend the constitutional articles that led to vote rigging in Egypt's last elections, hold presidential elections according to those amendments, and fire the current government and form a national unity government responsive to the Egyptian people's demands.

Comment: The Brothers are belatedly trying to take advantage of the Tunisian uprising. Mubarak could die at any time, but as long as he possesses his faculties he will not fall for lies by his personal security chief, as did Tunisia's Ben Ali, and will not be intimidated by the Brotherhood.


Phi Beta Iota: Dictators will fall before faux democracies because they are on the thinnest ice in the face of angry connected young people with legitimate grievances.  The PowerShift that Alvin and Heidi Toffler anticipated in the 19990's has begun to occur.  The other threat to civilization can be found in fundamentalists and relativists–those who treat faith as a cult or faith as a convenience.  It is a mistake to regard the Muslim Brotherhood as threatening–they are more of an indications & warning.  When  the right precipitant comes along, Egypt will fall, and the other 43 dictators will follow in relatively quick (ten years) time.  Now is when US covert action could shine, but first the White House and Congress and the military-industrial complex must be weaned of their love of dictators.  This is also a time when holistic all-source analysis could shine, helping guide a 180 degree turn away from dictators and toward democracy in time for the 2012 “Awakening.”

See Also:

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Published Profiles of/by Robert David Steele

About the Idea

Multiple requests for “profiles” of founder Robert David Steele have come up, and inspire this particular posting for the convenience of those parties and others.  The World Brain & Global Game are inevitable.  It's just a matter of time and energy.  Who invests first will substantially influence whether they are imperial in nature, or multinationally and culturally neutral in nature.  They should of course be Open in nature (software, sources, and spectrum).

2010 PhD Author Dissects Intelligence Reformer Robert Steele
2009 Homeland Security Today: Vet with a Vision
2000 The Year in Computing Open Source Solutions
1993 Alvin Toffler, “The Future of the Spy” in War & Anti-War

Who’s Who in Collective Intelligence: Robert David STEELE Vivas
2010: Human Intelligence (HUMINT) Trilogy Updated
2010 The Ultimate Hack Re-Inventing Intelligence to Re-Engineer Earth (Chapter)
2008 Open Source Intelligence (Strategic)
2006 Forbes Blank Slate On Intelligence
2002 New Rules for the New Craft of Intelligence (Book 2 Chapter 15)
2002 TIME Magazine The New Craft of Intelligence

Search: The Future of OSINT [is M4IS2-Multinational]

Analysis, Budgets & Funding, Collaboration Zones, Communities of Practice, Ethics, InfoOps (IO), Key Players, Methods & Process, Mobile, Policies, Policy, Real Time, Reform, Searches, Strategy, Technologies, Threats, Tools
COIN20 Trip Report
Paradise Found

The future of OSINT is M4IS2.

The future of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) is Multinational, Multifunctional, Multidisciplinary, Multidomain Information-Sharing & Sense-Making (M4IS2).

The following, subject to the approval of Executive and Congressional leadership, are suggested hueristics (rules of thumb):

Rule 1: All Open Source Information (OSIF) goes directly to the high side (multinational top secret) the instant it is received at any level by any civilian or military element responsive to global OSINT grid.  This includes all of the contextual agency and mission specific information from the civilian elements previously stove-piped or disgarded, not only within the US, but ultimately within all 90+ participating nations.

Rule 2: In return for Rule 1, the US IC agrees that the Department of State (and within DoD, Civil Affairs) is the proponent outside the wire, and the sharing of all OSIF originating outside the US IC is at the discretion of State/Civil Affairs without secret world caveat or constraint.  OSIF collected by US IC elements is NOT included in this warrant.

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Journal: Spinney, Boyd, Green, Kuhn on “Can America Be Salvaged?–Public Intelligence Aspects”

Collaboration Zones, Communities of Practice, Ethics, Policies, Reform, Threats
Idiocy in America
Idiocy in America

This lengthy piece is organized as follows:

1)  Chuck Spinney on how our partisan “leaders” are disconnected from reality and leading us over a cliff, with reference to John Boyd.

2.  An extract and link to the always brilliant CounterPunch where David Michael Green discusses the core issue: Can America be salvaged?

3.  A Phi Beta Iota editorial commentary on Thomas Kuhn (The Structure of Scientific Revolutions), Robert Steele (Paradigms of Failure, Data Pathologies), and Howard Zinn (A Power Governments Cannot Repress).

CHUCK SPINNEY: The article in Counterpunch by David Michael Green, “Can America be Salvaged?” is an brilliant expository argument describing  what are in effect the destructive outcomes of self-referencing/incestuously amplifying OODA loops that are becoming ever more disconnected from reality.

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Who’s Who in Collective Intelligence: Yochai Benkler

Alpha A-D, Collective Intelligence
Yochai Benkler
Yochai Benkler

Yochai Benkler is the Berkman Professor of Entrepreneurial Legal Studies at Harvard, and faculty co-director of the Berkman Center for Internet and Society. Before joining the faculty at Harvard Law School, he was Joseph M. Field ‘55 Professor of Law at Yale. He writes about the Internet and the emergence of networked economy and society, as well as the organization of infrastructure, such as wireless communications.  Below is his Foreword to the book as re-mixed by Hassan Masum.

The Wealth of Networks:
Highlights Remixed

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Handbook: Election 2008 Annotated Bibliography on Reality

Handbooks, Threats/Topical
Free Book Online
Free Book Online

Below is the Annotated Bibliography that completed ELECTION 2008: Lipstick on the Pig.  It was designed to be a “handbook” of sorts on Reality.  We like to paraphrase Trotsky, with a tip of the hat to Alvin Toffler who quoted him in War and Anti-War: Survival at the Dawn of the 21st Century:

“You may not be interested in reality, but reality is interested in you.”

Trotsky was referring to war.  For the Public Intelligence Blog, reality is war, and our worst enemies are domestic in nature, causing self-inflicted wounds vastly more fatal than any foreign armed adversary could produce at any cost.  The categories in the graphic below are repeated legibly below the graphic.  This Blog superceeds the below bibliography, which only cover about 500 of the 1500+ books that are more easily accessed here within the Blog–as a gift to others, however, the below document can be useful as a starting point.  This is all the stuff neither the government nor the media are willing to cover seriously in the public interest.

Reality 101
Reality 101

Anti-Americanism, Blowback, Why the Rest Hates the West. 92

Betrayal of the Public Trust. 93

Biomimicry, Green Chemistry, Ecological Economics, Natural Capitalism.. 98

Blessed Unrest, Dignity, Dissent, & the Tao of Democracy. 99

Capitalism, Globalization, Peak Oil, & “Free” Trade Run Amok. 100

Collective Intelligence, Power of Us, We Are One, & Wealth of We. 102

Culture of Catastrophe, Cheating, Conflict, & Conspiracy. 104

Deception, Facts, Fog, History (Lost), Knowledge, Learning, & Lies. 104

Democracy in Decline. 107

Emerging and Evolving Threats & Challenges. 110

Failed States, Poverty, Wrongful Leadership, and the Sorrows of Empire. 114

Future of Life, State of the Future, Plan B 3.0. 115

Innovation & 21st Century Leadership. 117

Instruments of National Power Hard and Soft. 120

Intelligence, Decision-Support, & Decision-Making. 121

Internet (Good, Bad, & Ugly). 123

Philosophy, Psychology, & Religion from Faith to Fascism.. 124

Strategy. 127

War, Waste, & Crimes Against Humanity. 129

Who’s Who in Public Intelligence: Alvin & Heidi Toffler

Alpha Q-U
Alvin & Heidi Toffler
Alvin & Heidi Toffler


Alvin & Heidi Toffler

Alvin and Heidi Toffler are the original researchers, visionaries, cartographers, path-finders, and mentors for a legion of pioneers who have created the future.  The writing is but the tip of the their influential iceberg–their personal relationships worldwide, and the manner in which they inspire and introduce special people to one another, is without equal in this world.