Event: 19-23 March Online – Second Announcement

Communities of Practice, Methods & Process, Peace Intelligence, Policies, Threats

CHANGE IS MADE BY THOSE WHO TURN UP

Europe's World is proud to be a partner of the 2012 Security Jam, a massive online brainstorm from 19 – 23 March 2012, bringing together thousands around the world to find concrete solutions to global security issues, and encourages you to register now to interact with VIPs such as Adm. James Stavridis, NATO SACEUR; Csaba Hende, Hungarian Minister of Defence; David Heyman, US DHS Assistant Secretary for Policy; Maciej Popowski, EEAS Deputy Secretary General for Inter-institutional Affairs; Claude-France Arnould, EDA Chief Executive; Gen. Stéphane Abrial, NATO SACT and thousands of experts from the broadest possible security and defence spectrum. Registration is free of charge and takes just a minute.

Brainstorm with thousands of experts and VIPs on:

STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS   .   FACING THE CYBER CHALLENGE   .   LESSONS LEARNED: LIBYA & AFGHANISTAN   .   INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION   .   TRANSNATIONAL HYBRID THREATS   .   CRISIS MANAGEMENT   .    FUTURE CAPABILITIES & TECHNOLOGIES

10 top recommendations will be presented to the global leaders ahead of the May 2012 G8 and NATO summits. Will one them be your idea?

Gain exclusive insightinto the latest trends and developments in global security.

Extend your network through full integration with social media platforms.

www.securityjam.org

Yoda: Child-Driven Education, Convergence of Knowledge

04 Education, 11 Society, Advanced Cyber/IO, Blog Wisdom, Collaboration Zones, Communities of Practice, Ethics, Hacking, Methods & Process, Serious Games, Standards, Technologies, Threats, Tools
Got Crowd? BE the Force!

How Children’s Toys Reflect What’s Next in Technology & Education, March 5, 2012, PRAGMATIC VISIONS | by Jim Brazell 

[Editor’s note: This is the first in a new column series from the pragmatic visionaries at the Thornburg Center for Professional Development for edtech digest]

“The availability of technologies to youth is its own instructor.” –Nobelist Herbert A. Simon (June 15, 1916 – February 9, 2001), Author of Science of the Artificial and a Father of Artificial Intelligence

EXTRACT:  TOYS MIRROR WHAT’S NEXT IN TECHNOLOGY

In the same way that Erector Sets were patterned after the technologies of the third phase of the industrial revolution, the LEGO MindStorms kits reflect the structure of emerging technology and careers in the 21st Century. In 2006, Nano Quest from FIRST Robotics enabled students to program LEGO robots to mimic biological, chemical, and physical systems across  micro-, meso-, and nano-scales.

Continue reading “Yoda: Child-Driven Education, Convergence of Knowledge”

Betty Boop: Stratfor as a Neo-Con / Mossad Scam

07 Other Atrocities, 08 Wild Cards, Analysis, Blog Wisdom, Commerce, Corruption, Cultural Intelligence, Director of National Intelligence et al (IC), Government, Intelligence (government), IO Impotency, Methods & Process, Officers Call

Responding to Richard Wright: USMC “Learns” From StratFor – Integrity? – We Don’t Need No Stinkin’ Integrity

Back in 2002 while I was at a major Command, Friedman made a pitch to provide “ground truth” intelligence on contract.  While some folks went gaga over his presentation, there were many small indicators that all was not well.  Apparently Friedman was asked to leave LSU for reasons undetermined.  Offically, according to STRATFOR ” In 1997, a small company that would eventually grow into Stratfor—called Strategic Intelligence LLC—left Baton Rouge and LSU, where its founder George Friedman had been a professor. A 1999 profile in Texas Monthly said the company “couldn't thrive” in Baton Rouge, and that's why Friedman took it to Austin, where it blossomed into a global powerhouse.”

Reasoning heard on the street by colleagues active in San Antonio, he was bankrolled by Mossad and they wanted him in an area of hightech.

I have read his comments about OSS and you specifically; his arrogance is unbelievable.  His “analysts” are currently UT-Austin students with a couple of “seasoned veterans”, none of whom have an intelligence
background.

He has been described as a neocon and I think that fits.  From where I sit, I think STRATFOR is finished, they are trying very hard to regain their client base….with little success…

Continue reading “Betty Boop: Stratfor as a Neo-Con / Mossad Scam”

NIGHTWATCH: Syria Ground Truth Tars West

08 Wild Cards, Blog Wisdom, Civil Society, Government, IO Impotency, Media, Peace Intelligence

Syria- Arab Red Crescent: Over the past few days, the Syrian Arab Red Crescent has distributed aid provided by the ICRC to the Bab Amr district of Homs, to Hama, Idlib, Deraa, rural Damascus and the eastern city of Raqqa, a spokesman said. “The situation as we see it today is that unrest is still taking place mainly in Hama, Deraa, Rural Damascus, Homs and Idlib,” Hassan said.

Opposition spokespeople said fighting was continuing in Homs, but a Red Crescent spokesman said that it was not. The Red Crescent teams found that the population had evacuated the Baba Amr district of Homs and the rest of the city was quiet.

Comment: The arrival of Red Crescent teams has provided some much needed ground truth reporting. The fighting in Homs has been concentrated in the Baba Amr district, which the government seized, but the residents apparently  had already left along with the fighters. It remains difficult to develop a relatively unbiased view of the struggle. The Red Crescent statements suggest actual confrontations are occuring in neighborhoods of five towns and cities. That is far more limited than international media suggest.

Syria-UK: British Prime Minister David Cameron told a hearing at the House of Commons Liaison Committee on 6 March that his government provided cash and equipment to foreign-backed rebels in Syria under such names as “aid agencies” operating on the ground to help deliver food and emergency medical supplies, Press TV reported.

Comment: Cameron's admission in conjunction with the capture of the 13 French officers tends to confirm the Syrian government's consistent contention that the opposition is made up of outside troublemakers. The Syrian situation in no way resembles Libya and accurate information is just not available, except one fact. There are no significant and sustained operations in Damascus. Until they occur, the regime will survive.

NIGHTWATCH KGS Home

See Also:

NIGHTWATCH on Syria at Phi Beta Iota

Search: map of sunni and shiite muslim groups

Venessa Miemis: 5 Trust Builders, 5 Trust Destroyers

Cultural Intelligence
Venessa Miemis

This is a guest post by Bernd Nurnberger. The original on his blog – Community of practice and trust building

A few days ago I shared my crude model how we go from words to trust. I strung it along: word, definition, context, grammar, meaning, concept, understanding, salience, insight, trust, reputation. I believe each prior step must be present and perceived by both partners in an interaction before the next step gets good traction.

Being in the people business of establishing technical trust – as I am – is an interesting combination of challenges: engineering, salesmanship, diplomacy, organization and administration, combined with awareness for the needs of future users of what we test and certify, and the needs and expectations of society.

Seeking a competitive edge in this usually means working without a model, or just making one up and test it, see what sticks and build on that. We might see whether we get closer to the goal. That matters. Insight into what's best comes with routine, where do we have that at the edge?

Trust is a non-negotiable essential in business. (via ingenesist blog)  So, being in business is basically about trust. Establishing and verifying trust, documenting it, so it can be shared, swiflty, without every business partner having to redo what led to the trust.

To me, competitive edge is all about faster, yet secure trust building, towards more intense knowledge flows and learning from each other.

Trust-builders

  1. open personal profiles (self-declaration)
  2. shared conversation, activity stream, searchable (enabling independent verification)
  3. recommendations, awards, certifications (independent third-party opinion)
  4. co-action, collaboration (co-creating work products)
  5. success , and sharing it (experiencing demand for work products, or admiration)

Trust destroyers

  1. Making excuses or blaming others.
  2. Jumping to conclusions without checking facts.
  3. Avoiding taking responsibility.
  4. Sending inconsistent or mixed signals.
  5. Acting more concerned about your own welfare than anything else.

Source: The Challenge Network Whom Do We Trust?

Out of self-preservation our minds are programmed to scan for suspicious signs to prevent having our trust betrayed, and if it happens, we almost automatically score the loss of trust. If it is about a product or an organization, we may drop it. If it is about people, we may react with deep emotion.

Losing trust is much faster than building it, which could be a reason for feeling that trust is eroding everywhere. What if this is a cognitive bias? What can we do to accelerate trust-building?

Phi Beta Iota:  Above is about trust “in situ.”  What is missing is the larger culture of trust, shared values — little things like sharing a reverence for the Constitution and a commitment to integrity at all times.

See Also:

Journal: Politics & Intelligence–Partners Only When Integrity is Central to Both

Journal: Reflections on Integrity UPDATED + Integrity RECAP

Mini-Me: 15+ Potentially Massive Threats to US Economy

02 Infectious Disease, 03 Environmental Degradation, 04 Inter-State Conflict, 07 Other Atrocities, 08 Proliferation, 09 Terrorism, Blog Wisdom, Commercial Intelligence, Cultural Intelligence, Earth Intelligence
Who? Mini-Me?

Huh?  Here are Mini-Me's post-November 2012 nightmare events:

01  End of all federal grants to all universities

02  By law, all option years on all federal contracts eliminated.

03  30% federal employee Reduction in Force (RIF)

04  Industrial chemical accident of historic proportions (e.g. the really really big rusted chlorine tank above the NJ Turnpike right outside NYC blows)

05  One of NYC's two 1920's water mains blows, followed by a firestorm

06  Our own biological agent used (Forced Population Reduction) across the poorest sectors of the south (“useless eaters” according to Henry Kissinger).

07  Radiological event (dirty bomb) closes down a major transit hub for the next 20 years.  Having fun yet?

15 Potentially Massive Threats To The U.S. Economy Over The Next 12 Months

We live in a world that is becoming increasingly unstable, and the potential for an event that could cause “sudden change” to the U.S. economy is greater than ever.

There are dozens of potentially massive threats that could easily push the U.S. economy over the edge during the next 12 months.  A war in the Middle East, a financial collapse in Europe, a major derivatives crisis or a horrific natural disaster could all change our economic situation very rapidly.

In the list below, you will find some “sudden change” events that are somewhat likely and some that are quite unlikely.  I have tried to include a broad range of potential “black swan events”, but there are certainly dozens more massive threats that could potentially be listed. (List only — links and text at the article.

01  War with Syria
02  War with Iran
03  Disorderly Greek Debt Default
04  Economic Collapse in Spain
05  Price of Gasoline
06  Student Loan Debt Bubble
07  State and Local Debt Crisis
08  Collapse of a Major US Bank
09  Derivatives Crisis (Credit Swaps Collapse)
10  Fall of the Japanese Economy (and government)
11  A Solar Megastorm (1 in 8 chance)
12  Major West Coast Earthquake and/or Volcanic Eruption
13  Tornado Damage to Major US Cities
14  Severe Drought in the United States
15  Asteroid Strike in February 2013

Marcus Aurelius: Army “Ref A” on NOT Burning Korans

Cultural Intelligence
Marcus Aurelius

On disposing of religious materials, in 2009 the Chaplain Center and School at Fort Jackson, South Carolina, published a detailed Information Paper providing guidance for all major religions and denominations. The relevant paragraphs concerning the Quran are reproduced below as published in the Information Paper.

Disposing of Unusable Copies of the Qur'an

As far as old and unusable copies of the Qur'an are concerned, it is not permitted

to burn them unless there is no other way to dispose of them.

The great Hanafi Imam, Imam Ibn Abidin (may Allah have mercy on him) states:

“If a copy of the Mushaf (qur'an) becomes old and it is difficult to read from it, it should not be burnt in fire. This is what Imam Muhammad (m: student of Imam Abu Hanifa) pointed out and this is what we take.

“It will not be disliked to bury it. It should be wrapped in a pure cloth, and a Lahd grave (m: grave that has an incision in the side wall, customary in hot climate countries where the earth is solid) should be dug, because if a Shiq grave (m: grave with a straight opening, common in cold climate countries due to the earth being soft) is dug and the copy of the Qur'an is buried, it will entail the soil falling on top of the Qur'an which is a form of disrespect, unless a slab is placed as a roof. .. ” (Radd al-Muhtar, 5/271)

“In light of the above, there are two methods of disposing of an unusable copy of the Qur'an:

“(1) Wrapping it in a pure piece of cloth and burying it respectfully in a place where people (normally) do not walk about in cold climate countries (such as the UK), one may dig a Shiq grave, but a slab should be placed first and over it the soil.

“(2) Fastening the Qur'an with a heavy object like a stone and then placing it respectfully in flowing water.

“If one is able to implement the above two methods, it would not be permitted to burn the copy of the Qur'an. However, if the above two methods are difficult to carry out, then one may burn the Qur'an and bury or drown the resulting ash.

“If the pages of the Mushaf have become old and worn out and thus torn due to reciting/reading them much, for example, or it becomes non-conducive to benefit from (that particular copy), or if there are found therein mistakes due to negligence when writing it, or printing and/or publishing errors, all of which cannot be corrected; then it is permitted to bury it without burning it. It is also permitted to burn and then bury it in a place that is far removed from rubbish, trash, paths and  walkways.

“(Doing this) will safeguard it from any type of degradation and debasement, as well as a protection for the Qur'an so that there does not occur any confusion, distortion or dispute due to the spreading and circulation of copies of the Qur'an that have printing and/or publishing errors. ‘

Source: The Collection of Islamic Verdicts issued by The Permanent Committee of Research & Islamic Rulings.

Director, Center for World Religions
Chaplain Center and School
Fort Jackson, SC 29229

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