John Steiner: Dalai Lama et al – Halt Tar Sands Pipeline

03 Economy, 05 Energy, 08 Wild Cards, 11 Society, 12 Water, Civil Society, Commerce, Earth Intelligence, Government
John Steiner

Dalai Lama, Rigoberta Menchu, Nobel Peace Laureates: Halt tarsands

Brenda Norrell

The Narcosphere, 8 September 2011

His Holiness the 14th Dalai Lama and Nobel Peace Laureates Rigoberta Menchu of Guatemala and Archbishop Desmund Tutu of South Africa, joined six other Nobel Peace Laureates urging President Obama to reject the Keystone XL pipeline, an environmental disaster in the making.

Read full article.

Phi Beta Iota:  We find it fascinating that the activists are ignoring the larger crime, the use of fresh water to flush the tar sands in the first place.

See Also:

Chuck Spinney: Big Oil Screwing US for Peak Profits

Paul Fernhout: Open Letter to the Intelligence Advanced Programs Research Agency (IARPA)

John Steiner: US State Department Clueless on Tar Sands

John Steiner: Save Water from Big Oil, Get Arrested in DC

Chuck Spinney: Richard Falk on USG Learning Disability

Berto Jongman: Forecasting Large-Scale Human Behavior — and Four Flaws in the Concept

09 Justice, Advanced Cyber/IO, Civil Society, Cultural Intelligence, Government, Peace Intelligence
Berto Jongman Recommends...

Culturomics 2.0: Forecasting large-scale human behavior using global news media tone in time and space

Kalev Leetaru

First Monday, Volume 16, Number 9 – 5 September 2011

Abstract

News is increasingly being produced and consumed online, supplanting print and broadcast to represent nearly half of the news monitored across the world today by Western intelligence agencies. Recent literature has suggested that computational analysis of large text archives can yield novel insights to the functioning of society, including predicting future economic events. Applying tone and geographic analysis to a 30–year worldwide news archive, global news tone is found to have forecasted the revolutions in Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, including the removal of Egyptian President Mubarak, predicted the stability of Saudi Arabia (at least through May 2011), estimated Osama Bin Laden’s likely hiding place as a 200–kilometer radius in Northern Pakistan that includes Abbotabad, and offered a new look at the world’s cultural affiliations. Along the way, common assertions about the news, such as “news is becoming more negative” and “American news portrays a U.S.–centric view of the world” are found to have merit.

Contents

Introduction
Data sources
Method
Forecasting unrest: Conflict early warning
The spatial dimension of news
Mapping the “civilizations” of the world’s press
Conclusions

Phi Beta Iota:  Interesting, and no doubt to be presented to IARPA as a proposed project.  However, there are four major flaws in this approach:

1) it does not recognize the difference between preconditions of revolution and precipitants;

2)  is has no underlying analytic model for understanding true costs and severe imbalances between the few and the many;

3)  it relies on English-language second and third hand depictions of the indigenous press in a handful of languages (there are actually 183 that need to be studied as indigenous populations strive to overturn the Treaty of Westphalia and its artificial boundaries); and

4) it assumes that published media interpretations are a reliable representation of the public mood–in our experience, not only are all media generally biased as they are owned by the “establishment” in one form or another, but they also fail to capture the 80% that is “unpublished” or “unarticulated” but simmering and very reality-based.

Owl: Obama Feared Coup in 2008 if Prosecutions of Bush Team, CIA, NSA Went Forward

09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, IO Impotency, Law Enforcement, Military
Who? Who?

Some insights into how Obama team perceived their vulnerability if they went after war crimes during the Bush era.

Obama Team Feared Coup If He Prosecuted War Crimes

By Andrew Kreig

OpEdNews, 7 September 2011

President-Elect Obama's advisers feared in 2008 that authorities would oust him in a coup and that Republicans would block his policy agenda if he prosecuted Bush-era war crimes, according to a law school dean who served as one of Obama's top transition advisers.

University of California at Berkeley Law School Dean Christopher Edley, Jr., above, the sixth highest-ranking member of the 2008 post-election transition team preparing Obama's administration, revealed the team's thinking on Sept. 2 in moderating a forum on 9/11 held by his law school (also known as Boalt Hall). Edley was seeking to explain Obama's “look forward” policy on suspected Bush-era law-breaking that the president-elect announced on a TV talk show in January 2009.

Read full article (three screens).

Continue reading “Owl: Obama Feared Coup in 2008 if Prosecutions of Bush Team, CIA, NSA Went Forward”

DefDog: PSYOP Reading List for Citizens

04 Education, 07 Other Atrocities, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Book Lists, Civil Society, Commerce, Commercial Intelligence, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, InfoOps (IO), IO Deeds of War
DefDog

FYI……some good insight…..it is in the very fabric of society….

Towards a Psychological Operations Reading List

Skilluminati Research, 7 September 2011

Defining Psychological Operations is straightforward enough, but
determining where exactly it ends is extremely tricky. The US Department of Defense has infiltrated institutions around the world, they expend billions every year on domestic and foreign propaganda, yet they still only represent a single slice of the spectrum. Intelligence agencies, private think tanks and public corporations are all competing for attentional bandwidth, too. PSYOPS has become ubiquitous, metastasized into Standard Operating Procedure for the entire edifice of Western Culture. Our news and our entertainment, scientific studies, history books, political campaigns and activist movements are all just sponsored messages and paid promotions. From advertisements to astroturfing, everyone's got “desired effects” and everyone's got a “target audience” now.

Read list in context (commentary by the editors).

Phi Beta Iota:  PSYOP succeed when education fails.  Education fails and PSYOP succeed when integrity fails.  This ultimately boils down to Philosophy and the Social Problem (Will Durant, 2008 x 1916).

Below the line:  structured and expanded list with links.

Continue reading “DefDog: PSYOP Reading List for Citizens”

Worth A Look: Understanding 9/11 and 9/11 RECAP

10 Security, 11 Society, Communities of Practice, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, IO Impotency
Click on Image to Enlarge

Precedent works:

Project for a New American Century

Post-Event Illuminations:

2006  Endgame: The Blueprint for Victory in the War on Terror

2007 Wesley Clark interview (March 2007): “We plan to take out 7 countries in 5 years”

From Niels Groeneveld at Facebook:

VIDEO:  9/11 Attack or Godsend (German and British Ministers)

Decision to Invade Afghanistan Made Before 9/11

9/11 at DuckDuckGo

BELOW THE LINE:

Recent Bin Laden Show from CIA/JSOG
Recent 9/11 RECAP
DVD's Reviewed at Phi Beta Iota
Books Reviewed at Phi Beta Iota
Other Posts
9/11 Web Sites (Selected)
9/11 Online Videos
9/11 Audio

Continue reading “Worth A Look: Understanding 9/11 and 9/11 RECAP”

Chuck Spinney: Grand Strategy Analysis of 9/11 Blow-Back

03 Economy, 09 Justice, 10 Security, 11 Society, Civil Society, Commerce, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Government, IO Deeds of War, Military, Officers Call, Peace Intelligence
Chuck Spinney

An excellent grand-strategic analysis of last 10 years.

nytlogo153x23.gif

September 1, 2011

9/11 Blowback

By H.D.S. GREENWAY

Historians will label the events of that September morning 10 years ago as the most destructive act of terrorism ever committed up to that time. But I suspect they will also judge America’s last decade as one of history’s worst overreactions.

Of course overreaction is what terrorists hope to provoke. If judged by that standard, 9/11 was also one of history’s most successful terrorist acts, dragging the United States into two as yet unresolved wars, draining the treasury of $1 trillion and climbing, as well as damaging America’s power and prestige. These wars have empowered our enemies and hurt our friendships, and have almost certainly generated more terrorists than they have killed.

Like other victims of terrorism, the United States believed that somehow the answer could be found in brute force. But ideas seldom yield to force, and militant Islam is an idea. The result has been the militarization of U.S. foreign policy.

Read original.

Safety copy below the line.

Continue reading “Chuck Spinney: Grand Strategy Analysis of 9/11 Blow-Back”

Todd Essig: Huge Psychological Bias Against Creativity

Advanced Cyber/IO, Cultural Intelligence
Todd Essig

Managing The Psychological Bias Against Creativity

You come up with a great new idea at work, or at home. Or a political leader actually tries something “new and different” when faced with a previously intractable problem. But then, rather than grateful acceptance, or even a fair hearing, the idea is squashed, ridiculed, or otherwise ignored.

Sound familiar? It should. As anyone who has ever suggested a creative solution knows, people often avoid the uncomfortable uncertainty of novel solutions regardless of potential benefit. Creativity, no matter how much we say we like it, frequently elicits what my grandmother used to warn about, “too smart is half stupid” (for a current illustration look no further than the Obama administration).

Now, new research, soon to appear in Psychological Science, titled “The Bias Against Creativity: Why People Desire But Reject Creative Ideas” empirically documents how our resistance to uncertainty makes the “old ways” far stickier than they should be given the practical benefits of creative, new solutions. Once again, the biases built into our minds leave us simultaneously moving in opposite directions; we like creativity but avoid creative ideas because creative ideas are too, in a word, creative.

Our results show that regardless of how open minded people are, when they feel motivated to reduce uncertainty either because they have an immediate goal of reducing uncertainty, or feel uncertain generally, this may bring negative associations with creativity to mind which result in lower evaluations of a creative idea. Our findings imply a deep irony. Prior research shows that uncertainty spurs the search for and generation of creative ideas …, yet our findings reveal that uncertainty also makes us less able to recognize creativity, perhaps when we need it most.

via Jennifer S. Mueller, Shimul Melwani, and Jack A. Goncalo “The Bias Against Creativity: Why People Desire But Reject Creative Ideas”

Read more…

Tip of the Hat to Anthony Tang at LinkedIn.

See Also:

Paul Fernhout: Open Letter to the Intelligence Advanced Programs Research Agency (IARPA)

Howard Rheingold: Infotention Skills + Citizen Intel RECAP

noble gold